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The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has wreaked havoc worldwide with millions of lives claimed, human travel restricted and economic development halted. Leveraging city-level mobility and case data, our analysis shows…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-29 Yafei Zhang , Lin Wang , Jonathan J. H. Zhu , Xiaofan Wang

The ongoing respiratory COVID-19 pandemic has heavily impacted the social and private lives of the majority of the global population. This infection is primarily transmitted via virus-laden fluid particles (i.e., droplets and aerosols) that…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-07-07 Alexander S. Sakharov , Konstantin Zhukov

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has a variable clinical presentation that ranges from asymptomatic, to severe disease with cytokine storm. The mortality rates also differ across the globe, ranging from 0.5-13%.…

A molecule of dimension 125nm has caused around 479 Million human infections (80M for the USA) & 6.1 Million human deaths (977,000 for the USA) worldwide and slashed the global economy by US$ 8.5 Trillion over two years. The only other…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-29 Jatin Kashyap , Dibakar Datta

A number of epidemics, including the SARS-CoV-1 epidemic of 2002-2004, have been known to exhibit superspreading, in which a small fraction of infected individuals is responsible for the majority of new infections. The existence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-31 Calvin Pozderac , Brian Skinner

The Covid-19 pandemic has focused attention on airborne transmission of viruses. Using realistic air flow simulation, we model droplet dispersion from coughing and study the transmission risk related to SARS-CoV-2. Although most airborne…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-06-28 Hongying Li , Fong Yew Leong , George Xu , Chang Wei Kang , Keng Hui Lim , Ban Hock Tan , Chian Min Loo

During the COVID-19 pandemic, community containment measures have been implemented in different parts of the world. However, despite government recommendations and mandates, a progressive increase in mobility was observed in several sites.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-29 Ariel Félix Gualtieri , Pedro Hecht

COVID-19, since emerged in Wuhan, China, has been a major concern due to its high infection rate, leaving more than one million infected people around the world. Huge number of studies tried to reveal the structure of the SARS-CoV-2…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-04-07 Muhamed Amin , Mariam K. Sorour , Amal Kasry

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, both voluntary changes in behavior and administrative restrictions on human interactions have occurred. These actions are intended to reduce the transmission rate of the severe acute respiratory…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Michael S. Warren , Samuel W. Skillman

We study the spreading of viruses, such as SARS-CoV-2, by airborne aerosols, via a new first-passage-time problem for Lagrangian tracers that are advected by a turbulent flow: By direct numerical simulations of the three-dimensional (3D)…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-08-19 Akhilesh Kumar Verma , Akshay Bhatnagar , Dhrubaditya Mitra , Rahul Pandit

The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for mathematical models that can project epidemic trends and evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation strategies. To forecast the transmission of COVID-19, a major challenge is the accurate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-21 Kejie Chen , Yanqing Li , Rongxin Zhou , Xiaomo Jiang

The pandemic caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has affected countries all across the world, heavily burdening the medical infrastructure with the growing number of patients affected by the coronavirus…

We modelled emergence and spread of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia between December 2021 and June 2022. This pandemic stage exhibited a diverse epidemiological profile with emergence of co-circulating sub-lineages of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-04 Sheryl L. Chang , Quang Dang Nguyen , Alexandra Martiniuk , Vitali Sintchenko , Tania C. Sorrell , Mikhail Prokopenko

Accurate and reliable forecasting of emerging dominant severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants enables policymakers and vaccine makers to get prepared for future waves of infections. The last three waves of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-19 Jiahui Chen , Rui Wang , Yuta Hozumi , Gengzhuo Liu , Yuchi Qiu , Xiaoqi Wei , Guo-Wei Wei

The clinical spectrum of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the strain of coronavirus that caused the COVID-19 pandemic, is broad, extending from asymptomatic infection to severe immunopulmonary reactions that, if…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-18 Aaron Wang , Feng Li , Samantha Chiang , Jennifer Fulcher , Otto Yang , David Wong , Fang Wei

In the present article we introduce an epidemiological model for the investigation of the spread of epidemics caused by viruses. The model is applied specifically to COVID-19, the disease caused by the SARS-Cov-2 virus (aka "novel…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Rodrigo A. Schulz , Carlos H. Coimbra-Araújo , Samuel W. S. Costiche

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, commonly referred to as COVID-19, triggered the global pandemic. Although the nature of the international spread of infection is an important issue, extracting diffusion networks from observations is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Hiroyasu Inoue , Wataru Souma , Yoshi Fujiwara

In this work, we address the connection between population density centers in urban areas, and the nature of human flows between such centers, in shaping the vulnerability to the onset of contagious diseases. A study of 163 cities, chosen…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-02 Surendra Hazarie , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , Gourab Ghoshal

There is a near consensus view that SARS-CoV-2 has a natural zoonotic origin; however, several characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 taken together are not easily explained by a natural zoonotic origin hypothesis. These include: a low rate of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-10 Rossana Segreto , Yuri Deigin , Kevin McCairn , Alejandro Sousa , Dan Sirotkin , Karl Sirotkin , Jonathan J. Couey , Adrian Jones , Daoyu Zhang

Infectious diseases are a threat for human health with tremendous impact on our society at large. The recent COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the SARS-CoV-2, is the latest example of a highly infectious disease ravaging the world, since late…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-17 Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Corentin Cot , Michele Della Morte , Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino , Shahram Vatani