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The evolution of RNA viruses such as HIV, Hepatitis C and Influenza virus occurs so rapidly that the viruses' genomes contain information on past ecological dynamics. Hence, we develop a phylodynamic method that enables the joint estimation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-24 Denise Kühnert , Tanja Stadler , Timothy G. Vaughan , Alexei J. Drummond

We analyze four models of epidemic spreading using a stochastic approach in which the primary stochastic variables are the numbers of individuals in each class. The stochastic approach is described by a master equation and the transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-28 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

A retrovirus dynamic model is proposed. We pay attention to the case when viral pathogenicity is low and the infected cells are able to reproduce. Using Lyapunov function method we study stability properties of an inner equilibrium of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Andrei Korobeinikov , Alexander Rezounenko

Traditional studies about disease dynamics have focused on global stability issues, due to their epidemiological importance. We study a classical SIR-SI model for arboviruses in two different directions: we begin by describing an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-28 Max O. Souza

In Part 1, we introduced a stochastic model of an infectious disease, based on the BDI (birth and death with immigration) process. We showed that random processes defined by this model can capture the essence of the stochastic, often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-28 Hisashi Kobayashi

In this article, we consider an HIV/AIDS epidemic model with four classes of individuals. We have discussed about basic properties of the system and found the basic reproduction number $R_0$ of the system. The stability analysis of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Nouar Chorfi , Salem Abdelmalek , Samir Bendoukha

Epidemic processes are used commonly for modeling and analysis of biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks. The idea of competing viruses has been explored recently, motivated by the spread of different ideas along…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Philip E. Paré , Ji Liu , Carolyn L. Beck , Angelia Nedić , Tamer Başar

In the field of modeling the dynamics of oncolytic viruses, researchers often face the challenge of using specialized mathematical terms to explain uncertain biological phenomena. This paper introduces a basic framework for an oncolytic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Zizi Wang

A novel model of biological organisms is advanced, treating an organism as a self-consistent system subject to a pathogen flux. The principal novelty of the model is that it describes not some parts, but a biological organism as a whole.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova , J. -Y. Henry , J. P. Cobb

Infection by many viruses begins with fusion of viral and cellular lipid membranes, followed by entry of viral contents into the target cell and ultimately, after many biochemical steps, integration of viral DNA into that of the host cell.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-10 Bhaven Mistry , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Nicholas E. Webb , Benhur Lee , Tom Chou

We use a cellular automata model to study the evolution of HIV infection and the onset of AIDS. The model takes into account the global features of the immune response to any pathogen, the fast mutation rate of the HIV and a fair amount of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rita Maria Zorzenon dos Santos , Sergio Coutinho

With the launch of second line anti-retroviral therapy for HIV infected individuals, there has been an increased expectation on surviving period of people with HIV. We consider previously well-known models in HIV epidemiology where the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-15 Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao

It is essential to understand the dynamics of epidemics in the presence of coexisting pathogens. There are various phenomenon that can effect the dynamics. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model using different assumptions to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , U. Wennergren

Considering the propagation characteristics of COVID-19 in different regions, the dynamics analysis and numerical demonstration of long-term and short-term models of COVID-19 are carried out, respectively. The long-term model is devoted to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Songbai Guo , Yuling Xue , Xiliang Li , Zuohuan Zheng

Mechanistic mathematical models of within-host viral dynamics are tools for understanding how a virus' biology and its interaction with the immune system shape the infectivity of a host. The biology of the process is encoded by the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-11 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

In this article, we present two novel variants of the contact process. In the first variant individuals carry a viral load. An individual with viral load zero is classified as healthy and otherwise infected. If an individual becomes…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Marco Seiler

In this paper, we propose a new model for the dynamics of COVID-19 infections. Our approach consists of seven phenotypes: the susceptible humans, exposed humans, infectious humans, the recovered humans, the quarantine population, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-23 Haifa Ben Fredj , Farouk Chérif

Despite being similar in structure, functioning, and size viral pathogens enjoy very different mostly well-defined ways of life. They occupy their hosts for a few days (influenza), for a few weeks (measles), or even lifelong (HCV), which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Alexander Lange

In December 2019, a newly discovered SARS-CoV-2 virus was emerged from China and propagated worldwide as a pandemic. In the absence of preventive medicine or a ready to use vaccine, mathematical models can provide useful scientific insights…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Indrajit Ghosh

Pathology tests are central to modern healthcare in terms of diagnosis and patient management. Aggregated pathology results provide opportunities for research into fundamental and applied questions in health and medicine, but data analytic…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-05 N. Menon , B. A. Lidbury , A. M. Richardson