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Consider observing a collection of discrete events within a network that reflect how network nodes influence one another. Such data are common in spike trains recorded from biological neural networks, interactions within a social network,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Benjamin Mark , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

Increasing evidence suggests that variability in longitudinal biomarkers, in addition to their mean trajectory, carries prognostic information for time-to-event outcomes. However, standard joint models typically capture only the expected…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Felix Boakye Oppong , Dimitris Rizopoulos , Thierry Gorlia , Nicole Erler

In the context of survival analysis, data-driven neural network-based methods have been developed to model complex covariate effects. While these methods may provide better predictive performance than regression-based approaches, not all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Jesse Islam , Maxime Turgeon , Robert Sladek , Sahir Bhatnagar

In a wide variety of applications, humans interact with a complex environment by means of asynchronous stochastic discrete events in continuous time. Can we design online interventions that will help humans achieve certain goals in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Utkarsh Upadhyay , Abir De , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

This paper introduces a new latent variable generative model able to handle high dimensional longitudinal data and relying on variational inference. The time dependency between the observations of an input sequence is modelled using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Clément Chadebec , Stéphanie Allassonnière

Often in Phase 3 clinical trials measuring a long-term time-to-event endpoint, such as overall survival or progression-free survival, investigators also collect repeated measures on biomarkers which may be predictive of the primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Abigail J. Burdon , Lisa V. Hampson , Christopher Jennison

Recent developments in predictive modeling using marked temporal point processes (MTPP) have enabled an accurate characterization of several real-world applications involving continuous-time event sequences (CTESs). However, the retrieval…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur , Abir De

Continuous-time event sequences, in which events occur at irregular intervals, are ubiquitous across a wide range of industrial and scientific domains. The contemporary modeling paradigm is to treat such data as realizations of a temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Padhraic Smyth

In this paper, we explore the inclusion of latent random variables into the dynamic hidden state of a recurrent neural network (RNN) by combining elements of the variational autoencoder. We argue that through the use of high-level latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-08 Junyoung Chung , Kyle Kastner , Laurent Dinh , Kratarth Goel , Aaron Courville , Yoshua Bengio

Temporal point process is widely used for sequential data modeling. In this paper, we focus on the problem of modeling sequential event propagation in graph, such as retweeting by social network users, news transmitting between websites,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Weichang Wu , Huanxi Liu , Xiaohu Zhang , Yu Liu , Hongyuan Zha

Recurrent neural network based solutions are increasingly being used in the analysis of longitudinal Electronic Health Record data. However, most works focus on prediction accuracy and neglect prediction uncertainty. We propose Deep Kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Peter A. Fasching , Volker Tresp

Multi-person event recognition is a challenging task, often with many people active in the scene but only a small subset contributing to an actual event. In this paper, we propose a model which learns to detect events in such videos while…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-03-18 Vignesh Ramanathan , Jonathan Huang , Sami Abu-El-Haija , Alexander Gorban , Kevin Murphy , Li Fei-Fei

Understanding complex user behaviour under various conditions, scenarios and journeys can be fundamental to the improvement of the user-experience for a given system. Predictive models of user reactions, responses -- and in particular,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2016-08-11 Mohamed Mostafa , Tom Crick , Ana C. Calderon , Giles Oatley

Individual user profiles and interaction histories play a significant role in providing customized experiences in real-world applications such as chatbots, social media, retail, and education. Adaptive user representation learning by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Ruixue Lian , Che-Wei Huang , Yuqing Tang , Qilong Gu , Chengyuan Ma , Chenlei Guo

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have become the state-of-the-art choice for extracting patterns from temporal sequences. However, current RNN models are ill-suited to process irregularly sampled data triggered by events generated in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Daniel Neil , Michael Pfeiffer , Shih-Chii Liu

We explored the challenge of predicting and explaining the occurrence of events within sequences of data points. Our focus was particularly on scenarios in which unknown triggers causing the occurrence of events may consist of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Harrison Lam , Yuanjie Chen , Noboru Kanazawa , Mohammad Chowdhury , Anna Battista , Stephan Waldert

A common goal in network modeling is to uncover the latent community structure present among nodes. For many real-world networks, the true connections consist of events arriving as streams, which are then aggregated to form edges, ignoring…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Guanhua Fang , Owen G. Ward , Tian Zheng

Generative, pre-trained transformers (GPTs, a.k.a. "Foundation Models") have reshaped natural language processing (NLP) through their versatility in diverse downstream tasks. However, their potential extends far beyond NLP. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Matthew B. A. McDermott , Bret Nestor , Peniel Argaw , Isaac Kohane

Mixture models are a fundamental tool in applied statistics and machine learning for treating data taken from multiple subpopulations. The current practice for estimating the parameters of such models relies on local search heuristics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-07 Animashree Anandkumar , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade

We consider the setting where a collection of time series, modeled as random processes, evolve in a causal manner, and one is interested in learning the graph governing the relationships of these processes. A special case of wide interest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Hossein Hosseini , Sreeram Kannan , Baosen Zhang , Radha Poovendran