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Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Statistical matching is an effective method for estimating causal effects in which treated units are paired with control units with ``similar'' values of confounding covariates prior to performing estimation. In this way, matching helps…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Sanjeewani Weerasingha , Michael J. Higgins

In this work we derive an inversion formula for the Laplace transform of a density observed on a curve in the complex domain, which generalizes the well known Post-Widder formula. We establish convergence of our inversion method and derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Denis Belomestny , Hilmar Mai , John Schoenmakers

In a large class of statistical inverse problems it is necessary to suppose that the transformation that is inverted is known. Although, in many applications, it is unrealistic to make this assumption, the problem is often insoluble without…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Alexander Meister

In systems biology, it is becoming increasingly common to measure biochemical entities at different levels of the same biological system. Hence, data fusion problems are abundant in the life sciences. With the availability of a multitude of…

In distributed, or privacy-preserving learning, we are often given a set of probabilistic models estimated from different local repositories, and asked to combine them into a single model that gives efficient statistical estimation. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-01 Jun Han , Qiang Liu

Let $g$ be a dimension function. The Generalised Baker-Schmidt Problem (1970) concerns the $g$-dimensional Hausdorff measure ($\HH^g$-measure) of the set of $\Psi$-approximable points on nondegenerate manifolds. The problem relates the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Mumtaz Hussain , Johannes Schleischitz , David Simmons

Minimizing a convex function of a measure with a sparsity-inducing penalty is a typical problem arising, e.g., in sparse spikes deconvolution or two-layer neural networks training. We show that this problem can be solved by discretizing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Lenaic Chizat

We introduce a dynamic approach to probabilistic forecast reconciliation at scale. Our model differs from the existing literature in this area in several important ways. Firstly we explicitly allow the weights allocated to the base…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Ross Hollyman , Fotios Petropoulos , Michael E. Tipping

Parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) appear in many disciplines to model the evolution of various mathematical objects, such as probability flows, value functions in control theory, and derivative prices in finance. It is often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Xingzi Xu , Ali Hasan , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

Subsampling algorithms for various parametric regression models with massive data have been extensively investigated in recent years. However, all existing studies on subsampling heavily rely on clean massive data. In practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Jiangshan Ju , Mingqiu Wang , Shengli Zhao

A number of fundamental quantities in statistical signal processing and information theory can be expressed as integral functions of two probability density functions. Such quantities are called density functionals as they map density…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Alan Wisler , Visar Berisha , Andreas Spanias , Alfred O. Hero

We study the minimum sets of plurisubharmonic functions with strictly positive Monge-Amp\`ere densities. We investigate the relationship between their Hausdorff dimension and the regularity of the function. Under suitable assumptions we…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Slawomir Dinew , Zywomir Dinew

Stochastic programming models can lead to very large-scale optimization problems for which it may be impossible to enumerate all possible scenarios. In such cases, one adopts a sampling-based solution methodology in which case the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Shuotao Diao , Suvrajeet Sen

This report outlines an approach to learning generative models from data. We express models as probabilistic programs, which allows us to capture abstract patterns within the examples. By choosing our language for programs to be an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-27 Irvin Hwang , Andreas Stuhlmüller , Noah D. Goodman

We study the foundations of variational inference, which frames posterior inference as an optimisation problem, for probabilistic programming. The dominant approach for optimisation in practice is stochastic gradient descent. In particular,…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Basim Khajwal , C. -H. Luke Ong , Dominik Wagner

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

One of the main concepts in quantum physics is a density matrix, which is a symmetric positive definite matrix of trace one. Finite probability distributions are a special case where the density matrix is restricted to be diagonal. Density…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-08-14 Manfred K. Warmuth , Dima Kuzmin

We study how measures with finite lower density are distributed around $(n-m)$-planes in small balls in $\mathbb{R}^n$. We also discuss relations between conical upper density theorems and porosity. Our results may be applied to a large…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Antti Käenmäki , Ville Suomala

We introduce principal curves in Wasserstein space, and in general compact metric spaces. Our motivation for the Wasserstein case comes from optimal-transport-based trajectory inference, where a developing population of cells traces out a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Andrew Warren , Anton Afanassiev , Forest Kobayashi , Young-Heon Kim , Geoffrey Schiebinger