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The most probable transition paths of a stochastic dynamical system are the global minimizers of the Onsager-Machlup action functional and can be described by a necessary but not sufficient condition, the Euler-Lagrange equation (a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-12-07 Yuanfei Huang , Qiao Huang , Jinqiao Duan

This work is devoted to the investigation of the most probable transition time between metastable states for stochastic dynamical systems. Such a system is modeled by a stochastic differential equation with non-vanishing Brownian noise, and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-08-11 Yuanfei Huang , Ying Chao , Wei Wei , Jinqiao Duan

This work is devoted to deriving the Onsager-Machlup function for a class of stochastic dynamical systems under (non-Gaussian) Levy noise as well as (Gaussian) Brownian noise, and examining the corresponding most probable paths. This…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Ying Chao , Jinqiao Duan

Many complex real world phenomena exhibit abrupt, intermittent or jumping behaviors, which are more suitable to be described by stochastic differential equations under non-Gaussian L\'evy noise. Among these complex phenomena, the most…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaoli Chen

Many natural systems exhibit tipping points where changing environmental conditions spark a sudden shift to a new and sometimes quite different state. Global climate change is often associated with the stability of marine carbon stocks. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Jianyu Chen , Jianyu Hu , Wei Wei , Jinqiao Duan

This work is devoted to deriving the Onsager--Machlup function for a class of degenerate stochastic dynamical systems with (non-Gaussian) L\'{e}vy noise as well as Brownian noise. This is obtained based on the Girsanov transformation and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-10 Ying Chao , Pingyuan Wei

In many scientific and engineering problems, noise and nonlinearity are unavoidable, which could induce interesting mathematical problem such as transition phenomena. This paper focuses on efficiently discovering the most probable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Jin Guo , Ting Gao , Peng Zhang , Jiequn Han , Jinqiao Duan

We investigate a quantitative network of gene expression dynamics describing the competence development in Bacillus subtilis. First, we introduce an Onsager-Machlup approach to quantify the most probable transition pathway for both…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-27 Jianyu Hu , Xiaoli Chen , Jinqiao Duan

This paper establishes an indirect approximation theorem for the most probable transition pathway of a stochastic interacting particle system in the mean-field framework. This paper studied the problem of indirect approximation of the most…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Jianyu Chen , Ting Gao , Galina Strelkova , Jinqiao Duan

This work is devoted to deriving the Onsager-Machlup action functional for a class of stochastic differential equations with (non-Gaussian) L\'{e}vy process as well as Brownian motion in high dimensions. This is achieved by applying the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Jianyu Hu , Jianyu Chen

Stochastic systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which noise plays an essential role. In these models, one potential goal is to determine if noise can induce transitions between states, and if so, to calculate the most…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Katherine Slyman , Mackenzie Simper , John A. Gemmer , Bjorn Sandstede

This paper investigates bifurcation phenomena and stability of most probable transition paths (MPTPs) in stochastic dynamical systems through a combined variational and spectral flow approach. Within the Onsager-Machlup framework, MPTPs are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Jinqiao Duan , Zhihao Zhao

Many natural systems exhibit phase transition where external environmental conditions spark a shift to a new and sometimes quite different state. Therefore, detecting the behavior of a stochastic dynamic system such as the most probable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-02 Jianyu Chen , Ting Gao , Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

Extracting governing stochastic differential equation models from elusive data is crucial to understand and forecast dynamics for complex systems. We devise a method to extract the drift term and estimate the diffusion coefficient of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Jian Ren , Jinqiao Duan

Turbulence transition often arises from a subcritical transition between bistable states characterized by invariant sets of deterministic dynamical systems, and such transitions can be triggered by system noise as rare events. In this…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-08 Yoshiki Hiruta , Kento Yasuda , Kenta Ishimoto

This work is devoted to the investigation of the most probable transition path for stochastic dynamical systems driven by either symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy motion ($0<\alpha<1$) or Brownian motion. For stochastic dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Yuanfei Huang , Ying Chao , Shenglan Yuan , Jinqiao Duan

We develop a path integral framework for determining most probable paths in a class of systems of stochastic differential equations with piecewise-smooth drift and additive noise. This approach extends the Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Kaitlin Hill , Jessica Zanetell , John A Gemmer

This work is devoted to deriving the Onsager-Machlup action functional for stochastic partial differential equations with (non-Gaussian) Levy process as well as Gaussian Brownian motion. This is achieved by applying the Girsanov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Jianyu Hu , Jinqiao Duan

Optimal paths for the classical Onsager-Machlup function determining most probable paths between points on a manifold are only explicitly identified for specific processes, for example the Riemannian Brownian motion. This leaves out large…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Erlend Grong , Stefan Sommer
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