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The aim of online monitoring is to issue an alarm as soon as there is significant evidence in the collected observations to suggest that the underlying data generating mechanism has changed. This work is concerned with open-end,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic

There is an obvious need for improving the performance and accuracy of a Bayesian network as new data is observed. Because of errors in model construction and changes in the dynamics of the domains, we cannot afford to ignore the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Nir Friedman , Moises Goldszmidt

We propose to use deep learning to estimate parameters in statistical models when standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. We show how to estimate parameters from max-stable processes, where inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Amanda Lenzi , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Michael L. Stein

We present the checkpoint ensembles method that can learn ensemble models on a single training process. Although checkpoint ensembles can be applied to any parametric iterative learning technique, here we focus on neural networks. Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Hugh Chen , Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

Piecewise growth mixture models (PGMM) are a flexible and useful class of methods for analyzing segmented trends in individual growth trajectory over time, where the individuals come from a mixture of two or more latent classes. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-18 Eric F Lock , Nidhi Kohli , Maitreyee Bose

For data segmentation in high-dimensional linear regression settings, the regression parameters are often assumed to be sparse segment-wise, which enables many existing methods to estimate the parameters locally via $\ell_1$-regularised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Haeran Cho , Tobias Kley , Housen Li

We provide an online framework for analyzing data recorded by smart watches during running activities. In particular, we focus on identifying variations in the behavior of one or more measurements caused by changes in physical condition,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-24 Mattia Stival , Mauro Bernardi , Petros Dellaportas

Change point detection (CPD) aims to locate abrupt property changes in time series data. Recent CPD methods demonstrated the potential of using deep learning techniques, but often lack the ability to identify more subtle changes in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Tim De Ryck , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

We consider the detection and localization of change points in the distribution of an offline sequence of observations. Based on a nonparametric framework that uses a similarity graph among observations, we propose new test statistics when…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Lizhen Nie , Dan L. Nicolae

We develop algorithms for detecting multiple changepoints in functional data when the number of changepoints is unknown (unsupervised case), when it is specified apriori (supervised case), and when certain bounds are available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Sourav Chakrabarty , Anirvan Chakraborty , Shyamal K. De

Neural marked temporal point processes have been a valuable addition to the existing toolbox of statistical parametric models for continuous-time event data. These models are useful for sequences where each event is associated with a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Yuxin Chang , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth

Machine learning models are essential tools in various domains, but their performance can degrade over time due to changes in data distribution or other factors. On one hand, detecting and addressing such degradations is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Florian Heinrichs

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

This paper investigates a novel offline change-point detection problem from an information-theoretic perspective. In contrast to most related works, we assume that the knowledge of the underlying pre- and post-change distributions are not…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Haiyun He , Qiaosheng Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

We present a Bayesian method for multivariate changepoint detection that allows for simultaneous inference on the location of a changepoint and the coefficients of a logistic regression model for distinguishing pre-changepoint data from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Andrew M. Thomas , Michael Jauch , David S. Matteson

Model change detection is studied, in which there are two sets of samples that are independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) according to a pre-change probabilistic model with parameter $\theta$, and a post-change model with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-21 Yuheng Bu , Jiaxun Lu , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We study the problem of change point localization in dynamic networks models. We assume that we observe a sequence of independent adjacency matrices of the same size, each corresponding to a realization of an unknown inhomogeneous Bernoulli…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Daren Wang , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo

As contemporary software-intensive systems reach increasingly large scale, it is imperative that failure detection schemes be developed to help prevent costly system downtimes. A promising direction towards the construction of such schemes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Alexey Artemov , Evgeny Burnaev