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Functional variables are often used as predictors in regression problems. A commonly-used parametric approach, called {\it scalar-on-function regression}, uses the $\ltwo$ inner product to map functional predictors into scalar responses.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Kyungmin Ahn , J. Derek Tucker , Wei Wu , Anuj Srivastava

We consider autocovariance operators of a stationary stochastic process on a Polish space that is embedded into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We investigate how empirical estimates of these operators converge along realizations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Mattes Mollenhauer , Stefan Klus , Christof Schütte , Péter Koltai

We investigate the stochastic processes obtained as the fractional Riemann-Liouville integral of order $\alpha \in (0,1)$ of Gauss-Markov processes. The general expressions of the mean, variance and covariance functions are given. Due to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Mario Abundo , Enrica Pirozzi

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

The definition of generalized random processes in Gel'fand sense allows to extend well-known stochastic models, such as the fractional Brownian motion, and study the related fractional pde's, as well as stochastic differential equations in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Luisa Beghin , Lorenzo Cristofaro , Federico Polito

This paper introduces a semiparametric regression estimator of the memory parameter for long-memory time series process. It is based on the regression in a neighborhood of the zero-frequency of the periodogram averaged over epochs. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-06 Valderio Reisen , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier , Glaura Franco

We provide a detailed description of the model Hilbert space $L^2(\bbR; d\Sigma; \cK)$, were $\cK$ represents a complex, separable Hilbert space, and $\Sigma$ denotes a bounded operator-valued measure. In particular, we show that several…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-04 Fritz Gesztesy , Rudi Weikard , Maxim Zinchenko

Modelling physical data with linear discrete time series, namely Fractionally Integrated Autoregressive Moving Average (ARFIMA), is a technique which achieved attention in recent years. However, these models are used mainly as a statistical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-20 Jakub Ślęzak , Aleksander Weron

In this article, we introduce a Gegenbauer autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving average (GARTFIMA) process. We work on the spectral density and autocovariance function for the introduced process. The parameter estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

In this paper, we consider the Whittle estimator for the parameters of a stationary solution of a continuous-time linear state space model sampled at low frequencies. In our context the driving process is a L\'evy process which allows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Celeste Mayer

This paper proposes the quantile unit-log-symmetric autoregressive moving average (QULS--ARMA) model for bounded time series on the open unit interval $(0,1)$. The model extends the unit-log-symmetric family by introducing a quantile-based…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-26 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila , Filidor Vilca

In this paper, using spectral theory of Hilbertian operators, we study ARMA Gaussian processes indexed by graphs. We extend Whittle maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters for the corresponding spectral density and show their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-23 Thibault Espinasse , Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes

A class of continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process driven by simple semi-Levy measure is defined and its properties are studied. We discuss some new insights on the structure of the semi-Levy measure which is described…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah , S. Shoaee

Since the middle of the 90's, multifractional processes have been introduced for overcoming some limitations of the classical Fractional Brownian Motion model. In their context, the Hurst parameter becomes a Holder continuous function H(?)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier

Linear processes on functional spaces were born about fifteen years ago. And this original topic went through the same fast development as the other areas of functional data modeling such as PCA or regression. They aim at generalizing to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-30 André Mas , Besnik Pumo

We study principal component analysis (PCA) for mean zero i.i.d. Gaussian observations $X_1,\dots, X_n$ in a separable Hilbert space $\mathbb{H}$ with unknown covariance operator $\Sigma.$ The complexity of the problem is characterized by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Matthias Löffler , Richard Nickl

Learning from non-independent and non-identically distributed data poses a persistent challenge in statistical learning. In this study, we introduce data-dependent Bernstein inequalities tailored for vector-valued processes in Hilbert…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Erfan Mirzaei , Andreas Maurer , Vladimir R. Kostic , Massimiliano Pontil

Fractionally integrated time series, exhibiting long memory with slowly decaying autocorrelations, are frequently encountered in economics, finance, and related fields. Since the seminal work of Robinson (1995), a variety of semiparametric…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Jason R. Blevins