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We study the impact of Brownian noise on transitions between metastable equilibrium states in a stochastic ice sheet model. Two methods to accomplish different objectives are employed. The maximal likely trajectory by maximizing the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-12 Athanasios Tsiairis , Pingyuan Wei , Ying Chao , Jinqiao Duan

We develop a variational neural-network framework to determine the most probable path (MPP) of a 3D active Brownian particle (ABP) by directly minimizing the Onsager-Machlup integral (OMI). To obtain the OMI, we use the Onsager-Machlup…

Analyzing when noisy trajectories, in the two dimensional plane, of a stochastic dynamical system exit the basin of attraction of a fixed point is specifically challenging when a periodic orbit forms the boundary of the basin of attraction.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Emmanuel Fleurantin , Katherine Slyman , Blake Barker , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

The emergence of the exit events from a bounded domain containing a stable fixed point induced by non-Gaussian L\'evy fluctuations plays a pivotal role in practical physical systems. In the limit of weak noise, we develop a Hamiltonian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan , Xianbin Liu , Yanxia Zhang

In recent years, the discovery of complex dynamic systems in various fields through data-driven methods has attracted widespread attention. This method has played the role of data and has become an advantageous tool for us to study complex…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Min Dai , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Yayun Zheng , Jinqiao Duan

This paper presents a heuristic derivation of a geometric minimum action method that can be used to determine most-probable transition paths in noise-driven dynamical systems. Particular attention is focused on systems that violate detailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-06 John C. Neu , Akhil Ghanta , Stephen Teitsworth

Distribution-dependent stochastic dynamical systems arise widely in engineering and science. We consider a class of such systems which model the limit behaviors of interacting particles moving in a vector field with random fluctuations. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Jianyu Hu

Brownian motion on manifolds with non-trivial diffusion coefficient can be constructed by stochastic development of Euclidean Brownian motions using the fiber bundle of linear frames. We provide a comprehensive study of paths for such…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Erlend Grong , Stefan Sommer

The Onsager--Machlup action functional is an important concept in statistical mechanics and thermodynamics to describe the probability of fluctuations in nonequilibrium systems. It provides a powerful tool for analyzing and predicting the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Yuanfei Huang , Xiang Zhou , Jinqiao Duan

In stochastic resonance, a periodically forced Brownian particle in a double-well potential jumps between minima at rare increments, the prediction of which poses a major theoretical challenge. Here, we use a path-integral method to find a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-04-02 L. T. Giorgini , S. H. Lim , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

The evaluation of the path-integral representation for stochastic processes in the weak-noise limit shows that these systems are governed by a set of equations which are those of a classical dynamics. We show that, even when the noise is…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 S. J. B. Einchcomb , A. J. McKane

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

We demonstrate the possibility to systematically steer the most probable escape paths (MPEPs) by adjusting relative noise intensities in dynamical systems that exhibit noise-induced escape from a metastable point via a saddle point. Using a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Paul H. Dannenberg , John C. Neu , Stephen W. Teitsworth

We analyze the effect of additive fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H > \frac{1}{2}$ on fast-slow systems. Our strategy is based on sample paths estimates, similar to the approach by Berglund and Gentz in the Brownian motion case. Yet,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Katharina Eichinger , Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

Stochastic vegetation-water dynamical systems play a pivotal role in ecological stability, biodiversity, water resource management, and adaptation to climate change. This research proposes a machine learning-based method for analyzing rare…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Shengyuan Xu

We investigate the maximum caliber variational principle as an inference algorithm used to predict dynamical properties of complex nonequilibrium, stationary, statistical systems in the presence of incomplete information. Specifically, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-28 Carlo Cafaro , Sean Alan Ali

Accurately estimating parameters in complex nonlinear systems is crucial across scientific and engineering fields. We present a novel approach for parameter estimation using a neural network with the Huber loss function. This method taps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Kaushal Kumar

The dynamics of mechanical systems such as turbomachinery with multiple blades are often modeled by arrays of periodically driven coupled nonlinear oscillators. It is known that such systems may have multiple stable vibrational modes, and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-06 Lautaro Cilenti , Maria Cameron , Balakumar Balachandran

Transition path sampling (TPS), which involves finding probable paths connecting two points on an energy landscape, remains a challenge due to the complexity of real-world atomistic systems. Current machine learning approaches use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Sanjeev Raja , Martin Šípka , Michael Psenka , Tobias Kreiman , Michal Pavelka , Aditi S. Krishnapriyan

We investigate the theoretical and numerical computation of rare transitions in simple geophysical turbulent models. We consider the barotropic quasi-geostrophic and two-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations in regimes where bistability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-10 Jason Laurie , Freddy Bouchet