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Calibrating Agent-Based Models (ABMs) is an important optimization problem for simulating the complex social systems, where the goal is to identify the optimal parameter of a given ABM by minimizing the discrepancy between the simulated…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Boquan Jiang , Zhenhua Yang , Chenkai Wang , Muyao Zhong , Heping Fang , Peng Yang

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

The wide-spread adoption of representation learning technologies in clinical decision making strongly emphasizes the need for characterizing model reliability and enabling rigorous introspection of model behavior. While the former need is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Prasanna Sattigeri , Deepta Rajan , Bindya Venkatesh

The automated analysis of medical time series, such as the electrocardiogram (ECG), electroencephalogram (EEG), pulse oximetry, etc, has the potential to serve as a valuable tool for diagnostic decisions, allowing for remote monitoring of…

Agent-based models (ABMs) simulate the formation and evolution of social processes at a fundamental level by decoupling agent behavior from global observations. In the case where ABM networks evolve over time as a result of (or in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Karleigh Pine , Joel Klipfel , Jared Bennett , Nathaniel Bade , Christian Manasseh

Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

This study introduces a surrogate modeling framework merging proper orthogonal decomposition, long short-term memory networks, and multi-task learning, to accurately predict elastoplastic deformations in real-time. Superior to single-task…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Ruben Schmeitz , Joris Remmers , Olga Mula , Olaf van der Sluis

This paper presents a neural network--enhanced surrogate modeling approach for diffusion problems with spatially varying random field coefficients. The method builds on numerical homogenization, which compresses fine-scale coefficients into…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Fabian Kröpfl , Daniel Peterseim , Elisabeth Ullmann

Agent-based models (ABMs) highlight the importance of simulation validation, such as qualitative face validation and quantitative empirical validation. In particular, we focused on quantitative validation by adjusting simulation input…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Dongjun Kim , Tae-Sub Yun , Il-Chul Moon , Jang Won Bae

We propose a novel \textit{capsule} based deep encoder-decoder model for surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification of systems in mechanics from sparse data. The proposed framework is developed by adapting Capsule Network (CapsNet)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-20 Akshay Thakur , Souvik Chakraborty

Explainable AI is a crucial component for edge services, as it ensures reliable decision making based on complex AI models. Surrogate models are a prominent approach of XAI where human-interpretable models, such as a linear regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Foivos Charalampakos , Thomas Tsouparopoulos , Iordanis Koutsopoulos

Sample efficiency in the face of computationally expensive simulations is a common concern in surrogate modeling. Current strategies to minimize the number of samples needed are not as effective in simulated environments with wide state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Julen Cestero , Marco Quartulli , Marcello Restelli

Calibration of expensive simulation models involves an emulator based on simulation outputs generated across various parameter settings to replace the actual model. Noisy outputs of stochastic simulation models require many simulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Özge Sürer

Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

Testing and evaluating decision-making agents remains challenging due to unknown system architectures, limited access to internal states, and the vastness of high-dimensional scenario spaces. Existing testing approaches often rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-11 Jingxuan Yang , Weichao Xu , Yuchen Shi , Yi Zhang , Shuo Feng , Huaxin Pei

Interest in agent-based models of financial markets and the wider economy has increased consistently over the last few decades, in no small part due to their ability to reproduce a number of empirically-observed stylised facts that are not…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-18 Donovan Platt

Multi-agent geographical models integrate very large numbers of spatial interactions. In order to validate those models large amount of computing is necessary for their simulation and calibration. Here a new data processing chain including…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-02-25 Clara Schmitt , Sébastien Rey-Coyrehourcq , Romain Reuillon , Denise Pumain

The practical utility of agent-based models in decision-making relies on their capacity to accurately replicate populations while seamlessly integrating real-world data streams. Yet, the incorporation of such data poses significant…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Ayush Chopra , Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Nurullah Giray-Kuru , Michael Wooldridge , Ramesh Raskar

Computational models provide crucial insights into complex biological processes such as cancer evolution, but their mechanistic nature often makes them nonlinear and parameter-rich, complicating calibration. We systematically evaluate…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Christina Schenk , Jacobo Ayensa Jiménez , Ignacio Romero

Accurate calibration of finite element (FE) models is essential across various biomechanical applications, including human intervertebral discs (IVDs), to ensure their reliability and use in diagnosing and planning treatments. However,…