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Related papers: Accurate Calibration of Agent-based Epidemiologica…

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Taking agent-based models (ABM) closer to the data is an open challenge. This paper explicitly tackles parameter space exploration and calibration of ABMs combining supervised machine-learning and intelligent sampling to build a surrogate…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Francesco Lamperti , Andrea Roventini , Amir Sani

Human cognitive responses, behavioral responses, and disease dynamics co-evolve over the course of any disease outbreak, and can result in complex feedbacks. We present a dynamic agent-based model that explicitly couples the spread of…

Agent-based epidemic models (ABMs) encode behavioral and policy heterogeneity but are too slow for nightly hospital planning. We develop county-ready surrogates that learn directly from exascale ABM trajectories using Universal Differential…

Calibrating agent-based models (ABMs) to data is among the most fundamental requirements to ensure the model fulfils its desired purpose. In recent years, simulation-based inference methods have emerged as powerful tools for performing this…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , J. Doyne Farmer , Sebastian M. Schmon

The recent history of respiratory pathogen epidemics, including those caused by influenza and SARS-CoV-2, has highlighted the urgent need for advanced modeling approaches that can accurately capture heterogeneous disease dynamics and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-07 Prescott C. Alexander , Thomas J. Harris , Joy Kitson , Joseph V. Tuccillo , Sara Y. Del Valle , Timothy C. Germann

Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a powerful computational approach for studying complex biological and biomedical systems, yet its widespread use remains limited by significant computational demands. As models become increasingly…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-17 Kerri-Ann Norton , Daniel Bergman , Harsh Vardhan Jain , Trachette Jackson

The ability to construct a realistic simulator of financial exchanges, including reproducing the dynamics of the limit order book, can give insight into many counterfactual scenarios, such as a flash crash, a margin call, or changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Namid R. Stillman , Rory Baggott , Justin Lyon , Jianfei Zhang , Dingqiu Zhu , Tao Chen , Perukrishnen Vytelingum

Epidemic response planning is essential yet traditionally reliant on labor-intensive manual methods. This study aimed to design and evaluate EpiPlanAgent, an agent-based system using large language models (LLMs) to automate the generation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Kangkun Mao , Fang Xu , Jinru Ding , Yidong Jiang , Yujun Yao , Yirong Chen , Junming Liu , Xiaoqin Wu , Qian Wu , Xiaoyan Huang , Jie Xu

Mathematical models play a crucial role in understanding the spread of infectious disease outbreaks and influencing policy decisions. These models aid pandemic preparedness by predicting outcomes under hypothetical scenarios and identifying…

Agent-based simulators provide granular representations of complex intelligent systems by directly modelling the interactions of the system's constituent agents. Their high-fidelity nature enables hyper-local policy evaluation and testing…

Agent-based simulators (ABS) are a popular epidemiological modelling tool to study the impact of various non-pharmaceutical interventions in managing an epidemic in a city (or a region). They provide the flexibility to accurately model a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-13 Daksh Mittal , Sandeep Juneja

Agent-Based Models (ABMs) are powerful tools for studying emergent properties in complex systems. In ABMs, agent behaviors are governed by local interactions and stochastic rules. However, these rules are, in general, non-differentiable,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Francesco Cozzi , Marco Pangallo , Alan Perotti , André Panisson , Corrado Monti

Agent-based models (ABMs) are widely used to study infectious disease dynamics, but their calibration is often computationally intensive, limiting their applicability in time-sensitive public health settings. We propose DeepIMC (Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Sima Najafzadehkhoei , George Vega Yon , Derek S. Meyer , Bernardo Modenesi

Agent-Based Models are very useful for simulation of physical or social processes, such as the spreading of a pandemic in a city. Such models proceed by specifying the behavior of individuals (agents) and their interactions, and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Varun Madhavan , Adway Mitra , Partha Pratim Chakrabarti

Parameter calibration is a significant challenge in agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS). An agent-based model's (ABM) complexity grows as the number of parameters required to be calibrated increases. This parameter expansion leads…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Rylan Perumal , Terence L van Zyl

Simulation with agent-based models is increasingly used in the study of complex socio-technical systems and in social simulation in general. This paradigm offers a number of attractive features, namely the possibility of modeling emergent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-27 Giovanni Luca Ciampaglia

Epidemic models are powerful tools in understanding infectious disease. However, as they increase in size and complexity, they can quickly become computationally intractable. Recent progress in modelling methodology has shown that surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Giovanni Charles , Timothy M. Wolock , Peter Winskill , Azra Ghani , Samir Bhatt , Seth Flaxman

Agent-based modeling and network science have been used extensively to advance our understanding of emergent collective behavior in systems that are composed of a large number of simple interacting individuals or agents. With the increasing…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Marcos Cardinot , Colm O'Riordan , Josephine Griffith , Matjaž Perc

Understanding how genetically encoded rules drive and guide complex neuronal growth processes is essential to comprehending the brain's architecture, and agent-based models (ABMs) offer a powerful simulation approach to further develop this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Tobias Duswald , Lukas Breitwieser , Thomas Thorne , Barbara Wohlmuth , Roman Bauer

Parameter calibration is a major challenge in agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS). As the complexity of agent-based models (ABMs) increase, the number of parameters required to be calibrated grows. This leads to the ABMS equivalent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-28 Rylan Perumal , Terence L van Zyl
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