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In statistics, forecast uncertainty is often quantified using a specified statistical model, though such approaches may be vulnerable to model misspecification, selection bias, and limited finite-sample validity. While bootstrapping can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Han Lin Shang

In the realm of large-scale spatiotemporal data, abrupt changes are commonly occurring across both spatial and temporal domains. This study aims to address the concurrent challenges of detecting change points and identifying spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Zerui Zhang , Xin Wang , Xin Zhang , Jing Zhang

We consider the prediction problem of a continuous-time stochastic process on an entire time-interval in terms of its recent past. The approach we adopt is based on functional kernel nonparametric regression estimation techniques where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anestis Antoniadis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

Spatiotemporal data consisting of timestamps, GPS coordinates, and IDs occurs in many settings. Modeling approaches for this type of data must address challenges in terms of sensor noise, uneven sampling rates, and non-persistent IDs. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Pranay Pherwani , Nicholas Hass , Anna K. Yanchenko

Motivated by a large ground-level ozone dataset, we propose a new computationally efficient additive approximate Gaussian process. The proposed method incorporates a computational-complexity-reduction method and a separable covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-10 Pulong Ma , Bledar A. Konomi , Emily L. Kang

In a spatial-temporal model, structural change and/or spatial heterogeneity can easily affect estimation of parameters. Following the spatial-temporal model in [1], we develop a nonparametric procedure for test-ing the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Ruby Anne E. Lemence , Erniel B. Barrios

This paper explores the estimation of a dynamic spatiotemporal autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model. The log-volatility term in this model can depend on (i) the spatial lag of the log-squared outcome variable, (ii) the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar

Missing data in spatiotemporal systems presents a significant challenge for modern applications, ranging from environmental monitoring to urban traffic management. The integrity of spatiotemporal data often deteriorates due to hardware…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Wenying He , Jieling Huang , Junhua Gu , Ji Zhang , Yude Bai

We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness

This paper presents a functional linear Cox regression model with frailty to tackle unobserved heterogeneity in survival data with functional covariates. While traditional Cox models are common, they struggle to incorporate frailty effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Deniz Inan , Ufuk Beyaztas , Carmen D. Tekwe , Xiwei Chen , Roger S. Zoh

Explosive growth in spatio-temporal data and its wide range of applications have attracted increasing interests of researchers in the statistical and machine learning fields. The spatio-temporal regression problem is of paramount importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Qiyao Wang , Haiyan Wang , Hamed Khorasgani , Chetan Gupta

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

We consider an analysis of variance type problem, where the sample observations are random elements in an infinite dimensional space. This scenario covers the case, where the observations are random functions. For such a problem, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Joydeep Chowdhury , Probal Chaudhuri

Predicting ambulance demand accurately at fine time and location scales is critical for ambulance fleet management and dynamic deployment. Large-scale datasets in this setting typically exhibit complex spatio-temporal dynamics and sparsity…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-03 Zhengyi Zhou , David S. Matteson

We develop methodology for the estimation of the functional mean and the functional principal components when the functions form a spatial process. The data consist of curves $X(\mathbf{s}_k;t),t\in[0,T],$ observed at spatial locations…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-29 Oleksandr Gromenko , Piotr Kokoszka , Lie Zhu , Jan Sojka

The stochastic frontier model with heterogeneous technical efficiency explained by exoge-nous variables is augmented with a spatial-temporal component, a generalization relaxing the panel independence assumption in a panel data. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Erniel B. Barrios , John D. Eustaquio , Rouselle F. Lavado

Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Statistical analysis of high-dimensional functional times series arises in various applications. Under this scenario, in addition to the intrinsic infinite-dimensionality of functional data, the number of functional variables can grow with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

Nonlinear dynamical stochastic models are ubiquitous in different areas. Excitable media models are typical examples with large state dimensions. Their statistical properties are often of great interest but are also very challenging to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Nan Chen , Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Functional time series analysis, whether based on time of frequency domain methodology, has traditionally been carried out under the assumption of complete observation of the constituent series of curves, assumed stationary. Nevertheless,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos
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