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LLM-based financial agents have attracted widespread excitement for their ability to trade like human experts. However, most systems exhibit a "profit mirage": dazzling back-tested returns evaporate once the model's knowledge window ends,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Xiangyu Li , Yawen Zeng , Xiaofen Xing , Jin Xu , Xiangmin Xu

Mining in proof-of-work blockchains has become an expensive affair requiring specialized hardware capable of executing several megahashes per second at huge electricity costs. Miners earn a reward each time they mine a block within the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Arti Vedula , Abhishek Gupta , Shaileshh Bojja Venkatakrishnan

There are $n$ players who compete by timing their actions. An opportunity appears randomly on a time interval. Whoever takes an action the fastest after the opportunity has arisen wins. The occurrence of the opportunity is observed only…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Bruno Mazorra , Christoph Schlegel , Akaki Mamageishvili

This paper investigates the financial economics of simple periodic systems. Well-established financial procedures appear to be complicated, and lead to partially biased results. Probability theory is applied, and the focus is on the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-20 Petri P. Karenlampi

We address a fundamental problem that is systematically encountered when modeling complex systems: the limitedness of the information available. In the case of economic and financial networks, privacy issues severely limit the information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-07 Giulio Cimini , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli , Andrea Gabrielli

We study the optimal asset allocation problem for a fund manager whose compensation depends on the performance of her portfolio with respect to a benchmark. The objective of the manager is to maximise the expected utility of her final…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Flavio Angelini , Katia Colaneri , Stefano Herzel , Marco Nicolosi

An investment portfolio consists of $n$ algorithmic trading strategies, which generate vectors of positions in trading assets. Sign opposite trades (buy/sell) cross each other as strategies are combined in a portfolio. Then portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-05 A. V. Kuliga , I. N. Shnurnikov

The value of proof-of-work cryptocurrencies critically depends on miners having incentives to follow the protocol. However, the Bitcoin mining protocol proposed by Nakamoto (2008) and implemented in practice is well known not to constitute…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Manuel Mueller-Frank , Minghao Pan , Omer Tamuz

The search for the optimal pair of active and protection paths in a network with Shared Risk Link Groups (SRLG) is a challenging but high-value problem in the industry that is inevitable in ensuring reliable connections on the modern…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-08-05 P. A. Mosharev , Choon-Meng Lee , Xu Shu , Xiaoshan Zhang , Man-Hong Yung

We solve exactly a simple model of trend following strategy, and obtain the analytical shape of the profit per trade distribution. This distribution is non trivial and has an option like, asymmetric structure. The degree of asymmetry…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-10 Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We consider an economic environment where a seller wants to sell an indivisible unit of good to a buyer. We show that revenue from any strategy-proof and individually rational mechanism defined on closed intervals of rich single crossing…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Mridu Prabal Goswami

We study offline dynamic pricing when historical data provide incomplete coverage of the price space such that some candidate prices, including the optimal one, may be entirely unobserved. This setting is common in practice and is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-25 Zeyu Bian , Lan Wang , Zhengling Qi

Lattice investment projects support process model with corruption is formulated and analyzed. The model is based on the Ising lattice model of ferromagnetic but takes deal with the social phenomenon. Set of corruption agents is considered.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-28 O. A. Malafeyev , S. A. Nemnyugin

We recently presented a methodology for quantitatively reducing the risk and cost of executing electronic transactions in a bursty network environment such as the Internet. In the language of portfolio theory, time to complete a transaction…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Sebastian M. Maurer , Bernardo A. Huberman

A renewal system divides the slotted timeline into back to back time periods called renewal frames. At the beginning of each frame, it chooses a policy from a set of options for that frame. The policy determines the duration of the frame,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-02 Xiaohan Wei

We analyze the network congestion game with atomic players, asymmetric strategies, and the maximum latency among all players as social cost. This important social cost function is much less understood than the average latency. We show that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-10-02 Xujin Chen , Benjamin Doerr , Xiaodong Hu , Weidong Ma , Rob van Stee , Carola Winzen

Using frequency distributions of daily closing price time series of several financial market indexes, we investigate whether the bias away from an equiprobable sequence distribution found in the data, predicted by algorithmic information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-17 Hector Zenil , Jean-Paul Delahaye

Some investors say increasing investors with the same strategy decreasing their profits per an investor. On the other hand, some investors using technical analysis used to use same strategy and parameters with other investors, and say that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-05 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi

Graph association rule mining is a data mining technique used for discovering regularities in graph data. In this study, we propose a novel concept, {\it path association rule mining}, to discover the correlations of path patterns that…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Yuya Sasaki

Net profit is sometimes found from data for net operating surplus. We propose a way to find it from data for consumption, pay and market-value capital, and concomitantly to reveal the factor shares in consumption.

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-21 Gordon Getty , Nikita Tkachenko