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The ISO 5725 series frames interlaboratory precision through repeatability, between-laboratory, and reproducibility variances, yet practical guidance on deploying bootstrap methods within this one-way random-effects setting remains limited.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Jun-ichi Takeshita , Kazuhiro Morita , Tomomichi Suzuki

The advent of next-generation radio interferometers like the Square Kilometer Array promises to revolutionise our radio astronomy observational capabilities. The unprecedented volume of data these devices generate requires fast and accurate…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-03 Mostafa Cherif , Tobías I. Liaudat , Jonathan Kern , Christophe Kervazo , Jérôme Bobin

In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

Epistemic uncertainty quantification is a crucial part of drawing credible conclusions from predictive models, whether concerned about the prediction at a given point or any downstream evaluation that uses the model as input. When the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-15 Nathan Kallus , James McInerney

Temporal dependence and the resulting autocovariances in time series data can introduce bias into ANOVA test statistics, thereby affecting their size and power. This manuscript accounts for temporal dependence in ANOVA and develops a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Yunyi Zhang

An experimental method is proposed which allows the complete determination of the complex reflection coefficient for absorptive media for positive and negative values of the momenta. It makes use of magnetic reference layers and is a…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 H. Leeb , H. Groetz , J. Kasper , R. Lipperheide

As neural networks become more popular, the need for accompanying uncertainty estimates increases. There are currently two main approaches to test the quality of these estimates. Most methods output a density. They can be compared by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

Employing the neural network framework, we obtain empirical fits to the electron-scattering cross sections for carbon over a broad kinematic region, extending from the quasielastic peak through resonance excitation to the onset of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-07-17 Beata E. Kowal , Krzysztof M. Graczyk , Artur M. Ankowski , Rwik Dharmapal Banerjee , Hemant Prasad , Jan T. Sobczyk

Binary classification involves predicting the label of an instance based on whether the model score for the positive class exceeds a threshold chosen based on the application requirements (e.g., maximizing recall for a precision bound).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Gundeep Arora , Srujana Merugu , Anoop Saladi , Rajeev Rastogi

Most uncertainty-aware robotic systems collapse prediction uncertainty into a single scalar score and use it to trigger uniform corrective responses. This aggregation obscures whether uncertainty arises from corrupted observations or from…

Polarised neutron scattering is the method of choice to study magnetism in condensed matter. Polarised neutrons are typically very low in flux, and complex experimental configurations further reduce the count rate. Neutron polarisation…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2023-05-09 Yusuke Nambu , Mechthild Enderle , Tobias Weber , Kazuhisa Kakurai

Despite extensive research on neural network calibration, existing methods typically apply global transformations that treat all predictions uniformly, overlooking the heterogeneous reliability of individual predictions. Furthermore, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Hassan Gharoun , Mohammad Sadegh Khorshidi , Kasra Ranjbarigderi , Fang Chen , Amir H. Gandomi

The frequency response function (FRF) is an established way to describe the outcome of experiments in posture control literature. The FRF is an empirical transfer function between an input stimulus and the induced body segment sway profile,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-27 Vittorio Lippi

Explainability of black-box machine learning models is crucial, in particular when deployed in critical applications such as medicine or autonomous cars. Existing approaches produce explanations for the predictions of models, however, how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Jonas Schulz , Rafael Poyiadzi , Raul Santos-Rodriguez

The bootstrap procedure has emerged as a general framework to construct prediction intervals for future observations in autoregressive time series models. Such models with outlying data points are standard in real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

In experimental causal inference, we distinguish between two sources of uncertainty: design uncertainty, due to the treatment assignment mechanism, and sampling uncertainty, when the sample is drawn from a super-population. This distinction…

Employing a recently developed Monte Carlo model, we study the fission of 240Pu induced by neutrons with energies from thermal to just below the threshold for second chance fission. Current measurements of the mean number of prompt neutrons…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-10-29 R. Vogt , J. Randrup , J. Pruet , W. Younes

Data following an interval structure are increasingly prevalent in many scientific applications. In medicine, clinical events are often monitored between two clinical visits, making the exact time of the event unknown and generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , Michael R. Kosorok , Marcos Matabuena

This paper focuses on the classification task of breast ultrasound images and researches on the reliability measurement of classification results. We proposed a dual-channel evaluation framework based on the proposed inference reliability…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-09 Shuge Lei , Haonan Hu , Dasheng Sun , Huabin Zhang , Kehong Yuan , Jian Dai , Jijun Tang , Yan Tong

Deep learning models have significantly improved prediction accuracy in various fields, gaining recognition across numerous disciplines. Yet, an aspect of deep learning that remains insufficiently addressed is the assessment of prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Asaf Ben Arie , Malka Gorfine