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Related papers: Uncertainty Aware Wildfire Management

200 papers

In recent years, the increasing prevalence and intensity of wildfires have posed significant challenges to emergency response teams. The utilization of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), commonly known as drones, has shown promise in aiding…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Chang Liu , Tamas Sziranyi

Wildfires are a disastrous phenomenon which cause damage to land, loss of property, air pollution, and even loss of human life. Due to the warmer and drier conditions created by climate change, more severe and uncontrollable wildfires are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Omkar Ranadive , Jisu Kim , Serin Lee , Youngseo Cha , Heechan Park , Minkook Cho , Young K. Hwang

This paper details a methodology proposed for the EVA 2021 conference data challenge. The aim of this challenge was to predict the number and size of wildfires over the contiguous US between 1993 and 2015, with more importance placed on…

We propose a Bayesian stochastic cellular automata modeling approach to model the spread of wildfires with uncertainty quantification. The model considers a dynamic neighborhood structure that allows neighbor states to inform transition…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-07 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

The increasing frequency and intensity of wildfires poses severe threats to the secure and stable operation of power grids, particularly one that is interspersed with renewable generation. Unlike conventional contingencies, wildfires affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Satyaprajna Sahoo , Anamitra Pal

Understanding the dynamics of wildfire is crucial for developing management and intervention strategies. Mathematical and computational models can be used to improve our understanding of wildfire processes and dynamics. This paper presents…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Cordula Reisch , Adrián Navas-Montilla , Ilhan Özgen-Xian

Wildfires are increasingly impacting the environment, human health and safety. Among the top 20 California wildfires, those in 2020-2021 burned more acres than the last century combined. California's 2018 wildfire season caused damages of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Rohan Tan Bhowmik

Wildfire risk prediction remains a critical yet challenging task due to the complex interactions among fuel conditions, meteorology, topography, and human activity. Despite growing interest in data-driven approaches, publicly available…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Zhengsen Xu , Sibo Cheng , Lanying Wang , Hongjie He , Wentao Sun , Jonathan Li , Lincoln Linlin Xu

Thanks to recent advances in generative AI, computers can now simulate realistic and complex natural processes. We apply this capability to predict how wildfires spread, a task made difficult by the unpredictable nature of fire and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Yu , Anirbit Ghosh , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Rossella Arcucci , Marc Bocquet , Sibo Cheng

Wildfires are among the most severe natural hazards, posing a significant threat to both humans and natural ecosystems. The growing risk of wildfires increases the demand for forecasting models that are not only accurate but also reliable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Spyros Kondylatos , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ioannis Papoutsis

Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) path planning algorithms often assume a knowledge reward function or priority map, indicating the most important areas to visit. In this paper we propose a method to create priority maps for monitoring or…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-28 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

Modern fire management systems increasingly rely on satellite data and weather forecasting; however, access to comprehensive datasets remains limited due to proprietary restrictions. Despite the ecological significance of wildfires,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Boris Kriuk

Drone swarms coupled with data intelligence can be the future of wildfire fighting. However, drone swarm firefighting faces enormous challenges, such as the highly complex environmental conditions in wildfire scenes, the highly dynamic…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Shijie Pan , Aoran Cheng , Yiqi Sun , Kai Kang , Cristobal Pais , Yulun Zhou , Zuo-Jun Max Shen

Building fires pose a persistent threat to life, property, and infrastructure, emphasizing the need for advanced risk mitigation strategies. This study presents a data-driven framework analyzing U.S. fire risks by integrating over one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Chenzhi Ma , Hongru Du , Shengzhi Luan , Ensheng Dong , Lauren M. Gardner , Thomas Gernay

Identifying regions that have high likelihood for wildfires is a key component of land and forestry management and disaster preparedness. We create a data set by aggregating nearly a decade of remote-sensing data and historical fire records…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Fantine Huot , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme , Qing Wang , John Burge , Tianjian Lu , Jason Hickey , Yi-Fan Chen , John Anderson

This paper presents a novel approach in wildfire prediction through the integration of multisource spatiotemporal data, including satellite data, and the application of deep learning techniques. Specifically, we utilize an ensemble model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ayoub Jadouli , Chaker El Amrani

Wildfires represent an important natural risk causing economic losses, human death and important environmental damage. In recent years, we witness an increase in fire intensity and frequency. Research has been conducted towards the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Moulay A. Akhloufi , Nicolas A. Castro , Andy Couturier

Wildfires are among the most severe disturbances affecting forest ecosystems, with over 50,000 hectares burned in Patagonia, Argentina, during 2025 alone. This study implements a Reaction-Diffusion-Convection (RDC) model to simulate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-05-04 Lucas Becerra , Monica Malen Denham , Alejandro B. Kolton , Karina Laneri

Wildfire forecasting problems usually rely on complex grid-based mathematical models, mostly involving Computational fluid dynamics(CFD) and Celluar Automata, but these methods have always been computationally expensive and difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hansong Xiao

Reliable wildfire spread prediction is vital for risk-aware emergency planning, yet most deep learning models lack principled uncertainty quantification (UQ). Further, for boundary-sensitive cases like wildfire spread, evaluating models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jonas V. Funk