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We provide methods to validate and compare sensor outputs, or inference algorithms applied to sensor data, by adapting statistical scoring rules. The reported output should either be in the form of a prediction interval or of a parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-07 A. D. Martin , T. C. A. Molteno , M. Parry

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Stanislav Volgushev , Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

Decision-makers abhor uncertainty, and it is certainly true that the less there is of it the better. However, recognizing that uncertainty is part of the equation, particularly for deciding on environmental policy, is a prerequisite for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-28 Noel Cressie

A pedagogical derivation of statistical mechanics from quantum mechanics is provided, by means of open quantum systems. Besides, a new definition of Boltzmann entropy for a quantum closed system is also given to count microstates in a way…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-04-08 Yu-Lei Feng , Yi-Xin Chen

The increasing complexity of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) models has created a pressing need for tools that help scientists, engineers, and policymakers interpret and refine model decisions and predictions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-17 Haolin Zou , Arnab Auddy , Yongchan Kwon , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Arian Maleki

Logistic regression is an important statistical tool for assessing the probability of an outcome based upon some predictive variables. Standard methods can only deal with precisely known data, however many datasets have uncertainties which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Nicholas Gray , Scott Ferson

Variable selection, also known as feature selection in machine learning, plays an important role in modeling high dimensional data and is key to data-driven scientific discoveries. We consider here the problem of detecting influential…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-24 Bo Jiang , Jun S. Liu

Symbolic regression is a machine learning technique that can learn the governing formulas of data and thus has the potential to transform scientific discovery. However, symbolic regression is still limited in the complexity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Michael Zhang , Samuel Kim , Peter Y. Lu , Marin Soljačić

New technologies have led to vast troves of large and complex datasets across many scientific domains and industries. People routinely use machine learning techniques to not only process, visualize, and make predictions from this big data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-04 Genevera I. Allen , Luqin Gan , Lili Zheng

Social scientists are increasingly turning to unstructured datasets to unlock new empirical insights, e.g., estimating descriptive statistics of or causal effects on quantitative measures derived from text, audio, or video data. In many…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-06 Jacob Carlson

Symbolic regression is emerging as a promising machine learning method for learning succinct underlying interpretable mathematical expressions directly from data. Whereas it has been traditionally tackled with genetic programming, it has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Nour Makke , Sanjay Chawla

In astronomical and cosmological studies one often wishes to infer some properties of an infinite-dimensional field indexed within a finite-dimensional metric space given only a finite collection of noisy observational data. Bayesian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-06-26 Ewan Cameron

Relevance is an underlying concept in the field of Information Science and Retrieval. It is a cognitive notion consisting of several different criteria or dimensions. Theoretical models of relevance allude to interdependence between these…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-07-26 Sagar Uprety , Shahram Dehdashti , Lauren Fell , Peter Bruza , Dawei Song

High-dimensional data sets are commonly collected in many contemporary applications arising in various fields of scientific research. We present two views of finite samples in high dimensions: a probabilistic one and a nonprobabilistic one.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Jinchi Lv

For high-dimensional inference problems, statisticians have a number of competing interests. On the one hand, procedures should provide accurate estimation, reliable structure learning, and valid uncertainty quantification. On the other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-11 Ryan Martin

A classical problem of statistical inference is the valid specification of a model that can account for the statistical dependencies between observations when the true structure is dense, intractable, or unknown. To address this problem, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Shane Sparkes , Lu Zhang

In a physical system, changing parameters such as temperature can induce a phase transition: an abrupt change from one state of matter to another. Analogous phenomena have recently been observed in large language models. Typically, the task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Julian Arnold , Flemming Holtorf , Frank Schäfer , Niels Lörch

Discovering statistically significant patterns from databases is an important challenging problem. The main obstacle of this problem is in the difficulty of taking into account the selection bias, i.e., the bias arising from the fact that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-10 Shinya Suzumura , Kazuya Nakagawa , Mahito Sugiyama , Koji Tsuda , Ichiro Takeuchi

These lecture notes introduce some topics of classical statistical physics, particularly those that are relevant for neural networks and deep learning. Statistical physics is treated as a branch of probability theory or statistics, with the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-05-12 Olaf Hohm

Predict a new response from a covariate is a challenging task in regression, which raises new question since the era of high-dimensional data. In this paper, we are interested in the inverse regression method from a theoretical viewpoint.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Emilie Devijver , Emeline Perthame
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