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We introduce a stochastic model of binary opinion dynamics in which the opinions are determined by the size of the neighbouring domains. The exit probability here shows a step function behaviour indicating the existence of a separatrix…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-07-08 Soham Biswas , Suman Sinha , Parongama Sen

In economic studies and popular media, interest rates are routinely cited as a major factor behind commodity price fluctuations. At the same time, the transmission channels are far from transparent, leading to long-running debates on the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-09-18 Christophe Gouel , Qingyin Ma , John Stachurski

We propose a continuous-time stock-flow consistent model for inventory dynamics in an economy with firms, banks, and households. On the supply side, firms decide on production based on adaptive expectations for sales demand and a desired…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-05 Matheus Grasselli , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

We present a simple model of firm rating evolution. We consider two sources of defaults: individual dynamics of economic development and Potts-like interactions between firms. We show that such a defined model leads to phase transition,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Paweł Sieczka , Janusz A. Hołyst

Scaling properties in financial fluctuations are reviewed from the standpoint of statistical physics. We firstly show theoretically that the balance of demand and supply enhances fluctuations due to the underlying phase transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 H. Takayasu , M. Takayasu , M. P. Okazaki , K. Marumo , T. Shimizu

We develop a stochastic macro-financial model in continuous time by integrating two specifications of the Keen economic framework with a financial market driven by a jump-diffusion process. The economic block of the model combines monetary…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Matheus R. Grasselli , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

When complex systems are driven to extinction by some external factor, their non-stationary dynamics can present an intermittent behaviour between relative tranquility and burst of activity whose consequences are often catastrophic. To…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-21 Juan V Escobar , Isaac Pérez Castillo

Agents buy and sell services. All services are of equal quality. Buyers choose sellers at random. Monetary and fiscal policies are imposed by a central bank and a central government. Credit is supplied by a commercial banking system.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-03 Robert W. Easton

Due to the inherent safety concerns associated with traffic movement in unconstrained two-dimensional settings, it is important that pedestrians' and other modes' movements such as bicyclists are modeled as a risk-taking stochastic dynamic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-30 Mohaiminul Haque , Samer Hamdar , Alireza Talebpour

Using a Taylor rule amended with official reserves movements, we derive country-specific monetary shocks and employ a local projections-estimator for tracking gender-disaggregated labor-market responses in 99 developing economies from 2009…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-09 Marjan Petreski , Stefan Tanevski , Alejandro D. Jacobo

We propose a novel kinetic exchange model differing from previous ones in two main aspects. First, the basic dynamics is modified in order to represent economies where immediate wealth exchanges are carried out, instead of reshufflings or…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-07 Els Heinsalu , Marco Patriarca

Will a large economy be stable? Building on Robert May's original argument for large ecosystems, we conjecture that evolutionary and behavioural forces conspire to drive the economy towards marginal stability. We study networks of firms in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-25 José Moran , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We investigate the macroeconomic consequences of narrow banking in the context of stock-flow consistent models. We begin with an extension of the Goodwin-Keen model incorporating time deposits, government bills, cash, and central bank…

General Economics · Economics 2018-10-16 Matheus R Grasselli , Alexander Lipton

This paper is based on the premise that economic growth is driven by an interplay between innovation and imitation in an economy composed of interacting firms operating in a stochastic environment. A novel approach to modeling imitation is…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2019-08-15 Olivier Gallay , Max-Olivier Hongler , Fariba Hashemi

A common assumption of political economy is that profit rates across firms or sectors tend to uniformity, and often models are formulated in which this tendency is assumed to have been realised. But in reality this tendency is never…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2011-03-24 Ian Wright

The global decline in the labor income share has challenged the classical Kaldor facts; however, the macroeconomic aggregation mechanism -- namely, how aggregate factor shares emerge from firm-level heterogeneity -- remains underexplored.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-04 Jihyuan Liuh

I develop a dynamic model of how internal capital markets in conglomerates respond to liquidity shocks when affiliated firms vary in innovation potential. A two-stage framework defines cutoff rules for when the conglomerate should liquidate…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-21 Payne Hennigan

All economies require physical resource consumption to grow and maintain their structure. The modern economy is additionally characterized by private debt. The Human and Resources with MONEY (HARMONEY) economic growth model links these…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-07 Carey W. King

The Brain Drain phenomenon is particularly heterogeneous and is characterized by peculiar specifications. It influences the economic fundamentals of both the country of origin and the host one in terms of human capital accumulation. Here,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-22 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda

We investigate the full dynamics of capital allocation and wealth distribution of heterogeneous agents in a frictional economy during booms and busts using tools from mean-field games. Two groups in our models, namely the expert and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-18 Hoang Vu , Tomoyuki Ichiba