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We develop a general methodological framework for probabilistic inference in discrete- and continuous-time stochastic processes evolving on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). The process is observed only at the leaf nodes, and the challenge is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Stefan Sommer

In this document I aim to give an informal treatment of automatic Backward Filtering Forward Guiding, a general algorithm for conditional sampling from a Markov process on a directed acyclic graph. I'll show that the underlying ideas can be…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-02 Frank van der Meulen

Backward Filtering Forward Guiding (BFFG) is a bidirectional algorithm proposed in Mider et al. [2021] and studied more in depth in a general setting in Van der Meulen and Schauer [2022]. In category theory, optics have been proposed for…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Moritz Schauer , Frank van der Meulen , Andi Q. Wang

Inference in nonlinear continuous stochastic processes on trees is challenging, particularly when observations are sparse and the topology is complex. Exact smoothing via Doob's $h$-transform is intractable for general nonlinear dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Gefan Yang , Frank van der Meulen , Stefan Sommer

Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) provides a powerful and flexible framework for performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach extends Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Edoardo Marcelli , Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Rockova

Suppose X is a multivariate diffusion process that is observed discretely in time. At each observation time, a transformation of the state of the process is observed with noise. The smoothing problem consists of recovering the path of the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-04 Marcin Mider , Moritz Schauer , Frank van der Meulen

Many recent flow-matching and diffusion-style generative models rely on auxiliary stochastic dynamics during training: a richer process is simulated to define conditional targets, but the auxiliary state is either intractable to sample at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Lukas Billera , Hedwig Nora Nordlinder , Ben Murrell

Conditional particle filters (CPFs) with backward/ancestor sampling are powerful methods for sampling from the posterior distribution of the latent states of a dynamic model such as a hidden Markov model. However, the performance of these…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-21 Santeri Karppinen , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Matti Vihola

While Classifier-Free Guidance (CFG) has become standard for improving sample fidelity in conditional diffusion models, it can harm diversity and induce memorization by applying constant guidance regardless of whether a particular sample…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Felix Koulischer , Florian Handke , Johannes Deleu , Thomas Demeester , Luca Ambrogioni

Probabilistic inference in high-dimensional state-space models is computationally challenging. For many spatiotemporal systems, however, prior knowledge about the dependency structure of state variables is available. We leverage this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Fiona Lippert , Bart Kranstauber , E. Emiel van Loon , Patrick Forré

Incorporating prior knowledge like lexical constraints into the model's output to generate meaningful and coherent sentences has many applications in dialogue system, machine translation, image captioning, etc. However, existing RNN-based…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Dayiheng Liu , Jie Fu , Qian Qu , Jiancheng Lv

We propose the predictive forward-forward (PFF) algorithm for conducting credit assignment in neural systems. Specifically, we design a novel, dynamic recurrent neural system that learns a directed generative circuit jointly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Alexander Ororbia , Ankur Mali

The conditional particle filter (CPF) is a promising algorithm for general hidden Markov model smoothing. Empirical evidence suggests that the variant of CPF with backward sampling (CBPF) performs well even with long time series. Previous…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-29 Anthony Lee , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Matti Vihola

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic physics-guided framework, termed Physics-guided Deep Markov Model (PgDMM). The framework targets the inference of the characteristics and latent structure of nonlinear dynamical systems from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Wei Liu , Zhilu Lai , Kiran Bacsa , Eleni Chatzi

We introduce Deep Variational Bayes Filters (DVBF), a new method for unsupervised learning and identification of latent Markovian state space models. Leveraging recent advances in Stochastic Gradient Variational Bayes, DVBF can overcome…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-06 Maximilian Karl , Maximilian Soelch , Justin Bayer , Patrick van der Smagt

We introduce Generator Matching, a modality-agnostic framework for generative modeling using arbitrary Markov processes. Generators characterize the infinitesimal evolution of a Markov process, which we leverage for generative modeling in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Peter Holderrieth , Marton Havasi , Jason Yim , Neta Shaul , Itai Gat , Tommi Jaakkola , Brian Karrer , Ricky T. Q. Chen , Yaron Lipman

Factorial hidden Markov models (FHMMs) are powerful tools of modeling sequential data. Learning FHMMs yields a challenging simultaneous model selection issue, i.e., selecting the number of multiple Markov chains and the dimensionality of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-29 Shaohua Li , Ryohei Fujimaki , Chunyan Miao

Classifier-Free Guidance (CFG) is an essential component of text-to-image diffusion models, and understanding and advancing its operational mechanisms remains a central focus of research. Existing approaches stem from divergent theoretical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Kaibo Wang , Jianda Mao , Tong Wu , Yang Xiang

Classifier-Free Guidance (CFG) significantly enhances controllability in generative models by interpolating conditional and unconditional predictions. However, standard CFG often employs a static unconditional input, which can be suboptimal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Pengxiang Li , Shilin Yan , Joey Tsai , Renrui Zhang , Ruichuan An , Ziyu Guo , Xiaowei Gao

In this manuscript, we introduce a novel Decision Flow (DF) framework for sampling decisions from a target distribution while incorporating additional guidance from a prior sampler. DF can be viewed as an AI-driven algorithmic reincarnation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Michael Chertkov , Sungsoo Ahn , Hamidreza Behjoo
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