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The blocking probability of a finite-source bufferless queue is a fixed point of the Engset formula, for which we prove existence and uniqueness. Numerically, the literature suggests a fixed point iteration. We show that such an iteration…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Parsiad Azimzadeh , Tommy Carpenter

The generative aspect model is an extension of the multinomial model for text that allows word probabilities to vary stochastically across documents. Previous results with aspect models have been promising, but hindered by the computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Thomas P. Minka , John Lafferty

We consider the problem of distributed learning, where a network of agents collectively aim to agree on a hypothesis that best explains a set of distributed observations of conditionally independent random processes. We propose a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Angelia Nedić , Alex Olshevsky , César A. Uribe

We present a rejection method based on recursive covering of the probability density function with equal tiles. The concept works for any probability density function that is pointwise computable or representable by tabular data. By the…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2009-02-19 Daniel Fulger , Guido Germano

A new negative result for nonparametric estimation of binary ergodic processes is shown. I The problem of estimation of distribution with any degree of accuracy is studied. Then it is shown that for any countable class of estimators there…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Hayato Takahashi

Nested Sampling is a method for computing the Bayesian evidence, also called the marginal likelihood, which is the integral of the likelihood with respect to the prior. More generally, it is a numerical probabilistic quadrature rule. The…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-09 Jonas Latz , Doris Schneider , Philipp Wacker

Probability theory is fundamental for modeling uncertainty, with traditional probabilities being real and non-negative. Complex probability extends this concept by allowing complex-valued probabilities, opening new avenues for analysis in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Chan Li , Hejun Xu , Zhu Cao

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

Much of science is (rightly or wrongly) driven by hypothesis testing. Even in situations where the hypothesis testing paradigm is correct, the common practice of basing inferences solely on p-values has been under intense criticism for over…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 M. J. Bayarri , Daniel J. Benjamin , James O. Berger , Thomas M. Sellke

Entropy is a measure of heterogeneity widely used in applied sciences, often when data are collected over space. Recently, a number of approaches has been proposed to include spatial information in entropy. The aim of entropy is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Linda Altieri , Daniela Cocchi , Giulia Roli

We study belief revision when information is represented by a set of probability distributions, or general information. General information extends the standard event notion while including qualitative information (A is more likely than B),…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Adam Dominiak , Matthew Kovach , Gerelt Tserenjigmid

Noise-contrastive estimation (NCE) is a statistically consistent method for learning unnormalized probabilistic models. It has been empirically observed that the choice of the noise distribution is crucial for NCE's performance. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Bingbin Liu , Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

The negative binomial distribution has been widely used as a more flexible model than the Poisson distribution for count data. However, when the true data-generating process is Poisson, it is often challenging to distinguish it from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yingying Yang , Niloufar Dousti Mousavi , Zhou Yu , Jie Yang

Estimation of the $\phi$-divergence between two unknown probability distributions using empirical data is a fundamental problem in information theory and statistical learning. We consider a multi-variate generalization of the data dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

We analyze the data on personal income distribution from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. We compare fits of the data to the exponential, log-normal, and gamma distributions. The exponential function gives a good (albeit not perfect)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Anand Banerjee , Victor M. Yakovenko , T. Di Matteo

A very popular class of models for networks posits that each node is represented by a point in a continuous latent space, and that the probability of an edge between nodes is a decreasing function of the distance between them in this latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Dena Marie Asta

In this paper, we introduce a flexible and widely applicable nonparametric entropy-based testing procedure that can be used to assess the validity of simple hypotheses about a specific parametric population distribution. The testing…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 Ron Mittelhammer , George Judge , Miguel Henry

Classification with rejection emerges as a learning paradigm which allows models to abstain from making predictions. The predominant approach is to alter the supervised learning pipeline by augmenting typical loss functions, letting model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Alexander Soen , Hisham Husain , Philip Schulz , Vu Nguyen

Gaussian belief propagation (GBP) is a recursive computation method that is widely used in inference for computing marginal distributions efficiently. Depending on how the factorization of the underlying joint Gaussian distribution is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-22 Jian Du , Shaodan Ma , Yik-Chung Wu , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

Naive approaches to amortized inference in probabilistic programs with unbounded loops can produce estimators with infinite variance. This is particularly true of importance sampling inference in programs that explicitly include rejection…

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