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Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Inverse problems play a key role in modern image/signal processing methods. However, since they are generally ill-conditioned or ill-posed due to lack of observations, their solutions may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Analysing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-09 Xiaohao Cai , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

Uncertainty visualizations often emphasize point estimates to support magnitude estimates or decisions through visual comparison. However, when design choices emphasize means, users may overlook uncertainty information and misinterpret…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Alex Kale , Matthew Kay , Jessica Hullman

We propose InSituNet, a deep learning based surrogate model to support parameter space exploration for ensemble simulations that are visualized in situ. In situ visualization, generating visualizations at simulation time, is becoming…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-18 Wenbin He , Junpeng Wang , Hanqi Guo , Ko-Chih Wang , Han-Wei Shen , Mukund Raj , Youssef S. G. Nashed , Tom Peterka

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

Visual exploration of high-dimensional real-valued datasets is a fundamental task in exploratory data analysis (EDA). Existing methods use predefined criteria to choose the representation of data. There is a lack of methods that (i) elicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-08 Kai Puolamäki , Emilia Oikarinen , Bo Kang , Jefrey Lijffijt , Tijl De Bie

Sensitivity analysis is concerned with understanding how the model output depends on uncertainties (variances) in inputs and then identifies which inputs are important in contributing to the prediction imprecision. Uncertainty determination…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-04 Yueying Zhu , Qiuping Alexandre Wang , Wei Li , Xu Cai

Cross-disciplinary teams increasingly work with high-dimensional scientific datasets, yet fragmented toolchains and limited support for shared exploration hinder collaboration. Prior immersive visualization and analytics research has…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Fahim Arsad Nafis , Jie Li , Simon Su , Songqing Chen , Bo Han

Biased enhanced sampling methods utilizing collective variables (CVs) are powerful tools for sampling conformational ensembles. Due to high intrinsic dimensions, efficiently generating conformational ensembles for complex systems requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Yikai Liu , Tushar K. Ghosh , Guang Lin , Ming Chen

Virtual Diagnostic (VD) is a deep learning tool that can be used to predict a diagnostic output. VDs are especially useful in systems where measuring the output is invasive, limited, costly or runs the risk of damaging the output. Given a…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2021-08-02 Owen Convery , Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal , Adi Hanuka

Visual Odometry (VO) is fundamental to autonomous navigation, robotics, and augmented reality, with unsupervised approaches eliminating the need for expensive ground-truth labels. However, these methods struggle when dynamic objects violate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Jingchao Xie , Oussema Dhaouadi , Weirong Chen , Johannes Meier , Jacques Kaiser , Daniel Cremers

Instance segmentation has witnessed promising advancements through deep neural network-based algorithms. However, these models often exhibit incorrect predictions with unwarranted confidence levels. Consequently, evaluating prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Qasim M. K. Siddiqui , Sebastian Starke , Peter Steinbach

The HyperCarte research group wishes to offer a new cartographic tool for spatial analysis of social data, using the potential smoothing method. The purpose of this method is to view the spreading of phenomena's in a continuous way, at a…

Due to spatial dependence -- often characterized as complex and non-linear -- model misspecification is a prevalent and critical issue in spatial data analysis and prediction. As the data, and thus model performance, is heterogeneous,…

Ensembles of neural networks achieve superior performance compared to stand-alone networks in terms of accuracy, uncertainty calibration and robustness to dataset shift. \emph{Deep ensembles}, a state-of-the-art method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Sheheryar Zaidi , Arber Zela , Thomas Elsken , Chris Holmes , Frank Hutter , Yee Whye Teh

Ensembles of General Circulation Models (GCMs) are the primary tools for investigating climate sensitivity, projecting future climate states, and quantifying uncertainty. GCM ensembles are subject to substantial uncertainty due to model…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-29 Trevor Harris , Ryan Sriver

Robust state estimation in coupled dynamical systems depends critically not only on sensor quality but on the structural alignment between observation channels and the system's intrinsic dynamics. This paper develops a rigorous framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Somasundhar Venkatasubramanian , Anirudh Venkat , Advaidh Venkat

Investigating relationships between variables in multi-dimensional data sets is a common task for data analysts and engineers. More specifically, it is often valuable to understand which ranges of which input variables lead to particular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Johannes Knittel , Andres Lalama , Steffen Koch , Thomas Ertl

Uncertainty estimation, which provides a means of building explainable neural networks for medical imaging applications, have mostly been studied for single deep learning models that focus on a specific task. In this paper, we propose a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Leonhard F. Feiner , Martin J. Menten , Kerstin Hammernik , Paul Hager , Wenqi Huang , Daniel Rueckert , Rickmer F. Braren , Georgios Kaissis
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