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Empirical records of epidemics reveal that fluctuations are important factors for the spread and prevalence of infectious diseases. The exact manner in which fluctuations affect spreading dynamics remains poorly known. Recent analytical and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Gilberto M. Nakamura , Alexandre S. Martinez

Empirical studies suggest that contact patterns follow heterogeneous inter-event times, meaning that intervals of high activity are followed by periods of inactivity. Combined with birth and death of individuals, these temporal constraints…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-25 Luis Enrique Correa Rocha , Vincent D. Blondel

In this paper we study a discrete-time SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, where the infection and healing parameters and the underlying network may change over time. We provide conditions for the model to be well-defined and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Philip E Pare , Sebin Gracy , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

We investigate the long-time dynamics of a SIR epidemic model with infinitely many pathogen variants infecting a homogeneous host population. We show that the basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0$ of the pathogen can be defined in that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-11 Jean-Baptiste Burie , Arnaud Ducrot , Quentin Griette

We develop a new structured compartmental model for the coevolutionary dynamics between susceptible and infectious individuals in heterogeneous SI epidemiological systems. In this model, the susceptible compartment is structured by a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-10 Tommaso Lorenzi , Elisa Paparelli , Andrea Tosin

In this paper, we first propose a diffusive pathogen infection model with general incidence rate which incorporates cell-to-cell transmission. By applying the theory of monotone dynamical systems, we prove that the model admits the global…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Shohel Ahmed

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on random networks. By studying temporal evolution and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-19 Mohammed Ali Saif

The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-18 Md Abu Talha , Yongjia Xu , Shan Zhao , Weihua Geng

In this paper we put forward a viral propagation model with nonlinear infection rate and free boundaries and investigate the dynamical properties. This model is composed of two ordinary differential equations and one partial differential…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-27 Lei Li , Siyu Liu , Mingxin Wang

Recent work from public health experts suggests that incorporating human behavior is crucial in faithfully modeling an epidemic. We present a reaction-diffusion partial differential equation SIR-type population model for an epidemic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on $N$ vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Eric Foxall , Roderick Edwards , P. van den Driessche

We study the spreading of a disease on top of structured scale-free networks recently introduced. By means of numerical simulations we analyze the SIS and the SIR models. Our results show that when the connectivity fluctuations of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Alexei Vazquez

Reaction--diffusion mechanism are a robust paradigm that can be used to represent many biological and physical phenomena over multiple spatial scales. Applications include intracellular dynamics, the migration of cells and the patterns…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Cameron A. Smith , Christian A. Yates

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

The duration of the infectious period is a crucial determinant of the ability of an infectious disease to spread. We consider an epidemic model that is network based and non-Markovian, containing classic Kermack-McKendrick, pairwise,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-25 Robert R. Wilkinson , Kieran J. Sharkey

Mathematical models are formal and simplified representations of the knowledge related to a phenomenon. In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-10 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

We investigate the effects of cooperativity between contagion processes that spread and persist in a host population. We propose and analyze a dynamical model in which individuals that are affected by one transmissible agent $A$ exhibit a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-22 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Dirk Brockmann

We discuss the effects of movement and spatial heterogeneity on population dynamics via reaction-diffusion-advection models, focusing on the persistence, competition, and evolution of organisms in spatially heterogeneous environments.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-08 King-Yeung Lam , Shuang Liu , Yuan Lou

SIRS models capture transmission dynamics of infectious diseases for which immunity is not lifelong. Extending these models by a W compartment for individuals with waning immunity, the boosting of the immune system upon repeated exposure…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 Richmond Opoku-Sarkodie , Ferenc A. Bartha , Mónika Polner , Gergely Röst

The evolution of dispersal rate is studied with a model of several local populations linked by dispersal. Three dispersal strategies are considered where all, half, or none of the offspring disperse. The spatial scale (number of patches)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-12 Emmanuel Paradis