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We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-19 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Gerrit J. J. van den Burg , Theodoros Damoulas , Mark F. J. Steel

Many real world problems exhibit patterns that have periodic behavior. For example, in astrophysics, periodic variable stars play a pivotal role in understanding our universe. An important step when analyzing data from such processes is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-20 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon , Pavlos Protopapas

A computational tool for coarse-graining nonlinear systems of ordinary differential equations in time is discussed. Three illustrative model examples are worked out that demonstrate the range of capability of the method. This includes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-23 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Amit Acharya , Zvi Artstein

Empirically observed time series in physics, biology, or medicine, are commonly generated by some underlying dynamical system (DS) which is the target of scientific interest. There is an increasing interest to harvest machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Daniel Kramer , Philine Lou Bommer , Carlo Tombolini , Georgia Koppe , Daniel Durstewitz

We propose a probabilistic framework for developing computational models of biological neural systems. In this framework, physiological recordings are viewed as discrete-time partial observations of an underlying continuous-time stochastic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Some elements of the theory and algorithmics corresponding to the computation of semilinear sparse models for discrete-time signals are presented. In this study, we will focus on approximately eventually periodic discrete-time signals, that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Fredy Vides

We present a compartmentalized approach to finding the maximum a-posteriori (MAP) estimate of a latent time series that obeys a dynamic stochastic model and is observed through noisy measurements. We specifically consider modern signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Gabriel Schamberg , Demba Ba , Todd P. Coleman

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We introduce highly efficient online nonlinear regression algorithms that are suitable for real life applications. We process the data in a truly online manner such that no storage is needed, i.e., the data is discarded after being used.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-19 Burak C. Civek , Ibrahim Delibalta , Suleyman S. Kozat

Tensor decomposition has emerged as a prominent technique to learn low-dimensional representation under the supervision of reconstruction error, primarily benefiting data inference tasks like completion and imputation, but not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Man Li , Ziyue Li , Lijun Sun , Fugee Tsung

Time-series classification is an important domain of machine learning and a plethora of methods have been developed for the task. In comparison to existing approaches, this study presents a novel method which decomposes a time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-12 Josif Grabocka , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

We develop methodology allowing to simulate a stationary functional time series defined by means of its spectral density operators. Our framework is general, in that it encompasses any such stationary functional time series, whether linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-17 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

Variational inference (VI) combined with Bayesian nonlinear filtering produces state-of-the-art results for latent time-series modeling. A body of recent work has focused on sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and its variants, e.g., forward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Tomoyuki Higuchi , Kazuyuki Nakamura

Compressed Sensing suggests that the required number of samples for reconstructing a signal can be greatly reduced if it is sparse in a known discrete basis, yet many real-world signals are sparse in a continuous dictionary. One example is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-24 Yuanxin Li , Yuejie Chi

Many phenomena, both natural and human-influenced, give rise to signals whose statistical properties change under time translation, i.e., are nonstationary. For some practical purposes, a nonstationary time series can be seen as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Kensuke Fukuda , H. Eugene Stanley , Luis A. Nunes Amaral

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

We present a new distribution-free conformal prediction algorithm for sequential data (e.g., time series), called the \textit{sequential predictive conformal inference} (\texttt{SPCI}). We specifically account for the nature that time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Chen Xu , Yao Xie

We present a method to infer the arbitrary space-dependent drift and diffusion of a nonlinear stochastic model driven by multiplicative fractional Gaussian noise from a single trajectory. Our method, fractional Onsager-Machlup optimisation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-11-07 Johannes A. Kassel , Benjamin Walter , Holger Kantz

We consider the problem of reconstructing time sequences of spatially sparse signals (with unknown and time-varying sparsity patterns) from a limited number of linear "incoherent" measurements, in real-time. The signals are sparse in some…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Namrata Vaswani

In depth-sensing applications ranging from home robotics to AR/VR, it will be common to acquire 3D scans of interior spaces repeatedly at sparse time intervals (e.g., as part of regular daily use). We propose an algorithm that analyzes…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Maciej Halber , Yifei Shi , Kai Xu , Thomas Funkhouser
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