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Stochastic epidemic models which incorporate interactions between space and human mobility are a key tool to inform prioritisation of outbreak control to appropriate locations. However, methods for fitting such models to national-level…

The outbreaks of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) have impacted the world significantly. Modeling the trend of infection and real-time forecasting of cases can help decision making and control of the disease spread. However, data-driven…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-18 Zhijian Li , Yunling Zheng , Jack Xin , Guofa Zhou

The current pandemic has introduced substantial uncertainty to traditional methods for demand planning. These uncertainties stem from the disease progression, government interventions, economy and consumer behavior. While most of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Shaz Hoda , Amitoj Singh , Anand Rao , Remzi Ural , Nicholas Hodson

Pooled testing offers an efficient solution to the unprecedented testing demands of the COVID-19 pandemic, although with potentially lower sensitivity and increased costs to implementation in some settings. Assessments of this trade-off…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-13 Saskia Comess , Hannah Wang , Susan Holmes , Claire Donnat

Objective. Deep neural networks (DNNs) have shown unprecedented success in various brain-machine interface applications such as epileptic seizure prediction. However, existing approaches typically train models in a patient-specific fashion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Di Wu , Jie Yang , Mohamad Sawan

Intermediate Respiratory Care Units (IRCUs) are vital during crises like COVID-19. This study evaluated clinical outcomes and operational dynamics of a new Spanish IRCU with specialized staffing. A prospective cohort study (April-August…

The unprecedented coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is still a worldwide threat to human life since its invasion into the daily lives of the public in the first several months of 2020. Predicting the size of confirmed cases is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-02 Xinyu Wang , Lu Yang , Hong Zhang , Zhouwang Yang , Catherine Liu

Typically, mathematical simulation studies on COVID-19 pandemic forecasting are based on deterministic differential equations which assume that both the number ($n$) of individuals in various epidemiological classes and the time ($t$) on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Ioan Baldea

Pharmaco-epidemiology (PE) is the study of uses and effects of drugs in well defined populations. As medico-administrative databases cover a large part of the population, they have become very interesting to carry PE studies. Such databases…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Yann Dauxais , Thomas Guyet , David Gross-Amblard , André Happe

This paper addresses statistical modelling and forecasting of key indicators describing the severity of a developing pandemic, using routinely reported daily counts of infections, hospitalizations, deaths (both in and out of hospital), and…

The rapidly spreading Covid-19 that affected almost all countries, was first reported at the end of 2019. As a consequence of its highly infectious nature, countries all over the world have imposed extremely strict measures to control its…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-13 Semra Ahmetolan , Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Ali Demirci , Ayse Peker-Dobie , Onder Ergonul

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has instigated unprecedented changes in many countries around the globe, putting a significant burden on the health sectors, affecting the macro economic conditions, and altering social interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 Dmitry Gordeev , Philipp Singer , Marios Michailidis , Mathias Müller , SriSatish Ambati

Faced with the 2020 SARS-CoV2 epidemic, public health officials have been seeking models that could be used to predict not only the number of new cases but also the levels of hospitalisation, critical care and deaths. In this paper we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-24 Jonathan Wells , Chris Robertson , Vincent Marmara , Alan Yeung , Adam Kleczkowski

With the improvement of medical data capturing, vast amount of continuous patient monitoring data, e.g., electrocardiogram (ECG), real-time vital signs and medications, become available for clinical decision support at intensive care units…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Yanbo Xu , Siddharth Biswal , Shriprasad R Deshpande , Kevin O Maher , Jimeng Sun

Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time has the potential to unlock personalized healthcare by assisting decision-makers to answer ''what-iF'' questions. Existing causal inference approaches typically consider regular, discrete-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Nabeel Seedat , Fergus Imrie , Alexis Bellot , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

This study investigated the performance, explainability, and robustness of deployed artificial intelligence (AI) models in predicting mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond. The first study of its kind, we found that Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jacob R. Epifano , Stephen Glass , Ravi P. Ramachandran , Sharad Patel , Aaron J. Masino , Ghulam Rasool

Medicine is moving from a curative discipline to a preventative discipline relying on personalised and precise treatment plans. The complex and multi level pathophysiological patterns of most diseases require a systemic medicine approach…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Pietro Barbiero , Pietro Lió

The design of data-driven dashboards that inform municipalities on ongoing changes in infections within their community is addressed in this research. Daily reports of Covid-19 infections published by the state of Wisconsin as the initial…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-24 Emi Aoki , Arkajyoti Sinha , Charles Thompson , Kavitha Chandra

New coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has constituted a global pandemic and has spread to most countries and regions in the world. By understanding the development trend of a regional epidemic, the epidemic can be controlled using the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Bingjie Yan , Xiangyan Tang , Boyi Liu , Jun Wang , Yize Zhou , Guopeng Zheng , Qi Zou , Yao Lu , Wenxuan Tu

In recent years, the development of technologies for causal inference with privacy preservation of distributed data has gained considerable attention. Many existing methods for distributed data focus on resolving the lack of subjects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-18 Yuji Kawamata , Ryoki Motai , Yukihiko Okada , Akira Imakura , Tetsuya Sakurai