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Recalibration of binary probabilistic classifiers to a target prior probability is an important task in areas like credit risk management. However, recalibration of a classifier learned on a training dataset to a target on a test dataset in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Dirk Tasche

Transfer learning has emerged as a powerful technique for improving the performance of machine learning models on new domains where labeled training data may be scarce. In this approach a model trained for a source task, where plenty of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Seyed Mohammadreza Mousavi Kalan , Zalan Fabian , A. Salman Avestimehr , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

We consider a non-parametric Bayesian model for conditional densities. The model is a finite mixture of normal distributions with covariate dependent multinomial logit mixing probabilities. A prior for the number of mixture components is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-21 Andriy Norets , Debdeep Pati

An interesting phenomenon arises: Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) sometimes outperforms methods specifically designed for out-of-distribution tasks. This motivates an investigation into the reasons behind such behavior beyond algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hong Zheng , Fei Teng

We study the optimal rates of convergence for estimating a prior distribution over a VC class from a sequence of independent data sets respectively labeled by independent target functions sampled from the prior. We specifically derive upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-21 Liu Yang , Steve Hanneke , Jaime Carbonell

The phenomenon of data distribution evolving over time has been observed in a range of applications, calling the needs of adaptive learning algorithms. We thus study the problem of supervised gradual domain adaptation, where labeled data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Jing Dong , Shiji Zhou , Baoxiang Wang , Han Zhao

In this paper, we derive minimax rates for estimating both parametric and nonparametric components in partially linear additive models with high dimensional sparse vectors and smooth functional components. The minimax lower bound for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-16 Zhuqing Yu , Michael Levine , Guang Cheng

This paper studies the problem of nonparametric estimation of a smooth function with data distributed across multiple machines. We assume an independent sample from a white noise model is collected at each machine, and an estimator of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Yuancheng Zhu , John Lafferty

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift of a continuously observed one-dimensional diffusion with periodic drift. Motivated by computational considerations, van der Meulen e.a. (2014) defined a prior on the drift as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Jan van Waaij

We consider the problem of adaptive inference on a regression function at a point under a multivariate nonparametric regression setting. The regression function belongs to a H\"older class and is assumed to be monotone with respect to some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Koohyun Kwon , Soonwoo Kwon

This study investigates the misclassification excess risk bound in the context of 1-bit matrix completion, a significant problem in machine learning involving the recovery of an unknown matrix from a limited subset of its entries. Matrix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 The Tien Mai

We present a new model and methods for the posterior drift problem where the regression function in the target domain is modeled as a linear adjustment (on an appropriate scale) of that in the source domain, an idea that inherits the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Subha Maity , Diptavo Dutta , Jonathan Terhorst , Yuekai Sun , Moulinath Banerjee

Stochastic optimization lies at the core of most statistical learning models. The recent great development of stochastic algorithmic tools focused significantly onto proximal gradient iterations, in order to find an efficient approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Andrei Patrascu , Ciprian Paduraru , Paul Irofti

Minimax problems have achieved success in machine learning such as adversarial training, robust optimization, reinforcement learning. For theoretical analysis, current optimal excess risk bounds, which are composed by generalization error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Bowei Zhu , Shaojie Li , Yong Liu

Estimating linear, mean-square continuous functionals is a pivotal challenge in statistics. In high-dimensional contexts, this estimation is often performed under the assumption of exact model sparsity, meaning that only a small number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Jelena Bradic , Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Yinchu Zhu

We consider a class of conditional forward-backward diffusion models for conditional generative modeling, that is, generating new data given a covariate (or control variable). To formally study the theoretical properties of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Rong Tang , Lizhen Lin , Yun Yang

The celebrated minimax principle of Yao (1977) says that for any Boolean-valued function $f$ with finite domain, there is a distribution $\mu$ over the domain of $f$ such that computing $f$ to error $\epsilon$ against inputs from $\mu$ is…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Shalev Ben-David , Eric Blais

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for evaluating the causal effect of a treatment; however, they often have limited sample sizes and sometimes poor generalizability. On the other hand, non-randomized, observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Shuxiao Chen , Bo Zhang , Ting Ye

Temporal distribution shifts pose a key challenge for machine learning models trained and deployed in dynamically evolving environments. This paper introduces RIDER (RIsk minimization under Dynamically Evolving Regimes) which derives…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Yujin Jeong , Ramesh Johari , Dominik Rothenhäusler , Emily Fox

As machine learning models are deployed ever more broadly, it becomes increasingly important that they are not only able to perform well on their training distribution, but also yield accurate predictions when confronted with distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig
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