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Machine learning applications require fast and reliable per-sample uncertainty estimation. A common approach is to use predictive distributions from Bayesian or approximation methods and additively decompose uncertainty into aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 H. Martin Gillis , Isaac Xu , Thomas Trappenberg

In several environmental applications data are functions of time, essentially con- tinuous, observed and recorded discretely, and spatially correlated. Most of the methods for analyzing such data are extensions of spatial statistical tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-28 Elvira Romano , Antonio Balzanella , Rosanna Verde

Weather and climate forecasts are inherently uncertain due to chaotic dynamics, imperfect initial conditions, and incomplete representation of the underlying physical processes. Operational ensemble forecasts aim to represent these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Birgit Kühbacher , Daan Crommelin , Niki Kilbertus

Ensembles of classifier models typically deliver superior performance and can outperform single classifier models given a dataset and classification task at hand. However, the gain in performance comes together with the lack in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-10-23 Bruno Schneider , Dominik Jäckle , Florian Stoffel , Alexandra Diehl , Johannes Fuchs , Daniel Keim

Visual representations of data (visualizations) are tools of great importance and widespread use in data analytics as they provide users visual insight to patterns in the observed data in a simple and effective way. However, since…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Lorenzo De Stefani , Leonhard F. Spiegelberg , Tim Kraska , Eli Upfal

Dimensionality reduction is a common method for analyzing and visualizing high-dimensional data. However, reasoning dynamically about the results of a dimensionality reduction is difficult. Dimensionality-reduction algorithms use complex…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Marco Cavallo , Çağatay Demiralp

Visualization and analysis of multivariate data and their uncertainty are top research challenges in data visualization. Constructing fiber surfaces is a popular technique for multivariate data visualization that generalizes the idea of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Tushar M. Athawale , Chris R. Johnson , Sudhanshu Sane , David Pugmire

Deep neural networks are in the limelight of machine learning with their excellent performance in many data-driven applications. However, they can lead to inaccurate predictions when queried in out-of-distribution data points, which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Yana Stoyanova , Soroush Ghandi , Maryam Tavakol

Ensemble datasets are ever more prevalent in various scientific domains. In climate science, ensemble datasets are used to capture variability in projections under plausible future conditions including greenhouse and aerosol emissions. Each…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Yuya Kawakami , Daniel Cayan , Dongyu Liu , Kwan-Liu Ma

We propose a data-driven space-filling curve method for 2D and 3D visualization. Our flexible curve traverses the data elements in the spatial domain in a way that the resulting linearization better preserves features in space compared to…

Graphics · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Liang Zhou , Chris R. Johnson , Daniel Weiskopf

Partitioning ocean flows into regions dynamically distinct from their surroundings based on material transport can assist search-and-rescue planning by reducing the search domain. The spectral clustering method partitions the domain by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-28 Guilherme S. Vieira , Irina I. Rypina , Michael R. Allshouse

Recent work has focused on data-driven learning of the evolution of unknown systems via deep neural networks (DNNs), with the goal of conducting long time prediction of the evolution of the unknown system. Training a DNN with low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Victor Churchill , Steve Manns , Zhen Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Climate science produces a wealth of complex, high-dimensional, multivariate data from observations and numerical models. These data are critical for understanding climate changes and their socioeconomic impacts. Climate scientists are…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Abdullah-Al-Raihan Nayeem , Dongyun Han , Huikyo Lee , Donghoon Kim , Daniel Feldman , William J. Tolone , Daniel Crichton , Isaac Cho

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

In this paper we consider a variety of procedures for numerical statistical inference in the family of univariate and multivariate stable distributions. In connection with univariate distributions (i) we provide approximations by finite…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-04 Efthymios G. Tsionas

The sensitivity of parameters in computational science problems is difficult to assess, especially for algorithms with multiple input parameters and diverse outputs. This work seeks to explore sensitivity analysis in the visualization…

Multidimensional unfolding methods are widely used for visualizing item response data. Such methods project respondents and items simultaneously onto a low-dimensional Euclidian space, in which respondents and items are represented by ideal…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-04 Yunxiao Chen , Zhiliang Ying , Haoran Zhang

Quantifying aleatoric uncertainty in medical image segmentation is critical since it is a reflection of the natural variability observed among expert annotators. A conventional approach is to model the segmentation distribution using the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Phi Van Nguyen , Ngoc Huynh Trinh , Duy Minh Lam Nguyen , Phu Loc Nguyen , Quoc Long Tran

Causal inference with observational studies often suffers from unmeasured confounding, yielding biased estimators based on the unconfoundedness assumption. Sensitivity analysis assesses how the causal conclusions change with respect to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-01 Sizhu Lu , Peng Ding

Dimension reduction and data visualization aim to project a high-dimensional dataset to a low-dimensional space while capturing the intrinsic structures in the data. It is an indispensable part of modern data science, and many dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-26 Rong Ma , Eric D. Sun , James Zou
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