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Parameter inference in ordinary differential equations is an important problem in many applied sciences and in engineering, especially in a data-scarce setting. In this work, we introduce a novel generative modeling approach based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Philippe Wenk , Gabriele Abbati , Michael A Osborne , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause , Stefan Bauer

Stationary graph process models are commonly used in the analysis and inference of data sets collected on irregular network topologies. While most of the existing methods represent graph signals with a single stationary process model that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-28 Abdullah Canbolat , Elif Vural

High-dimensional time series datasets are becoming increasingly common in many areas of biological and social sciences. Some important applications include gene regulatory network reconstruction using time course gene expression data, brain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Sumanta Basu , David S. Matteson

This paper introduces a data-adaptive non-parametric approach for the estimation of time-varying spectral densities from nonstationary time series. Time-varying spectral densities are commonly estimated by local kernel smoothing. The…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

Most machine learning methods assume fixed probability distributions, limiting their applicability in nonstationary real-world scenarios. While continual learning methods address this issue, current approaches often rely on black-box models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Yan V. G. Ferreira , Igor B. Lima , Pedro H. G. Mapa S. , Felipe V. Campos , Antonio P. Braga

Spatio-temporal data is intrinsically high dimensional, so unsupervised modeling is only feasible if we can exploit structure in the process. When the dynamics are local in both space and time, this structure can be exploited by splitting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-15 George D. Montanez , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Many signal processing problems can be solved by maximizing the fitness of a segmented model over all possible partitions of the data interval. This letter describes a simple but powerful algorithm that searches the exponentially large…

This paper introduces the novel class of modulated cyclostationary processes, a class of non-stationary processes exhibiting frequency coupling, and proposes a method of their estimation from repeated trials. Cyclostationary processes also…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-25 Sofia C. Olhede , Hernando Ombao

In approximating solutions of nonstationary problems, various approaches are used to compute the solution at a new time level from a number of simpler (sub-)problems. Among these approaches are splitting methods. Standard splitting schemes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Yalchin Efendiev , Petr N. Vabishchevich

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Probabilistic approaches for handling count-valued time sequences have attracted amounts of research attentions because their ability to infer explainable latent structures and to estimate uncertainties, and thus are especially suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Jiahao Wang , Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl , Xiuzhen Cheng , Pengfei Hu , Guoming Zhang

A novel IV estimation method, that we term Locally Trimmed LS (LTLS), is developed which yields estimators with (mixed) Gaussian limit distributions in situations where the data may be weakly or strongly persistent. In particular, we allow…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-24 Zhishui Hu , Ioannis Kasparis , Qiying Wang

We present InSpatio-WorldFM, an open-source real-time frame model for spatial intelligence. Unlike video-based world models that rely on sequential frame generation and incur substantial latency due to window-level processing,…

Sparse regression has been a popular approach to perform variable selection and enhance the prediction accuracy and interpretability of the resulting statistical model. Existing approaches focus on offline regularized regression, while the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-03 Shuoguang Yang , Yuhao Yan , Xiuneng Zhu , Qiang Sun

We present a general framework for classifying partially observed dynamical systems based on the idea of learning in the model space. In contrast to the existing approaches using model point estimates to represent individual data items, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-19 Yuan Shen , Peter Tino , Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

We develop a timescale synthesis-based probabilistic approach for the modeling of locally stationary signals. Inspired by our previous work, the model involves zero-mean, complex Gaussian wavelet coefficients, whose distribution varies as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Adrien Meynard , Bruno Torrésani

Gaussian processes provide a flexible, non-parametric framework for the approximation of functions in high-dimensional spaces. The covariance kernel is the main engine of Gaussian processes, incorporating correlations that underpin the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-20 Dionissios T. Hristopulos

Human beings have the ability to continuously analyze a video and immediately extract the motion components. We want to adopt this paradigm to provide a coherent and stable motion segmentation over the video sequence. In this perspective,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Etienne Meunier , Patrick Bouthemy

A new comprehensive approach to nonlinear time series analysis and modeling is developed in the present paper. We introduce novel data-specific mid-distribution based Legendre Polynomial (LP) like nonlinear transformations of the original…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Subhadeep Mukhopadhyay , Emanuel Parzen