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In the early stage of an infectious disease outbreak, public health strategies tend to gravitate towards non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) given the time required to develop targeted treatments and vaccines. One of the most common…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-20 Yunyi Cai , Weiyi Wang , Lanlan Yu , Ruixiang Wang , Gui-Quan Sun , Allisandra G. Kummer , Paulo C. Ventura , Jiancheng Lv , Marco Ajelli , Quan-Hui Liu

While several non-pharmacological measures have been implemented for a few months in an effort to slow the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic in the United States, the disease remains a danger in a number of counties as restrictions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-06 Chao Fan , Xiangqi Jiang , Ronald Lee , Ali Mostafavi

Different countries -- and sometimes different regions within the same countries -- have adopted different strategies in trying to contain the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic; these mix in variable parts social confinement, early detection and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-17 Giuseppe Gaeta

A key characteristic of the spread of infectious diseases is their ability to use efficient transmission paths within contact graphs. This enables the pathogen to maximise infection rates and spread within a target population. In this work,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Shishir Nagaraja

A contact-tracing strategy has been deemed necessary to contain the spread of COVID-19 following the relaxation of lockdown measures. Using an agent-based model, we explore one of the technology-based strategies proposed, a contact-tracing…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Jonatan Almagor , Stefano Picascia

With more than 1.7 million COVID-19 deaths, identifying effective measures to prevent COVID-19 is a top priority. We developed a mathematical model to simulate the COVID-19 pandemic with digital contact tracing and testing strategies. The…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Daniel Xu

For rapidly spreading diseases where many cases show no symptoms, swift and effective contact tracing is essential. While exposure notification applications provide alerts on potential exposures, a fully automated system is needed to track…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Sofia Hurtado , Radu Marculescu

Contact tracing can be thought of as a race between two processes: an infection process and a tracing process. In this paper, we study a simple model of infection spreading on a tree, and a tracer who stabilizes one node at a time. We focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Michela Meister , Jon Kleinberg

Contact-tracing is an essential tool in order to mitigate the impact of pandemic such as the COVID-19. In order to achieve efficient and scalable contact-tracing in real time, digital devices can play an important role. While a lot of…

Infectious diseases are caused by pathogenic microorganisms, such as bacteria, viruses, parasites or fungi, which can be spread, directly or indirectly, from one person to another. Infectious diseases pose a serious threat to human health,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Ting Jiang , Yang Zhang , Minhao Zhang , Ting Yu , Yizheng Chen , Chenhao Lu , Ji Zhang , Zhao Li , Jun Gao , Shuigeng Zhou

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

The spread of an undesirable contact process, such as an infectious disease (e.g. COVID-19), is contained through testing and isolation of infected nodes. The temporal and spatial evolution of the process (along with containment through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Xingran Chen , Hesam Nikpey , Jungyeol Kim , Saswati Sarkar , Shirin Saeedi-Bidokhti

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a severe global pandemic that has claimed millions of lives and continues to overwhelm public health systems in many countries. The spread of COVID-19 pandemic has negatively impacted the human…

Effective contact tracing is crucial to contain epidemic spreading without disrupting societal activities especially in the present time of coexistence with a pandemic outbreak. Large gatherings play a key role, potentially favouring…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-18 Marco Mancastroppa , Andrea Guizzo , Claudio Castellano , Alessandro Vezzani , Raffaella Burioni

The challenges presented by the COVID-19 epidemic have created a renewed interest in the development of new methods to combat infectious diseases. A prominent property of the SARS-CoV-2 transmission is the significant fraction of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-08 Lorenz Baumgarten , Stefan Bornholdt

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is the first epidemic in human history in which digital contact-tracing has been deployed at a global scale. Tracking and quarantining all the contacts of individuals who test positive to a virus can help…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-26 Aleix Bassolas , Andrea Santoro , Sandro Sousa , Silvia Rognone , Vincenzo Nicosia

We present a System Dynamics (SD) model of the Covid-19 pandemic spread in India. The detailed age-structured compartment-based model endogenously captures various disease transmission pathways, expanding significantly from the standard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-21 Jayendran Venkateswaran , Om Damani

Contacts' temporal ordering and dynamics are crucial for understanding the transmission of infectious diseases. We introduce an interaction-driven model of an airborne disease over contact networks. We demonstrate our interaction-driven…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Alex Abbey , Yanir Marmor , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

By the end of 2021, COVID-19 had spread to over 230 countries, with over 5.4 million deaths. To contain its spread, many countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions, notably contact tracing and self-quarantine policies. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-14 Jungwoo Kim , Taesik Lee

The evolution of network structure and the spreading of epidemic are common coexistent dynamical processes. In most cases, network structure is treated either static or time-varying, supposing the whole network is observed in a same time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Yanjun Lei , Xin Jiang , Quantong Guo , Yifang Ma , Meng Li , Zhiming Zheng