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The inference of causal relationships among observed variables is a pivotal, longstanding problem in the scientific community. An intuitive method for quantifying these causal links involves examining the response of one variable to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-27 Gabriele Di Antonio , Gianni Valerio Vinci

In this paper we re-examine the traditional problem of connecting the internal fluctuations of a system to its response to external forcings and extend the classical theory in order to be able to encompass also nonlinear processes. With…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Valerio Lucarini , Matteo Colangeli

We address causal reasoning in multivariate time series data generated by stochastic processes. Existing approaches are largely restricted to static settings, ignoring the continuity and emission of variations across time. In contrast, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Mehdi Fatemi , Sindhu Gowda

Causal relationships play a fundamental role in understanding the world around us. The ability to identify and understand cause-effect relationships is critical to making informed decisions, predicting outcomes, and developing effective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-10 Sergio Chibbaro , Cyril Furtlehner , Théo Marchetta , Andrei-Tiberiu Pantea , Davide Rossetti

Computational analysis of time-course data with an underlying causal structure is needed in a variety of domains, including neural spike trains, stock price movements, and gene expression levels. However, it can be challenging to determine…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Bud Mishra

We present a physically inspired generalization of equilibrium response formulae, the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, to Markov jump processes possibly describing interacting particle systems out-of-equilibrium. Here, the time-dependent…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-05 Christian Maes , Bram Wynants

Causality is a non-obvious concept that is often considered to be related to temporality. In this paper we present a number of past and present approaches to the definition of temporality and causality from philosophical, physical, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-07-16 Kamran Karimi

In modeling multivariate time series for either forecast or policy analysis, it would be beneficial to have figured out the cause-effect relations within the data. Regression analysis, however, is generally for correlation relation, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-23 Xingwei Hu

We show that time-correlation functions of arbitrary order for any random variable in a statistical dynamical system can be calculated as higher-order response functions of the mean history of the variable. The response is to a ``control…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Gregory L. Eyink

We use dynamic equations to derive a relation between correlation functions and response or relaxation functions in many-body systems. The relation is very general and holds both in equilibrium, when the usual fluctuation-dissipation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-09 T. R. Kirkpatrick , D. Belitz

We study the statistical fluctuations (such as the variance) of causal set quantities, with particular focus on the causal set action. To facilitate calculating such fluctuations, we develop tools to account for correlations between causal…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-02-11 Heidar Moradi , Yasaman K. Yazdi , Miguel Zilhão

A generalized fluctuation-response relation is found for thermal systems driven out of equilibrium. Its derivation is independent of many details of the dynamics, which is only required to be first-order. The result gives a correction to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-07-12 Marco Baiesi , Christian Maes , Bram Wynants

We show how a general formulation of the Fluctuation-Response Relation is able to describe in detail the connection between response properties to external perturbations and spontaneous fluctuations in systems with fast and slow variables.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-01-29 Guglielmo Lacorata , Angelo Vulpiani

We review generalized Fluctuation-Dissipation Relations which are valid under general conditions even in ``non-standard systems'', e.g. out of equilibrium and/or without a Hamiltonian structure. The response functions can be expressed in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-10 A. Sarracino , A. Vulpiani

Fluctuation dissipation theorems connect the linear response of a physical system to a perturbation to the steady-state correlation functions. Until now, most of these theorems have been derived for finite-dimensional systems. However, many…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-22 Mohammad Mehboudi , Juan. M. R. Parrondo , Antonio Acin

We define a new measure of causation from a fluctuation-response theorem for Kullback-Leibler divergences, based on the information-theoretic cost of perturbations. This information response has both the invariance properties required for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Andrea Auconi , Benjamin M. Friedrich , Andrea Giansanti

In this Article we review some recent progresses in the field of non-equilibrium linear response theory. We show how a generalization of the fluctuation-dissipation theorem can be derived for Markov processes, and discuss the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-07-06 Federico Corberi , Eugenio Lippiello , Marco Zannetti

A modelling language is described which is suitable for the correlation of information when the underlying functional model of the system is incomplete or uncertain and the temporal dependencies are imprecise. An efficient and incremental…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 John Bigham

We describe a method for inferring linear causal relations among multi-dimensional variables. The idea is to use an asymmetry between the distributions of cause and effect that occurs if both the covariance matrix of the cause and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-09-25 Dominik Janzing , Patrik O. Hoyer , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Information flow provides a natural measure for the causal interaction between dynamical events. This study extends our previous rigorous formalism of componentwise information flow to the bulk information flow between two complex…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-30 X. San Liang
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