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This paper presents a Distributed Stochastic Model Predictive Control algorithm for networks of linear systems with multiplicative uncertainties and local chance constraints on the states and control inputs. The chance constraints are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

Safety-critical control systems, such as spacecraft performing proximity operations, must provide formal safety guarantees despite stochastic uncertainties from state estimation and unmodeled dynamics. Although Control Barrier Functions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-13 Kazuya Echigo , David E. J. van Wijk , Pol Mestres , Ersin Daş , Joel W. Burdick , Aaron D. Ames

Stochastic approximation algorithm is a useful technique which has been exploited successfully in probability theory and statistics for a long time. The step sizes used in stochastic approximation are generally taken to be deterministic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Krishanu Maulik

In this article, we study nonparametric inference problems in the context of multivariate or functional time series, including testing for goodness-of-fit, the presence of a change point in the marginal distribution, and the independence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Deep Ghoshal , Xiaofeng Shao

We propose formulating the finite-horizon stochastic optimal control problem for colloidal self-assembly in the space of probability density functions (PDFs) of the underlying state variables (namely, order parameters). The control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-08 Iman Nodozi , Jared O'Leary , Ali Mesbah , Abhishek Halder

We study the computation of lower and upper probabilities of hitting a target set of states for imprecise Markov chains, where transition uncertainty is modelled by a convex set of transition matrices. In the precise case, hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Marco Sangalli , Erik Quaeghebeur , Thomas Krak

We present a stochastic model predictive control framework for nonlinear systems subject to unbounded process noise with closed-loop guarantees. First, we provide a conceptual shrinking-horizon framework that utilizes general probabilistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Modern Bayesian optimization and adaptive sampling methods increasingly rely on nonlinear parametric models, yet theoretical guarantees for such models under adaptive data collection remain limited. Existing analyses largely focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Rafael Oliveira

We study data-driven computation of probabilistic controlled invariant sets (PCIS) for safety-critical reinforcement learning under unknown dynamics. Assuming a linear MDP model, we use regularized least squares and self-normalized…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Kazumune Hashimoto , Shunki Kimura , Kazunobu Serizawa , Junya Ikemoto , Yulong Gao , Kai Cai

Accurate and efficient estimation of rare events probabilities is of significant importance, since often the occurrences of such events have widespread impacts. The focus in this work is on precisely quantifying these probabilities, often…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-11 Hamed Nikbakht , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou

We analyze the Nystr\"om approximation of a positive definite kernel associated with a probability measure. We first prove an improved error bound for the conventional Nystr\"om approximation with i.i.d. sampling and singular-value…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Satoshi Hayakawa , Harald Oberhauser , Terry Lyons

We present an algorithm for data-driven reachability analysis that estimates finite-horizon forward reachable sets for general nonlinear systems using level sets of a certain class of polynomials known as Christoffel functions. The level…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-29 Alex Devonport , Forest Yang , Laurent El Ghaoui , Murat Arcak

We consider stochastic systems of interacting particles or agents, with dynamics determined by an interaction kernel which only depends on pairwise distances. We study the problem of inferring this interaction kernel from observations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni , Sui Tang

A constant-rate multi-mode system is a hybrid system that can switch freely among a finite set of modes, and whose dynamics is specified by a finite number of real-valued variables with mode-dependent constant rates. We introduce and study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-19 Fabio Somenzi , Behrouz Touri , Ashutosh Trivedi

The performance of adaptive estimators that employ embedding in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) depends on the choice of the location of basis kernel centers. Parameter convergence and error approximation rates depend on where and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-08 Sai Tej Paruchuri , Jia Guo , Andrew Kurdila

This paper studies convergence of empirical risks in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS). A conventional assumption in the existing research is that empirical training data do not contain any noise but this may not be satisfied in some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Shaoyan Guo , Huifu Xu , Liwei Zhang

Model-based reinforcement learning seeks to simultaneously learn the dynamics of an unknown stochastic environment and synthesise an optimal policy for acting in it. Ensuring the safety and robustness of sequential decisions made through a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane , Nicola Paoletti , Alessandro Abate , Marta Kwiatkowska

We investigate the statistical complexity of estimating the parameters of a discrete-state Markov chain kernel from a single long sequence of state observations. In the finite case, we characterize (modulo logarithmic factors) the minimax…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-14 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

We present two data-driven methods for estimating reachable sets with probabilistic guarantees. Both methods make use of a probabilistic formulation allowing for a formal definition of a data-driven reachable set approximation that is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Alex Devonport , Murat Arcak

This paper studies the problem of enforcing safety of a stochastic dynamical system over a finite-time horizon. We use stochastic control barrier functions as a means to quantify the probability that a system exits a given safe region of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-12 Cesar Santoyo , Maxence Dutreix , Samuel Coogan
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