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In many applications, observed data are influenced by some combination of latent causes. For example, suppose sensors are placed inside a building to record responses such as temperature, humidity, power consumption and noise levels. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-16 Sinead A. Williamson , Michael Minyi Zhang , Paul Damien

Time-to-event models are a popular tool to analyse data where the outcome variable is the time to the occurrence of a specific event of interest. Here we focus on the analysis of time-to-event outcomes that are either intrisically discrete…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-14 Moritz Berger , Matthias Schmid

Established recurrent neural networks are well-suited to solve a wide variety of prediction tasks involving discrete sequences. However, they do not perform as well in the task of dynamical system identification, when dealing with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Thomas Demeester

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

Event log analysis is an important task that security professionals undertake. Event logs record key information on activities that occur on computing devices, and due to the substantial number of events generated, they consume a large…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Siraaj Akhtar , Saad Khan , Simon Parkinson

In health cohort studies, repeated measures of markers are often used to describe the natural history of a disease. Joint models allow to study their evolution by taking into account the possible informative dropout usually due to clinical…

Although static networks have been extensively studied in machine learning, data mining, and AI communities for many decades, the study of dynamic networks has recently taken center stage due to the prominence of social media and its…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Tony Gracious , Shubham Gupta , Arun Kanthali , Rui M. Castro , Ambedkar Dukkipati

The standard paradigm of modeling marked point processes is by parameterizing the intensity function using an attention-based (Transformer-style) architecture. Despite the flexibility of these methods, their inference is based on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-30 Aristeidis Panos

Multivariate longitudinal data of mixed-type are increasingly collected in many science domains. However, algorithms to cluster this kind of data remain scarce, due to the challenge to simultaneously model the within- and between-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-16 Francesco Amato , Julien Jacques

Modeling and forecasting forward citations to a patent is a central task for the discovery of emerging technologies and for measuring the pulse of inventive progress. Conventional methods for forecasting these forward citations cast the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Taoran Ji , Zhiqian Chen , Nathan Self , Kaiqun Fu , Chang-Tien Lu , Naren Ramakrishnan

Epilepsy is a disorder characterised by spontaneous, recurrent seizures. Both local and network abnormalities have been associated with epilepsy, and the exact processes generating seizures are thought to be heterogeneous and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-01-07 Yujiang Wang , Gabrielle Marie Schroeder , Nishant Sinha , Peter Neal Taylor

Many real world applications can be formulated as event forecasting on Continuous Time Dynamic Graphs (CTDGs) where the occurrence of a timed event between two entities is represented as an edge along with its occurrence timestamp in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Xuhong Wang , Sirui Chen , Yixuan He , Minjie Wang , Quan Gan , Yupu Yang , Junchi Yan

Longitudinal and time-to-event data are often analyzed in biomarker research to study the association between the longitudinal biomarker measurements and the event-time outcome, in which the longitudinal information contributes to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Minzee Kim , Joel A. Dubin

We propose a new class of parameterizations for spatio-temporal point processes which leverage Neural ODEs as a computational method and enable flexible, high-fidelity models of discrete events that are localized in continuous time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Ricky T. Q. Chen , Brandon Amos , Maximilian Nickel

Irregular sampling occurs in many time series modeling applications where it presents a significant challenge to standard deep learning models. This work is motivated by the analysis of physiological time series data in electronic health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

To improve the identification of potential anomaly patterns in complex user behavior, this paper proposes an anomaly detection method based on a deep mixture density network. The method constructs a Gaussian mixture model parameterized by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Lu Dai , Wenxuan Zhu , Xuehui Quan , Renzi Meng , Sheng Chai , Yichen Wang

The amount of content on online music streaming platforms is immense, and most users only access a tiny fraction of this content. Recommender systems are the application of choice to open up the collection to these users. Collaborative…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-08-23 Cedric De Boom , Rohan Agrawal , Samantha Hansen , Esh Kumar , Romain Yon , Ching-Wei Chen , Thomas Demeester , Bart Dhoedt

Object-centric predictive process monitoring explores and utilizes object-centric event logs to enhance process predictions. The main challenge lies in extracting relevant information and building effective models. In this paper, we propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Wissam Gherissi , Mehdi Acheli , Joyce El Haddad , Daniela Grigori

A parametric point process model is developed, with modeling based on the assumption that sequential observations often share latent phenomena, while also possessing idiosyncratic effects. An alternating optimization method is proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Hongteng Xu , Lawrence Carin , Hongyuan Zha

Various models have been proposed to incorporate knowledge of syntactic structures into neural language models. However, previous works have relied heavily on elaborate components for a specific language model, usually recurrent neural…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Zhixian Yang , Xiaojun Wan