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Analyzing data collected from multiple sources to estimate common and heterogeneous structures through a hierarchical model is a central task in Bayesian inference, and to this end, Bayesian factor models are one of the most widely used…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Naoki Awaya , Keisuke Sasaki , Genya Kobayashi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Population dynamics varies in space and time. Survey designs that ignore these dynamics may be inefficient and fail to capture essential spatio-temporal variability of a process. Alternatively, dynamic survey designs explicitly incorporate…

This paper proposes a new nonparametric Bayesian bootstrap for a mixture model, by developing the traditional Bayesian bootstrap. We first reinterpret the Bayesian bootstrap, which uses the P\'olya-urn scheme, as a gradient ascent algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Fuheng Cui , Stephen G. Walker

Bounded continuous responses -- such as proportions -- arise frequently in diverse scientific fields including climatology, biostatistics, and finance. Beta regression is a widely adopted framework for modeling such data, due to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 The Tien Mai

We consider statistical inference in the density estimation model using a tree-based Bayesian approach, with Optional P\'olya trees as prior distribution. We derive near-optimal convergence rates for corresponding posterior distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Ismaël Castillo , Thibault Randrianarisoa

To study population dynamics, ecologists and wildlife biologists use relative abundance data, which are often subject to temporal preferential sampling. Temporal preferential sampling occurs when sampling effort varies across time. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Travis McDevitt-Galles

Species sampling processes have long served as the fundamental framework for modeling random discrete distributions and exchangeable sequences. However, data arising from distinct but related sources require a broader notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Beatrice Franzolini , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

A suite of statistical methods are used to study animal movement. Most of these methods treat animal telemetry data in one of three ways: as discrete processes, as continuous processes, or as point processes. We briefly review each of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-20 Mevin B. Hooten , Xinyi Lu , Martha J. Garlick , James A. Powell

Populations of interest are often hidden from data for a variety of reasons, though their magnitude remains important in determining resource allocation and appropriate policy. One popular approach to population size estimation, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Mallory J Flynn , Paul Gustafson

In population dynamics, mathematical models often contain too many parameters to be easily testable. A way to reliably estimate parameters for a broad range of systems would help us obtain clearer predictions from theory. In this paper, we…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-05-08 Andreas Eilersen , Kim Sneppen

Biological tree (BioTree) analysis is a foundational tool in biology, enabling the exploration of evolutionary and differentiation relationships among organisms, genes, and cells. Traditional tree construction methods, while instrumental in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-18 Zelin Zang , Yongjie Xu , Chenrui Duan , Yue Yuan , Jinlin Wu , Zhen Lei , Stan Z. Li

The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

Scale-free foraging patterns are widespread among animals. These may be the outcome of an optimal searching strategy to find scarce randomly distributed resources, but a less explored alternative is that this behaviour may result from the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Denis Boyer , Gabriel Ramos-Fernández , Octavio Miramontes , José L. Mateos , Germinal Cocho , Hernán Larralde , Humberto Ramos , Fernando Rojas

A Bayesian nonparametric approach to the study of species diversity based on choosing a random discrete distribution as a prior model for the unknown relative abundances of species has been recently introduced in Lijoi et al. (2007, 2008).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-09 Annalisa Cerquetti

Datasets containing large samples of time-to-event data arising from several small heterogeneous groups are commonly encountered in statistics. This presents problems as they cannot be pooled directly due to their heterogeneity or analyzed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-05 Alexandre Piché , Russell Steele , Ian Shrier , Stephanie Long

Given i.i.d. data from an unknown distribution, we consider the problem of predicting future items. An adaptive way to estimate the probability density is to recursively subdivide the domain to an appropriate data-dependent granularity. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

Our focus is on constructing a multiscale nonparametric prior for densities. The Bayes density estimation literature is dominated by single scale methods, with the exception of Polya trees, which favor overly-spiky densities even when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-06 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

Since their inception in the 1980's, regression trees have been one of the more widely used non-parametric prediction methods. Tree-structured methods yield a histogram reconstruction of the regression surface, where the bins correspond to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Veronika Rockova , Stephanie van der Pas

In tracking multiple objects, it is often assumed that each observation (measurement) is originated from one and only one object. However, we may encounter a situation that each measurement may or may not be associated with multiple objects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Bahman Moraffah

Population pharmacokinetic (PK) modeling methods can be statistically classified as either parametric or nonparametric (NP). Each classification can be divided into maximum likelihood (ML) or Bayesian (B) approaches. In this paper we…

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