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The main objective of this paper consists in creating a new class of copulae from various joint distributions occurring in connection with certain Brownian motion processes. We focus our attention on the distributions of univariate Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-23 Michel Adès , Matthieu Dufour , Serge B. Provost , Marie-Claude Vachon

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

In this work, we propose a model for estimating volatility from financial time series, extending the non-Gaussian family of space-state models with exact marginal likelihood proposed by Gamerman, Santos and Franco (2013). On the literature…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-03 Arthur T. Rego , Thiago R. dos Santos

This paper deals with the parametric inference for integrated signals embedded in an additive Gaussian noise and observed at deterministic discrete instants which are not necessarily equidistant. The unknown parameter is multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Dominique Dehay , Khalil El Waled , Vincent Monsan

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

A method is given of deriving the distribution of planar Brownian motion evaluated at certain stopping times using analytic functions. This method relies upon a generalization of the standard conformal invariance of harmonic measure. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-25 Greg Markowsky

Nonresponse weighting adjustment using the response propensity score is a popular tool for handling unit nonresponse. Statistical inference after the nonresponse weighting adjustment is complicated because the effect of estimating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-14 Hejian Sang , Jae Kwang Kim

With the ubiquitous availability of unstructured data, growing attention is paid as how to adjust for selection bias in such non-probability samples. The majority of the robust estimators proposed by prior literature are either fully or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-08 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

We develop a novel Bayesian method to select important predictors in regression models with multiple responses of diverse types. A sparse Gaussian copula regression model is used to account for the multivariate dependencies between any…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Angelos Alexopoulos , Leonardo Bottolo

We consider the gamma process perturbed by a Brownian motion (independent of the gamma process) as a degradation model. Parameters estimation is studied here. We assume that $n$ independent items are observed at irregular instants. From…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-16 Laurent Bordes , Christian Paroissin , Ali Salami

Three-dimensional Monte Carlo simulations provide a striking confirmation to a recent theoretical prediction: the Brownian non-Gaussian diffusion of critical self-avoiding walks. Although the mean square displacement of the polymer center…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-21 Boris Marcone , Sankaran Nampoothiri , Enzo Orlandini , Flavio Seno , Fulvio Baldovin

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Non-random sample selection is a commonplace amongst many empirical studies and it appears when an output variable of interest is available only for a restricted non-random sub-sample of data. We introduce an extension of the generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-18 M. Wojtyś , G. Marra

We develop efficient numerical methods for performing many-body Brownian dynamics simulations of a recently-observed fingering instability in an active suspension of colloidal rollers sedimented above a wall [M. Driscoll, B. Delmotte, M.…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-04-26 Florencio Balboa Usabiaga , Blaise Delmotte , Aleksandar Donev

We propose a method for post-processing an ensemble of multivariate forecasts in order to obtain a joint predictive distribution of weather. Our method utilizes existing univariate post-processing techniques, in this case ensemble Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-28 Annette Möller , Alex Lenkoski , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

It is well known that path probabilities of Brownian motion correspond to the equilibrium configurational probabilities of flexible Gaussian polymers, while those of active Brownian motion correspond to in-extensible semiflexible polymers.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-14 Amir Shee , Abhishek Dhar , Debasish Chaudhuri

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is usually described by a joint model which uses shared or correlated latent effects to capture associations between the two processes. Under this framework, the joint distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-07 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

This paper generalizes stochastic collocation methods to handle correlated non-Gaussian random parameters. The key challenge is to perform a multivariate numerical integration in a correlated parameter space when computing the coefficient…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov