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Online detection of changes in stochastic systems, referred to as sequential change detection or quickest change detection, is an important research topic in statistics, signal processing, and information theory, and has a wide range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Liyan Xie , Shaofeng Zou , Yao Xie , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We present a new CUSUM procedure for sequentially detecting change-point in the self and mutual exciting processes, a.k.a. Hawkes networks using discrete events data. Hawkes networks have become a popular model for statistics and machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-08 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak

Complex systems which can be represented in the form of static and dynamic graphs arise in different fields, e.g. communication, engineering and industry. One of the interesting problems in analysing dynamic network structures is to monitor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Anna Malinovskaya , Philipp Otto , Torben Peters

Consider the problem on sequential change-point detection on multiple data streams. We provide the asymptotic lower bounds of the detection delays at all levels of change-point sparsity and we derive a smaller asymptotic lower bound of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Jingyan Huang

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

Dynamic networks consist of a sequence of time-varying networks, and it is of great importance to detect the network change points. Most existing methods focus on detecting abrupt change points, necessitating the assumption that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-13 Yuzhao Zhang , Jingnan Zhang , Yifan Sun , Junhui Wang

The automatic detection of changes or anomalies between multispectral and hyperspectral images collected at different time instants is an active and challenging research topic. To effectively perform change-point detection in multitemporal…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-28 Ricardo Augusto Borsoi , Cédric Richard , André Ferrari , Jie Chen , José Carlos Moreira Bermudez

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of sequential Bayesian inference techniques that use neural networks to construct components in state space models. Existing approaches are mostly based on offline supervised training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Jiaxi Li , Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

A simultaneous change-point detection and estimation in a piece-wise constant model is a common task in modern statistics. If, in addition, the whole estimation can be performed automatically, in just one single step without going through…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matúš Maciak

Statistical approaches to cyber-security involve building realistic probability models of computer network data. In a data pre-processing phase, separating automated events from those caused by human activity should improve statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-04 Matthew Price-Williams , Nick Heard , Melissa Turcotte

Many systems of interacting elements can be conceptualized as networks, where network nodes represent the elements and network ties represent interactions between the elements. In systems where the underlying network evolves in time, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Ian Barnett , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We study the problem of online network change point detection. In this setting, a collection of independent Bernoulli networks is collected sequentially, and the underlying distributions change when a change point occurs. The goal is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider offline detection of a single changepoint in binary and count time-series. We compare exact tests based on the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the likelihood ratio (LR) statistics, and a new proposal that combines exact two-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-21 Shyamal K. De , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

Identifying changes in the generative process of sequential data, known as changepoint detection, has become an increasingly important topic for a wide variety of fields. A recently developed approach, which we call EXact Online Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-16 Michael Byrd , Linh Nghiem , Jing Cao

This paper considers the problems of detecting a change point and estimating the location in the correlation matrices of a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is large enough to be comparable to the sample size or even…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Zhaoyuan Li , Jie Gao

In this article, we consider change point inference for high dimensional linear models. For change point detection, given any subgroup of variables, we propose a new method for testing the homogeneity of corresponding regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Bin Liu , Xinsheng Zhang , Yufeng Liu

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

Radar must adapt to changing environments, and we propose changepoint detection as a method to do so. In the world of increasingly congested radio frequencies, radars must adapt to avoid interference. Many radar systems employ the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-15 Samuel Haug , Austin Egbert , Robert J. Marks , Charles Baylis , Anthony Martone

In many complex systems, networks and graphs arise in a natural manner. Often, time evolving behavior can be easily found and modeled using time-series methodology. Amongst others, two common research problems in network analysis are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Rex C. Y. Cheung , Alexander Aue , Seungyong Hwang , Thomas C. M. Lee

Most studies in real time change-point detection either focus on the linear model or use the CUSUM method under classical assumptions on model errors. This paper considers the sequential change-point detection in a nonlinear quantile model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Gabriela Ciuperca
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