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A macroeconomic model based on the economic variables (i) assets, (ii) leverage (defined as debt over asset) and (iii) trust (defined as the maximum sustainable leverage) is proposed to investigate the role of credit in the dynamics of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Jeroen Rozendaal , Yannick Malevergne , Didier Sornette

The relationships which characterise the outcomes of the interactions between firms in the economy appear to follow power law behaviour. In particular, there is evidence that the empirical power laws which relate the size of an extinction…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 P Ormerod , H Johns

Quasi-equilibrium models for aggregate variables are widely-used throughout finance and economics. The validity of such models depends crucially upon assuming that the systems' participants behave both independently and in a Markovian…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-21 Harbir Lamba

We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-04-23 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova

We develop a tractable macroeconomic model that captures dynamic behaviors across multiple timescales, including business cycles. The model is anchored in a dynamic capital demand framework reflecting an interactions-based process whereby…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-08 Karl Naumann-Woleske , Michael Benzaquen , Maxim Gusev , Dimitri Kroujiline

Accuracy of economic theories and efficiency of economic policy strictly depend on the choice of the economic variables and processes mostly liable for description of economic reality. That states the general problem of assessment of any…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-17 Victor Olkhov

The origin of economic crises is a key problem for economics. We present a model of long-run competitive markets to show that the multiplicity of behaviors in an economic system, over a long time scale, emerge as statistical regularities…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-10-08 Yong Tao

There is by now a large consensus in modern monetary policy. This consensus has been built upon a dynamic general equilibrium model of optimal monetary policy as developed by, e.g., Goodfriend and King (1997), Clarida et al. (1999),…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Orlando Gomes , Vivaldo M. Mendes , Diana A. Mendes , J. Sousa Ramos

When a firm hires a worker, adding the new hire to payroll is costly. These costs reduce the amount of resources that can go to recruiting workers and amplify how unemployment responds to changes in productivity. Workers also incur up-front…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-28 Rich Ryan

The purpose of this research article is to discover how the econophysics analysis can complement the econometrics models in application to the risk management in the central banks and financial institutions, operating within the nonlinear…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-20 Dimitri O. Ledenyov , Viktor O. Ledenyov

We examine how monetary shocks spread throughout an economic model characterized by sticky prices and general equilibrium, where the pricing strategies of firms are interlinked, fostering a mutually beneficial relationship. In this dynamic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-01 Lambert Dong

Stylized facts can be regarded as constraints for any modeling attempt of price dynamics on a financial market, in that an empirically reasonable model has to reproduce these stylized facts at least qualitatively. The dynamics of market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-12 Stefan Reimann , Andreas Tupak

We give a new predictive mathematical model for macroeconomics, which deals specifically with asset prices and earnings fluctuations, in the presence of a dynamic economy involving mergers, acquisitions, and hostile takeovers. Consider a…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 William Gordon Ritter

This paper provides an alternative approach to Duffie and Lando [Econometrica 69 (2001) 633-664] for obtaining a reduced form credit risk model from a structural model. Duffie and Lando obtain a reduced form model by constructing an economy…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Umut Cetin , Robert Jarrow , Philip Protter , Yildiray Yildirim

I characterize optimal government policy in a sticky-price economy with different types of consumers and endogenous financial constraints in the banking and entrepreneurial sectors. The competitive equilibrium allocation is constrained…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-29 Aliaksandr Zaretski

Social employment, which is mostly carried by firms of different types, determines the prosperity and stability of a country. As time passing, the fluctuations of firm employment can reflect the process of creating or destroying jobs.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-30 Boyang You , Kerry Papps

We propose a stochastic map model of economic dynamics. In the last decade, an array of observations in economics has been investigated in the econophysics literature, a major example being the universal features of inequality in terms of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Anindya S. Chakrabarti

How should central banks optimally aggregate sectoral inflation rates in the presence of imperfect labor mobility across sectors? We study this issue in a two-sector New-Keynesian model and show that a lower degree of sectoral labor…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-03 Alessandro Cantelmo , Giovanni Melina

An agent-based model for firms' dynamics is developed. The model consists of firm agents with identical characteristic parameters and a bank agent. Dynamics of those agents is described by their balance sheets. Each firm tries to maximize…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-14 Hiroshi Iyetomi , Hideaki Aoyama , Yoshi Fujiwara , Yuichi Ikeda , Wataru Souma

In macroeconomics, an emerging discussion of alternative monetary systems addresses the dimensions of systemic risk in advanced financial systems. Monetary regime changes with the aim of achieving a more sustainable financial system have…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-11 Florian Peters , Doris Neuberger , Oliver Reinhardt , Adelinde Uhrmacher