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Fabrication process variations can significantly influence the performance and yield of nano-scale electronic and photonic circuits. Stochastic spectral methods have achieved great success in quantifying the impact of process variations,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-29 Zichang He , Zheng Zhang

Counterfactual explanations indicate the smallest change in input that can translate to a different outcome for a machine learning model. Counterfactuals have generated immense interest in high-stakes applications such as finance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Erfaun Noorani , Pasan Dissanayake , Faisal Hamman , Sanghamitra Dutta

We study identification of differentiated product demand from market-level data when product characteristics can be endogenous. Past work suggests nonparametric identification may be impossible: that is, in addition to standard price…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Kirill Borusyak , Jiafeng Chen , Peter Hull , Lihua Lei

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become increasingly important in many fields. In this paper we study distributions and quantiles of individual treatment effects to provide a more comprehensive and robust understanding of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Zhe Chen , Xinran Li

Partnering with a large online retailer, we consider the problem of sending daily personalized promotions to a userbase of over 20 million customers. We propose an efficient policy for determining, every day, the promotion that each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Jackie Baek , Will Ma , Dmitry Mitrofanov

Heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation from observational data poses significant challenges due to treatment selection bias. Existing methods address this bias by minimizing distribution discrepancies between treatment groups in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Hao Wang , Zhichao Chen , Zhaoran Liu , Xu Chen , Haoxuan Li , Zhouchen Lin

Contextual pricing strategies are prevalent in online retailing, where the seller adjusts prices based on products' attributes and buyers' characteristics. Although such strategies can enhance seller's profits, they raise concerns about…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Pangpang Liu , Will Wei Sun

This paper proposes a novel method for demand forecasting in a pricing context. Here, modeling the causal relationship between price as an input variable to demand is crucial because retailers aim to set prices in a (profit) optimal manner…

This study investigates the optimal strategy for a firm operating in a dynamic Keynesian market setting. The firm's objective function is optimized using the percent deviations from the symmetric equilibrium of both its own price and the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-05 Paramahansa Pramanik , Lambert Dong

We study the price rigidity of regular and sale prices, and how it is affected by pricing formats (pricing strategies). We use data from three large Canadian stores with different pricing formats (Every-Day-Low-Price, Hi-Lo, and Hybrid)…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-03 Sourav Ray , Avichai Snir , Daniel Levy

This article proposes different tests for treatment effect heterogeneity when the outcome of interest, typically a duration variable, may be right-censored. The proposed tests study whether a policy 1) has zero distributional (average)…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

Heterogeneous treatment effects are of major interest in economics. For example, a poverty reduction measure would be best evaluated by its effects on those who would be poor in the absence of the treatment, or by the share among the poor…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-07 Tetsuya Kaji , Jianfei Cao

Despite their cost, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are widely regarded as gold-standard evidence in disciplines ranging from social science to medicine. In recent decades, researchers have increasingly sought to reduce the resource…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Guilherme Duarte

Factor-adjusted multiple testing is used for handling strong correlated tests. Since most of previous works control the false discovery rate under sparse alternatives, we develop a two-step method, namely the AdaFAT, for any true false…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Mengkun Du , Lan Wu

We study counterfactual classification as a new tool for decision-making under hypothetical (contrary to fact) scenarios. We propose a doubly-robust nonparametric estimator for a general counterfactual classifier, where we can incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Kwangho Kim , Edward H. Kennedy , José R. Zubizarreta

This paper proposes a new procedure to validate the multi-factor pricing theory by testing the presence of alpha in linear factor pricing models with a large number of assets. Because the market's inefficient pricing is likely to occur to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Qiang Xia , Xianyang Zhang

In contextual dynamic pricing, a seller sequentially prices goods based on contextual information. Buyers will purchase products only if the prices are below their valuations. The goal of the seller is to design a pricing strategy that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-14 Matilde Tullii , Solenne Gaucher , Nadav Merlis , Vianney Perchet

Learning user preferences for products based on their past purchases or reviews is at the cornerstone of modern recommendation engines. One complication in this learning task is that some users are more likely to purchase products or review…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Wanning Chen , Mohsen Bayati

We continue the study of the performance for fixed-price mechanisms in the bilateral trade problem, and improve approximation ratios of welfare-optimal mechanisms in several settings. Specifically, in the case where only the buyer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-29 Zhengyang Liu , Zeyu Ren , Zihe Wang

Studying competition and market structure at the product level instead of brand level can provide firms with insights on cannibalization and product line optimization. However, it is computationally challenging to analyze product-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Fanglin Chen , Xiao Liu , Davide Proserpio , Isamar Troncoso , Feiyu Xiong