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Related papers: Dynamical Landscape and Multistability of a Climat…

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Multistability is a phenomenon prevalent in many natural systems. In climate, for example, it allows the possibility of irreversible consequences on planetary scale as a result of climate change. Indeed, a climate ``tipping element'' is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 George Datseris , Johannes Lohmann , Oisín Hamilton , Jacob Haqq-Misra

Multistability is a ubiquitous feature in systems of geophysical relevance and provides key challenges for our ability to predict a system's response to perturbations. Near critical transitions small causes can lead to large effects and -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-06-28 Valerio Lucarini , Tamas Bodai

The climate is a non-equilibrium system undergoing the continuous action of forcing and dissipation. Under the effect of a spatially inhomogeneous absorption of solar energy, all the climate components dynamically respond until an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-01 Charline Ragon , Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Christian Vérard , Jérôme Kasparian , Maura Brunetti

The Earth is well-known to be, in the current astronomical configuration, in a regime where two asymptotic states can be realised. The warm state we live in is in competition with the ice-covered snowball state. The bistability exists as a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-04-24 Valerio Lucarini , Tamas Bodai

Multiple stable states - the coexistence of two or more distinct ecological configurations under identical environmental conditions - have attracted sustained interest in ecology, yet the field still lacks a unified framework connecting…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-08 Jennifer Paige , Denis D. Patterson , Alan Hastings

The climate is a complex non-equilibrium dynamical system that relaxes toward a steady state under the continuous input of solar radiation and dissipative mechanisms. The steady state is not necessarily unique. A useful tool to describe the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-31 Maura Brunetti , Charline Ragon

Equations of State model relations between thermodynamic variables and are ubiquitous in scientific modelling, appearing in modern day applications ranging from Astrophysics to Climate Science. The three desired properties of a general…

Due to spatial scarcity and uncertainties in sediment data, initial and boundary conditions in deep-time climate simulations are not well constrained. On the other hand, the climate is a nonlinear system with a multitude of feedback…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-01 Charline Ragon , Christian Vérard , Jérôme Kasparian , Maura Brunetti

The climate system is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex and heterogeneous system that is out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of motion, in time as well as space, and it is subject…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini

Computer simulations of a model glass-forming system are presented, which are particularly sensitive to the correlation between the dynamics and the topography of the potential energy landscape. This analysis clearly reveals that in the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Stephan Buechner , Andreas Heuer

When a liquid melt is cooled, a glass or phase transition can be obtained depending on the cooling rate. Yet, this behavior has not been clearly captured in energy landscape models. Here a model is provided in which two key ingredients are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-12 Gerardo G. Naumis

The Alaskan landscape has undergone substantial changes in recent decades, most notably the expansion of shrubs and trees across the Arctic. We developed a dynamic statistical model to quantify the impact of climate change on the structural…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-17 Xinyi Lu , Mevin B. Hooten , Ann M. Raiho , David K. Swanson , Carl A. Roland , Sarah E. Stehn

In order to better understand the occurrence of phase transitions, we adopt an approach based on the study of energy landscapes: The relation between stationary points of the potential energy landscape of a classical many-particle system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-03-24 Michael Kastner

For a wide range of values of the incoming solar radiation, the Earth features at least two attracting states, which correspond to competing climates. The warm climate is analogous to the present one; the snowball climate features global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Valerio Lucarini , Tamas Bodai

Simulating transition dynamics between metastable states is a fundamental challenge in dynamical systems and stochastic processes with wide real-world applications in understanding protein folding, chemical reactions and neural activities.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Haibo Wang , Yuxuan Qiu , Yanze Wang , Rob Brekelmans , Yuanqi Du

The Hamiltonian Mean Field model describes a system of N fully-coupled particles showing a second-order phase transition as a function of the energy. The dynamics of the model presents interesting features in a small energy region below the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-26 Vito Latora , Andrea Rapisarda

We explore the potential multistability of the climate for a planet around the habitable zone. We focus on conditions reminiscent to those of the Earth system, but our investigation aims at presenting a general methodology for dealing with…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Valerio Lucarini , Salvatore Pascale , Robert Boschi , Edilbert Kirk , Nicolas Iro

Using an intermediate complexity climate model (Planet Simulator), we investigate the so-called Snowball Earth transition. For certain values of the solar constant, the climate system allows two different stable states: one of them is the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-05 Bálint Kaszás , Tímea Haszpra , Mátyás Herein

We develop a landscape-flux framework to investigate observed frequency distributions of vegetation and the stability of these ecological systems under fluctuations. The frequency distributions can characterize the population-potential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Li Xu , Denis Patterson , Ann Carla Staver , Simon Asher Levin , Jin Wang

In systems characterized by a rough potential energy landscape, local energetic minima and saddles define a network of metastable states whose topology strongly influences the dynamics. Changes in temperature, causing the merging and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-07-24 Marco Baiesi , Lorenzo Bongini , Lapo Casetti , Lorenzo Tattini
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