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Related papers: Contact Tracing & Super-Spreaders in the Branching…

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Spreading broadly refers to the notion of an entity propagating throughout a networked system via its interacting components. Evidence of its ubiquity and severity can be seen in a range of phenomena, from disease epidemics to financial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-25 Christos Ellinas

Contact tracing is one of the most important tools for preventing the spread of infectious diseases, but as the experience of COVID-19 showed, it is also next-to-impossible to implement when the disease is spreading rapidly. We show how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Aparajithan Venkateswaran , Jishnu Das , Tyler H. McCormick

The emergence of novel infectious agents presents challenges to statistical models of disease transmission. These challenges arise from limited, poor-quality data and an incomplete understanding of the agent. Moreover, outbreaks manifest…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Jiasheng Shi , Jeffrey S. Morris , David M. Rubin , Jing Huang

In network epidemic models, controlling the spread of a disease often requires targeted interventions such as vaccinating high-risk individuals based on network structure. However, typical approaches assume complete knowledge of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Anirudh Sridhar , Arnob Ghosh

Suppose that a cascade (e.g., an epidemic) spreads on an unknown graph, and only the infection times of vertices are observed. What can be learned about the graph from the infection times caused by multiple distinct cascades? Most of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

We present simulation results for the contact process on regular, cubic networks that are composed of a one-dimensional lattice and a set of long edges with unbounded length. Networks with different sets of long edges are considered, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 R. Juhász , G. Ódor

Disease spreading models such as the ubiquitous SIS compartmental model and its numerous variants are widely used to understand and predict the behaviour of a given epidemic or information diffusion process. A common approach to imbue more…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Eugene Tan , Michael Small , Shannon D. Algar

Detecting spreading outbreaks in social networks with sensors is of great significance in applications. Inspired by the formation mechanism of human's physical sensations to external stimuli, we propose a new method to detect the influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-08 Sen Pei , Shaoting Tang , Zhiming Zheng

In this brief, we study epidemic spreading dynamics taking place in complex networks. We specifically investigate the effect of synergy, where multiple interactions between nodes result in a combined effect larger than the simple sum of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Masaki Ogura , Wenjie Mei , Kenji Sugimoto

When a new infectious disease (or a new strain of an existing one) emerges, as in the recent COVID-19 pandemic, different types of mobility restrictions are considered to slow down or mitigate the spread of the disease. The measures to be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-21 Jõao Gabriel Simões Delboni , Gabriel Fabricius

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

Identifying super-spreaders can be framed as a subtask of the influence maximisation problem. It seeks to pinpoint agents within a network that, if selected as single diffusion seeds, disseminate information most effectively. Multilayer…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Michał Czuba , Mateusz Stolarski , Adam Piróg , Piotr Bielak , Piotr Bródka

Contact tracing via digital tracking applications installed on mobile phones is an important tool for controlling epidemic spreading. Its effectivity can be quantified by modifying the standard methodology for analyzing percolation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-14 Abbas K. Rizi , Ali Faqeeh , Arash Badie-Modiri , Mikko Kivelä

Many processes of spreading and diffusion take place on temporal networks, and their outcomes are influenced by correlations in the times of contact. These correlations have a particularly strong influence on processes where the spreading…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-19 Mikko Kivelä , Jordan Cambe , Jari Saramäki , Márton Karsai

Most models of epidemic spread, including many designed specifically for COVID-19, implicitly assume mass-action contact patterns and undirected contact networks, meaning that the individuals most likely to spread the disease are also the…

Contagion processes on networks, including disease spreading, information diffusion, or social behaviors propagation, can be modeled as simple contagion, i.e. involving one connection at a time, or as complex contagion, in which multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-19 Giulia Cencetti , Diego Andrés Contreras , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Contact tracing is an important control strategy for containing Ebola epidemics. From a theoretical perspective, explicitly incorporating contact tracing with disease dynamics presents challenges, and population level effects of contact…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-10 Cameron Browne , Hayriye Gulbudak , Glenn Webb

The frequent emergence of diseases with the potential to become threats at local and global scales, such as influenza A(H1N1), SARS, MERS, and recently COVID-19 disease, makes it crucial to keep designing models of disease propagation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-27 I. A. Perez , M. A. Di Muro , C. E. La Rocca , L. A. Braunstein

The COVID-19 infection cases have surged globally, causing devastations to both the society and economy. A key factor contributing to the sustained spreading is the presence of a large number of asymptomatic or hidden spreaders, who mix…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-18 Shuhong Huang , Jiachen Sun , Ling Feng , Jiarong Xie , Dashun Wang , Yanqing Hu