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Related papers: Uncertainty Aware Wildfire Management

200 papers

We consider the problem of adaptively monitoring a wildfire front using a mobile agent (e.g., a drone), whose trajectory determines where sensor data is collected and thus influences the accuracy of fire propagation estimation. This is a…

Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Nikolaos Anastasiou , Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Papoutsis

A cellular automaton (CA)-based modeling approach to simulate wildfire spread, emphasizing its strengths in capturing complex fire dynamics and its integration with geographic information systems (GIS). The model introduces an enhanced…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2024-03-15 Rohit Ghosh , Jishnu Adhikary , Rezki Chemlal

Wildfires pose a significant threat to ecosystems, wildlife, and human communities, leading to habitat destruction, pollutant emissions, and biodiversity loss. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is crucial for mitigating these impacts and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Zhengsen Xu , Jonathan Li , Sibo Cheng , Xue Rui , Yu Zhao , Hongjie He , Haiyan Guan , Aryan Sharma , Matthew Erxleben , Ryan Chang , Linlin Xu

A wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations for the spread rate of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release is coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model (WRF). The propagation of the fire front is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-08-03 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

Natural hazard risk management is a demanding interdisciplinary task. It requires domain knowledge, integration of robust computational methods, and effective use of complex datasets. However, existing solutions tend to focus on specific…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Cristobal Pais , Minho Kim , John Radke , Marta C. Gonzalez

In recent years, teams of robot and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) have been commissioned by researchers to enable accurate, online wildfire coverage and tracking. While the majority of prior work focuses on the coordination and control of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Esmaeil Seraj , Andrew Silva , Matthew Gombolay

Forecasting bushfire spread is an important element in fire prevention and response efforts. Empirical observations of bushfire spread can be used to estimate fire response under certain conditions. These observations form rate-of-spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Andrew Bolt , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Due to severe societal and environmental impacts, wildfire prediction using multi-modal sensing data has become a highly sought-after data-analytical tool by various stakeholders (such as state governments and power utility companies) to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-12 Chen Xu , Yao Xie , Daniel A. Zuniga Vazquez , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

The critical need for sophisticated detection techniques has been highlighted by the rising frequency and intensity of wildfires in the US, especially in California. In 2023, wildfires caused 130 deaths nationwide, the highest since 1990.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Gowtham Raj Vuppari , Navarun Gupta , Ahmed El-Sayed , Xingguo Xiong

Each year, wildfires destroy larger areas of Spain, threatening numerous ecosystems. Humans cause 90% of them (negligence or provoked) and the behaviour of individuals is unpredictable. However, atmospheric and environmental variables…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Helena Liz-López , Javier Huertas-Tato , Jorge Pérez-Aracil , Carlos Casanova-Mateo , Julia Sanz-Justo , David Camacho

Wildfires can severely damage electricity grids leading to long periods of power interruption. Climate change will exacerbate this threat by increasing the frequency of dry climate conditions. Under these climate conditions, human-related…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Alexandre Moreira , Felipe Pianco , Bruno Fanzeres , Alexandre Street , Ruiwei Jiang , Chaoyue Zhao , Miguel Heleno

Wildfire monitoring and prediction are essential for understanding wildfire behaviour. With extensive Earth observation data, these tasks can be integrated and enhanced through multi-task deep learning models. We present a comprehensive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Yu Zhao , Sebastian Gerard , Yifang Ban

With increased frequency and intensity due to climate change, wildfires have become a growing global concern. This creates severe challenges for fire and emergency services as well as communities in the wildland-urban interface (WUI). To…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Xilei Zhao , Yiming Xu , Ruggiero Lovreglio , Erica Kuligowski , Daniel Nilsson , Thomas Cova , Alex Wu , Xiang Yan

The increasing incidence and severity of wildfires underscores the necessity of accurately predicting their behavior. While high-fidelity models derived from first principles offer physical accuracy, they are too computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 John Burge , Matthew R. Bonanni , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme

We study the problem of evacuation planning for natural disasters, focusing on wildfire evacuations. By creating pre-planned evacuation routes that can be updated based on real-time data, we provide an easily adjustable approach to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Steffen Borgwardt , Nicholas Crawford , Drew Horton , Angela Morrison , Emily Speakman

California's wildfire season keeps getting worse over the years, overwhelming the emergency response teams. These fires cause massive destruction to both property and human life. Because of these reasons, there's a growing need for accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Shashank Bhardwaj

With the increased size and frequency of wildfire eventsworldwide, accurate real-time prediction of evolving wildfirefronts is a crucial component of firefighting efforts and for-est management practices. We propose a wildfire…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Maxfield E. Green , Karl Kaiser , Nat Shenton

Forest fire spreading is a complex phenomenon characterized by a stochastic behavior. Nowadays, the enormous quantity of georeferenced data and the availability of powerful techniques for their analysis can provide a very careful picture of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-06 Roberto Beneduci , Giovanni Mascali

As wildfires become increasingly destructive and expensive to control, effective management of active wildfires requires accurate, real-time fire spread predictions. To enhance the forecasting accuracy of active fires, data assimilation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Hongzheng Shi , Yuhang Wang , Xiao Liu