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In this paper we present a discussion of the basic aspects of the well-known problem of prediction and inference in physics, with specific attention to the role of models, the use of data and the application of recent developments in…

General Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Luca Gammaitoni , Angelo Vulpiani

Neuroscience has recently made much progress, expanding the complexity of both neural-activity measurements and brain-computational models. However, we lack robust methods for connecting theory and experiment by evaluating our new big…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-06 Heiko H. Schütt , Alexander D. Kipnis , Jörn Diedrichsen , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

Recovering dynamical equations from observed noisy data is the central challenge of system identification. We develop a statistical mechanics approach to analyze sparse equation discovery algorithms, which typically balance data fit and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Andrei A. Klishin , Joseph Bakarji , J. Nathan Kutz , Krithika Manohar

Inference and prediction are fundamental to the study of complex systems, where network data are often incomplete, inaccurate or obtained indirectly. In this paper, we review recent advances in network sampling and comparison, as well as in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Francisco A. Rodrigues

Networks effectively capture interactions among components of complex systems, and have thus become a mainstay in many scientific disciplines. Growing evidence, especially from biology, suggest that networks undergo changes over time, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-10 Ali Shojaie

Statistical inference in high dimensional settings has recently attracted enormous attention within the literature. However, most published work focuses on the parametric linear regression problem. This paper considers an important…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 Qi Gao , Randy C. S. Lai , Thomas C. M. Lee , Yao Li

We consider high-dimensional inference when the assumed linear model is misspecified. We describe some correct interpretations and corresponding sufficient assumptions for valid asymptotic inference of the model parameters, which still have…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-20 Peter Bühlmann , Sara van de Geer

What is Statistics? Opinions vary. In fact, there is a continuous spectrum of attitudes toward statistics ranging from pure theoreticians, proving asymptotic efficiency and searching for most powerful tests, to wild practitioners, blindly…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-17 Konstantin Zuev

The work relates to a new way for analysis of one-dimensional stochastic systems, based on consideration of its higher order difference structure. From this point of view, the deterministic and random processes are analyzed. A new numerical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-09-08 A. Yu. Shahverdian , A. V. Apkarian

This article deals with the analysis of high dimensional data that come from multiple sources (experiments) and thus have different possibly correlated responses, but share the same set of predictors. The measurements of the predictors may…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-01 Guorong Dai , Ursula U. Müller , Raymond J. Carroll

Motivated by applications in high-dimensional data analysis where strong signals often stand out easily and weak ones may be indistinguishable from the noise, we develop a statistical framework to provide a novel categorization of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-02 X. Jessie Jeng

Our predictions for particle physics processes are realized in a chain of complex simulators. They allow us to generate high-fidelity simulated data, but they are not well-suited for inference on the theory parameters with observed data. We…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-11-03 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer

In these lecture notes we present different methods and concepts developed in statistical physics to analyze gradient descent dynamics in high-dimensional non-convex landscapes. Our aim is to show how approaches developed in physics, mainly…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-11-13 Tony Bonnaire , Davide Ghio , Kamesh Krishnamurthy , Francesca Mignacco , Atsushi Yamamura , Giulio Biroli

Fueled in part by recent applications in neuroscience, the multivariate Hawkes process has become a popular tool for modeling the network of interactions among high-dimensional point process data. While evaluating the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-16 Xu Wang , Mladen Kolar , Ali Shojaie

The field of neuroscience and the development of artificial neural networks (ANNs) have mutually influenced each other, drawing from and contributing to many concepts initially developed in statistical mechanics. Notably, Hopfield networks…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-10-17 Lucas Böttcher , Gregory Wheeler

Neural simulation-based inference is a powerful class of machine-learning-based methods for statistical inference that naturally handles high-dimensional parameter estimation without the need to bin data into low-dimensional summary…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-16 ATLAS Collaboration

Regression analysis is a key area of interest in the field of data analysis and machine learning which is devoted to exploring the dependencies between variables, often using vectors. The emergence of high dimensional data in technologies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-23 Jiani Liu , Ce Zhu , Zhen Long , Yipeng Liu

Generative AI has achieved remarkable empirical success, but from the perspective of statistics it often remains opaque: its predictions may be accurate, yet the underlying mechanism is difficult to interpret, analyze, and trust. This book…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Shinto Eguchi

This chapter presents key concepts and theoretical results for analyzing estimation and inference in high-dimensional models. High-dimensional models are characterized by having a number of unknown parameters that is not vanishingly small…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Christian Hansen , Kengo Kato

Machine-learning techniques have become fundamental in high-energy physics and, for new physics searches, it is crucial to know their performance in terms of experimental sensitivity, understood as the statistical significance of the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-11-10 Ernesto Arganda , Xabier Marcano , Víctor Martín Lozano , Anibal D. Medina , Andres D. Perez , Manuel Szewc , Alejandro Szynkman