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We show how convergence to the Gumbel distribution in an extreme value setting can be understood in an information-theoretic sense. We introduce a new type of score function which behaves well under the maximum operation, and which implies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-22 Oliver Johnson

Computing the reachability probability in infinite state probabilistic models has been the topic of numerous works. Here we introduce a new property called \emph{divergence} that when satisfied allows to compute reachability probabilities…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Alain Finkel , Serge Haddad , Lina Ye

Although neural networks (especially deep neural networks) have achieved \textit{better-than-human} performance in many fields, their real-world deployment is still questionable due to the lack of awareness about the limitation in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Mehedi Hasan , Moloud Abdar , Abbas Khosravi , Uwe Aickelin , Pietro Lio' , Ibrahim Hossain , Ashikur Rahman , Saeid Nahavandi

Variational inference is a powerful concept that underlies many iterative approximation algorithms; expectation propagation, mean-field methods and belief propagations were all central themes at the school that can be perceived from this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-09-23 Jack Raymond , Andre Manoel , Manfred Opper

The main aim of this article is to characterize and investigate the three parameter exponentiated exponential Poisson probability distribution ${\rm EEP}(\alpha, \beta, \lambda)$ by giving explicit closed form expressions for its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Tibor K Pogány

An approach to build Probabilistic Arithmetic in which initial values of all correlated random variables are known, but with varying degrees of accuracy. As a result of the proposed Probabilistic Arithmetic operations, variable values,…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2012-05-23 Mikhail Luboschinsky

There are numerous examples of natural and artificial processes that represent stochastic sequences of events followed by an absolute refractory period during which the occurrence of a subsequent event is impossible. In the simplest case of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-24 A. V. Paraskevov , A. S. Minkin

The distribution of a neural network's latent representations has been successfully used to detect out-of-distribution (OOD) data. This work investigates whether this distribution moreover correlates with a model's epistemic uncertainty,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Janis Postels , Hermann Blum , Yannick Strümpler , Cesar Cadena , Roland Siegwart , Luc Van Gool , Federico Tombari

In multiple classification, one aims to determine whether a testing sequence is generated from the same distribution as one of the M training sequences or not. Unlike most of existing studies that focus on discrete-valued sequences with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Lina Zhu , Lin Zhou

We study the asymmetric exclusion process with open boundaries and derive the exact form of the joint probability function for the occupation number and the current through the system. We further consider the thermodynamic limit, showing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Martin Depken , Robin Stinchcombe

Although Bayesian inference is an immensely popular paradigm among a large segment of scientists including statisticians, most applications consider objective priors and need critical investigations (Efron, 2013, Science). While it has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Abhik Ghosh , Tuhin Majumder , Ayanendranath Basu

In this article, we propose a new three parameter distribution by compounding negative binomial with reciprocal inverse Gaussian model called negative binomial-reciprocal inverse Gaussian distribution. This model is tractable with some…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-10 Ishfaq Shah Ahmad , Anwar Hassan , Peer Bilal Ahmad

In this paper, we propose a closed form approximation to the mean and variance of a new generalization of negative binomial (NGNB) distribution arising from the Extended COM-Poisson (ECOMP) distribution developed by Chakraborty and Imoto…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Sudip Roy , Ram C. Tripathi , N. Balakrishnan

Significance tests are probably the most extended form of inference in empirical research, and significance is often interpreted as providing greater informational content than non-significance. In this article we show, however, that…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-03-05 Alberto Abadie

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

Entropy production (EP) is known as a fundamental quantity for measuring the irreversibility of processes in thermal equilibrium and states far from equilibrium. In stochastic thermodynamics, the EP becomes more visible in terms of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-06-24 Jaewoo Jung , Jaegon Um , Deokjae Lee , Yong W. Kim , D. Y. Lee , H. K. Pak , B. Kahng

A theoretical framework is developed to describe the transformation that distributes probability density functions uniformly over space. In one dimension, the cumulative distribution can be used, but does not generalize to higher…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Eric Kee

The Estimation of Distribution Algorithm is a new class of population based search methods in that a probabilistic model of individuals is estimated based on the high quality individuals and used to generate the new individuals. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-04-03 R. Rastegar , M. R. Meybodi

A refinement of the multinomial distribution is presented where the number of inversions in the sequence of outcomes is tallied. This refinement of the multinomial distribution is its joint distribution with the number of inversions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Andrew V. Sills

The unfolding problem formulation for correcting experimental data distortions due to finite resolution and limited detector acceptance is discussed. A novel validation of the problem solution is proposed. Attention is drawn to fact that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-04-08 Nikolai Gagunashvili
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