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In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

This paper proposes a mechanism to fine-tune convex approximations of probabilistic reachable sets (PRS) of uncertain dynamic systems. We consider the case of unbounded uncertainties, for which it may be impossible to find a bounded…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Pengcheng Wu , Sonia Martinez , Jun Chen

We address the problem of safely learning controlled stochastic dynamics from discrete-time trajectory observations, ensuring system trajectories remain within predefined safe regions during both training and deployment. Safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Luc Brogat-Motte , Alessandro Rudi , Riccardo Bonalli

Reachability analysis is a popular method to give safety guarantees for stochastic cyber-physical systems (SCPSs) that takes in a symbolic description of the system dynamics and uses set-propagation methods to compute an overapproximation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Navid Hashemi , Lars Lindemann , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh

We develop algorithms with low regret for learning episodic Markov decision processes based on kernel approximation techniques. The algorithms are based on both the Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) as well as Posterior or Thompson Sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Sayak Ray Chowdhury , Aditya Gopalan

This paper develops a data-driven learning framework for approximating the feasible region and invariant set of a nonlinear system under the nonlinear Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme. The developed approach is based on the feasibility…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Yuanqiang Zhou , Dewei Li , Yugeng Xi , Yunwen Xu

It is known that state-dependent, multi-step Lyapunov bounds lead to greatly simplified verification theorems for stability for large classes of Markov chain models. This is one component of the "fluid model" approach to stability of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-18 Serdar Yüksel , Sean P. Meyn

Safe autonomous driving critically depends on how well the ego-vehicle can predict the trajectories of neighboring vehicles. To this end, several trajectory prediction algorithms have been presented in the existing literature. Many of these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Basant Sharma , Aditya Sharma , K. Madhava Krishna , Arun Kumar Singh

We present a data-driven approach to the quantitative verification of probabilistic programs and stochastic dynamical models. Our approach leverages neural networks to compute tight and sound bounds for the probability that a stochastic…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Alessandro Abate , Alec Edwards , Mirco Giacobbe , Hashan Punchihewa , Diptarko Roy

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

This paper presents two stochastic model predictive control methods for linear time-invariant systems subject to unbounded additive uncertainties. The new methods are developed by formulating the chance constraints into deterministic form,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-22 Fei Li , Huiping Li , Yuyao He

We propose a stochastic approximation method for approximating the efficient frontier of chance-constrained nonlinear programs. Our approach is based on a bi-objective viewpoint of chance-constrained programs that seeks solutions on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Rohit Kannan , James Luedtke

We discuss a general approach to building non-asymptotic confidence bounds for stochastic optimization problems. Our principal contribution is the observation that a Sample Average Approximation of a problem supplies upper and lower bounds…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Vincent Guigues , Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

Providing finite-time probabilistic safety and reach-avoid guarantees is crucial for safety-critical stochastic systems. Existing state-of-the-art barrier methods often rely on a restrictive boundedness assumption for auxiliary functions,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Bai Xue , Luke Ong , Dominik Wagner , Peixin Wang

We study approaches for compressing the empirical measure in the context of finite dimensional reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs). In this context, the empirical measure is contained within a natural convex set and can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-29 Steffen Grünewälder

The kernel-based method has been successfully applied in linear system identification using stable kernel designs. From a Gaussian process perspective, it automatically provides probabilistic error bounds for the identified models from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Mingzhou Yin , Roy S. Smith

Algorithmic verification of realistic systems to satisfy safety and other temporal requirements has suffered from poor scalability of the employed formal approaches. To design systems with rigorous guarantees, many approaches still rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-18 Oliver Schön , Zhengang Zhong , Sadegh Soudjani

While techniques have been developed for chance constrained stochastic optimal control using sample disturbance data that provide a probabilistic confidence bound for chance constraint satisfaction, far less is known about how to use sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-31 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

In this paper, we study Stochastic Control Barrier Functions (SCBFs) to enable the design of probabilistic safe real-time controllers in presence of uncertainties and based on noisy measurements. Our goal is to design controllers that bound…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Shakiba Yaghoubi , Georgios Fainekos , Tomoya Yamaguchi , Danil Prokhorov , Bardh Hoxha

One of the most fundamental problems in Markov decision processes is analysis and control synthesis for safety and reachability specifications. We consider the stochastic reach-avoid problem, in which the objective is to synthesize a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Nikolaos Kariotoglou , Maryam Kamgarpour , Tyler Summers , John Lygeros