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We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

This paper addresses the estimation of the second-order structure of a manifold cross-time random field (RF) displaying spatially varying Long Range Dependence (LRD), adopting the functional time series framework introduced in Ruiz-Medina…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Diana P. Ovalle-Muñoz , M. Dolores Ruiz-Medina

Functional time series have become an integral part of both functional data and time series analysis. Important contributions to methodology, theory and application for the prediction of future trajectories and the estimation of functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-04 Alexander Aue , Johannes Klepsch

In functional data analysis (FDA), covariance function is fundamental not only as a critical quantity for understanding elementary aspects of functional data but also as an indispensable ingredient for many advanced FDA methods. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Raymond K. W. Wong , Xiaoke Zhang

Here we present a theoretical study on the main properties of Fractionally Integrated Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (FIEGARCH) processes. We analyze the conditions for the existence, the invertibility,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Sílvia R. C. Lopes , Taiane S. Prass

We consider the sampling problem for functional PCA (fPCA), where the simplest example is the case of taking time samples of the underlying functional components. More generally, we model the sampling operation as a continuous linear map…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Arash A. Amini , Martin J. Wainwright

Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-10 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

This work is devoted to functional ARMA$(p, q)$ processes and approximating vector models based on functional PCA in the context of prediction. After deriving sufficient conditions for the existence of a stationary solution to both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 J. Klepsch , C. Klüppelberg , T. Wei

Existing models for high-dimensional time series are overwhelmingly developed within the finite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. However, the more flexible vector autoregressive moving averages (VARMA) have been much less…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Yao Zheng

We consider the parametric estimation of the driving L\'evy process of a multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) process, which is observed on the discrete time grid $(0,h,2h,...)$. Beginning with a new state…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Peter J. Brockwell , Eckhard Schlemm

In this article, we use the generating functions of the Humbert polynomials to define two types of Humbert generalized fractional differenced ARMA processes. We present stationarity and invertibility conditions for the introduced models.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Niharika Bhootna , Monika Singh Dhull , Arun Kumar , Nikolai Leonenko

We study the estimation and prediction of functional autoregressive~(FAR) processes, a statistical tool for modeling functional time series data. Due to the infinite-dimensional nature of FAR processes, the existing literature addresses its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Daren Wang , Zifeng Zhao , Rebecca Willett , Chun Yip Yau

We consider high-frequency sampled continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) models driven by finite-variance zero-mean L\'evy processes. An L^2-consistent estimator for the increments of the driving L\'evy process without order…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Florian Fuchs

We review statistical properties of models generated by the application of a (positive and negative order) fractional derivative operator to a standard random walk and show that the resulting stochastic walks display slowly-decaying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 H. Eduardo Roman , Markus Porto

Autoregressive processes (AR) have typical short-range memory. Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) was basically designed to reveal long range correlation in non stationary processes. However DFA can also be regarded as a suitable method…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-07-11 V. V. Morariu , L. Buimaga-Iarinca , C. Vamos , S. Soltuz

In this work we present a Gaussian process that arise from the iteration of p fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes generated by the same fractional Brownian motion. This iteration results, when the values of lambdas are pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Juan Kalemkerian

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a canonical model for long-memory phenomena. In the presence of large amounts of potentially memory-bearing data, the data are often averaged, which can change the structure of the underlying…

High-frequency sampled multivariate continuous time autoregressive moving average processes are investigated. We obtain asymptotic expansion for the spectral density of the sampled MCARMA process $(Y_{n\Delta})_{n \in \mathbb{Z}}$ as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-14 Peter Kevei

In forecasting problems it is important to know whether or not recent events represent a regime change (low long-term predictive potential), or rather a local manifestation of longer term effects (potentially higher predictive potential).…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Timothy Graves , Robert B. Gramacy , Christian Franzke , Nicholas Watkins

This article considers linear processes with values in a separable Hilbert space exhibiting long-range dependence. The scaling limits for the sample autocovariance operators at different time lags are investigated in the topology of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Marie-Christine Düker , Pavlos Zoubouloglou