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We present an epidemiological compartment model, SAIR(S), that explicitly captures the dynamics of asymptomatic infected individuals in an epidemic spread process. We first present a group model and then discuss networked versions. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-23 Xiaoqi Bi , Carolyn L. Beck

Numerous elements drive the spread of infectious diseases in complex real-world networks. Of particular interest is social behaviors that evolve in tandem with the spread of disease. Moreover, recent studies highlight the importance of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-03 Benjamin Catalano , Keith Paarporn , Sebin Gracy

An epidemic model, where the dispersal is approximated by nonlocal diffusion operator and spatial domain has one ?xed boundary and one free boundary, is considered in this paper. Firstly, using some elementary analysis instead of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Lei Li , Mingxin Wang

Modeling epidemic dynamics plays an important role in studying how diseases spread, predicting their future course, and designing strategies to control them. In this letter, we introduce a model of SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) type…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-17 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Weiran Cai , Peter Grassberger

The time-varying reproduction number ($R_t$) gives an indication of the trajectory of an infectious disease outbreak. Commonly used frameworks for inferring $R_t$ from epidemiological time series include those based on compartmental models…

We consider a mutation-selection model of a population structured by the spatial variables and a trait variable which is the diffusion rate. Competition for resource is local in spatial variables, but nonlocal in the trait variable. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-20 King-Yeung Lam , Yuan Lou

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

Population inhomogeneity, in the variation of the individual social contact networks and the individual infectious-recovery rates, renders the dynamics of infectious disease spreading uncertain. As a consequence the overlaying economical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-01 Jan B. Broekaert , Davide La Torre

Social interactions are stratified in multiple contexts and are subject to complex temporal dynamics. The systematic study of these two features of social systems has started only very recently mainly thanks to the development of multiplex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-12 Quan-Hui Liu , Xinyue Xiong , Qian Zhang , Nicola Perra

In this paper, we study the propagation dynamics for a class of integrodifference competition models in a periodic habitat. An interesting feature of such a system is that multiple spreading speeds can be observed, which biologically means…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Ruiwen Wu , Xiao-Qiang Zhao

The COVID-19 pandemic has been a great catastrophe that upended human lives and caused millions of deaths all over the world. The rapid spread of the virus, with its early-stage exponential growth and subsequent 'waves', caught many medical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-31 Anne V. Ginzburg , Valeriy V. Ginzburg , Julia O. Ginzburg , Ana Garcia Arias , Leela Rakesh

We investigate SIR models with vital dynamics, reinfection, and randomness at the transmission coefficient and recruitment rate. Initially, we conduct an extensive analysis of the autonomous scenario, covering aspects such as local and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alexandre N. Oliveira-Sousa

The aim of the study was to compare the epidemic spread on static and dynamic small-world networks. The network was constructed as a 2-dimensional Watts-Strogatz model (500x500 square lattice with additional shortcuts), and the dynamics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-06-28 J. K. Ochab , P. F. Góra

Using a probability of novel encounter derived from a physical model, we augment the SIR compartmental model for disease spread. Scenarios with the same initial trajectories and identical $R_0$ values can diverge greatly depending on the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-15 Peter Cotton

With the covid-19 pandemic still ongoing and an enormous amount of test data available, the lessons learned over the last two years need to be developed to a point where they can provide understanding for tackling new variants and future…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-09 Adam Mielke

The propagation of signalling molecules within cellular networks is affected by network topology, but also by the spatial arrangement of cells in the networks. Understanding the collective reaction--diffusion behaviour in space of signals…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-09 Adel Mehrpooya , Vivien J. Challis , Pascal R. Buenzli

In this article a space-dependent epidemic model equipped with a constant latency period is examined. We construct a delay partial integro-differential equation and show that its solution possesses some biologically reasonable features. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-02 B. Takács , I. Faragó , R. Horváth , D. Repovš

Biological systems are majorly dependent on their property of bistability in order to exhibit nongenetic heterogeneity in terms of cellular morphology and physiology. Spatial patterns of phenotypically heterogeneous cells, arising due to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-25 Priya Chakraborty , Ushasi Roy , Mohit K. Jolly , Sayantari Ghosh

We investigate a six-species class of May-Leonard models leading to formation two types of competing spatial domains, each one inhabited by three-species with their own internal cyclic rock-paper-scissors dynamics. We study the resulting…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-08-07 P. P. Avelino , J. Menezes , B. F. de Oliveira , T. A. Pereira

Contact patterns in populations fundamentally influence the spread of infectious diseases. Current mathematical methods for epidemiological forecasting on networks largely assume that contacts between individuals are fixed, at least for the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Erik Volz , Lauren Ancel Meyers
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