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Consider n unit intervals, say [1,2], [3,4], ..., [2n-1,2n]. Identify their endpoints in pairs at random, with all (2n-1)!! = (2n-1) (2n-3) ... 3 1 pairings being equally likely. The result is a collection of cycles of various lengths, and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicholas Pippenger

In many schools throughout the United States, it is customary to hold a yearly "Secret Santa" event. With the approach of Christmas, all the students place their names in a hat; each student, in turn, draws a name out of the hat, thus…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Yannai A. Gonczarowski

This paper examines the classical matching distribution arising in the "problem of coincidences". We generalise the classical matching distribution with a preliminary round of allocation where items are correctly matched with some fixed…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-12-24 Ben O'Neill

A distinction is sometimes made between "statistical" and "subjective" probabilities. This is based on a distinction between "unique" events and "repeatable" events. We argue that this distinction is untenable, since all events are "unique"…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Henry E. Kyburg

We derive exact expressions for the probabilities that partly random hyperplanes separate two Euclidean balls. The probability that a fully random hyperplane separates two balls turns out to be significantly smaller than the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Olov Schavemaker

In this article, the issue of choice cuts made to a rectangular region are considered and explored. Results show that this problem is not trivial. Outcomes for teaching and learning are considered.

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-01-23 John O'Meara

We prove for an arbitrary one-dimensional random walk with independent increments that the probability of crossing a level at a given time n has the order of square root of n. Moment or symmetry assumptions are not necessary. In removing…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rainer Siegmund-Schultze , Heinrich von Weizsaecker

We consider the urn setting with two different objects, ``good'' and ``bad'', and analyze the number of draws without replacement until a good object is picked. Although the expected number of draws for this setting is a standard textbook…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-07 John Ahlgren

We seek conditions under which colorings of various vector spaces are guaranteed to have a copy of a unit equilateral triangle, having each vertex in a different color class. In particular, we explore the analogous question in the setting…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2017-02-13 Steven Senger

We study the probability that the product of two randomly chosen elements in a finite ring $R$ is equal to some fixed element $x \in R$. We calculate this probability for semisimple rings and some special classes of local rings, and find…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2025-04-18 David Dolžan

Let $N_n=\{1,2,...,n\}$. Elements are drawn from the set $N_n$ with replacement, assuming that each element has probability $1/n$ of being drawn. We determine the limiting distributions for the waiting time until the given portion of pairs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Pavle Mladenović

A rainbow subgraph of an edge-coloured graph has all edges of distinct colours. A random d-regular graph with d even, and having edges coloured randomly with d/2 of each of n colours, has a rainbow Hamilton cycle with probability tending to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Svante Janson , Nicholas Wormald

We extend the classical coupon collector's problem to one in which two collectors are simultaneously and independently seeking collections of $d$ coupons. We find, in finite terms, the probability that the two collectors finish at the same…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amy N. Myers , Herbert S. Wilf

In this article, we look at a hat-guessing game, in which each player must guess the color of their own hat while only seeing the hats of the other players. We focus on the case of two hat colors and a countably infinite number of players.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Nathaniel Eldredge

A birthday surprise is the event that, given k uniformly random samples from a sample space of size n, at least two of them are identical. We show that Bernoulli numbers can be used to derive arbitrarily exact bounds on the probability of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Boaz Tsaban

There is well-known problem of geometric probability which can be quote as the Broken Spaghetti Problem. It addresses the following question: A stick of spaghetti breaks into three parts and all points of the stick have the same probability…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2022-09-30 ElHadji Abdou Aziz Diop , Masseye Gaye , Abdoul Karim Sane

We study the excited random walk, in which a walk that is at a site that contains cookies eats one cookie and then hops to the right with probability p and to the left with probability q=1-p. If the walk hops onto an empty site, there is no…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 T. Antal , S. Redner

Developing a better understanding of surprising or counterintuitive phenomena has constituted a significant portion of deep learning research in recent years. These include double descent, grokking, and the lottery ticket hypothesis --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Alan Jeffares , Mihaela van der Schaar

Motivated by a problem in population genetics, we examine the combinatorics of dissimilarity for pairs of random unordered draws of multiple objects, with replacement, from a collection of distinct objects. Consider two draws of size $K$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Zarif Ahsan , Xiran Liu , Noah A. Rosenberg

We give an elementary probabilistic proof of a binomial identity. The proof is obtained by computing the probability of a certain event in two different ways, yielding two different expressions for the same quantity.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Jonathon Peterson