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In feature-based dynamic pricing, a seller sets appropriate prices for a sequence of products (described by feature vectors) on the fly by learning from the binary outcomes of previous sales sessions ("Sold" if valuation $\geq$ price, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Jianyu Xu , Yu-Xiang Wang

In this paper, we examine the effectiveness of various recommendation strategies in the mobile channel and their impact on consumers' utility and demand levels for individual products. We find significant differences in effectiveness among…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Panagiotis Adamopoulos , Anindya Ghose , Alexander Tuzhilin

Markets have internal dynamics leading to excess volatility and other phenomena that are difficult to explain using rational expectations models. This paper studies these using a nonequilibrium price formation rule, developed in the context…

adap-org · Physics 2015-06-30 J. Doyne Farmer

We analyze competition on nonlinear prices in homogeneous goods markets with consumer search. In equilibrium firms offer two-part tariffs consisting of a linear price and lump-sum fee. The equilibrium production is socially efficient as the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-10-01 Atabek Atayev

The effectiveness of fiscal policy to influence vehicle purchases for emissions reductions in private passenger road transport depends on its ability to incentivise consumers to make choices oriented towards lower emissions vehicles.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-23 J. -F. Mercure , A. Lam

Planned experiments are the gold standard in reliably comparing the causal effect of switching from a baseline policy to a new policy. One critical shortcoming of classical experimental methods, however, is that they typically do not take…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-07 Panagiotis , Toulis , David C. Parkes

In this article, we study the effects of organized crime infiltration in city councils on environmental policies implemented in Italy at the municipal level. To this purpose, we exploit the exogenous shock of the removal of a city council…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-25 Andrea Mario Lavezzi , Marco Quatrosi

I propose a treatment selection model that introduces unobserved heterogeneity in both choice sets and preferences to evaluate the average effects of a program offer. I show how to exploit the model structure to define parameters capturing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-01 Vishal Kamat

In this paper we discuss recent developments in econometrics that we view as important for empirical researchers working on policy evaluation questions. We focus on three main areas, where in each case we highlight recommendations for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-26 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

I study peer effects that arise from irreversible decisions in the absence of a standard social equilibrium. I model a latent sequence of decisions in continuous time and obtain a closed-form expression for the likelihood, which allows to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Vincent Starck

In predictive maintenance, model performance is usually assessed by means of precision, recall, and F1-score. However, employing the model with best performance, e.g. highest F1-score, does not necessarily result in minimum maintenance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-01 Stephan Spiegel , Fabian Mueller , Dorothea Weismann , John Bird

We present an approach to estimate distance-dependent heterogeneous associations between point-referenced exposures to built environment characteristics and health outcomes. By estimating associations that depend non-linearly on distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Adam Peterson , Emma Sanchez-Vaznaugh , Brisa Sanchez

We develop new robust discrete choice tools to learn about the average willingness to pay for a price subsidy and its effects on demand given exogenous, discrete variation in prices. Our starting point is a nonparametric, nonseparable model…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-21 Vishal Kamat , Samuel Norris

We consider the problem of pricing a reusable resource service system. Potential customers arrive according to a Poisson process and purchase the service if their valuation exceeds the current price. If no units are available, customers…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Adam N. Elmachtoub , Jiaqi Shi

Estimating varying treatment effects in randomized trials with noncompliance is inherently challenging since variation comes from two separate sources: variation in the impact itself and variation in the compliance rate. In this setting,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-28 Jared D. Fisher , David W. Puelz , Sameer K. Deshpande

Causal machine learning methods which flexibly generate heterogeneous treatment effect estimates could be very useful tools for governments trying to make and implement policy. However, as the critical artificial intelligence literature has…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-06 Patrick Rehill , Nicholas Biddle

We study identification and estimation of the average treatment effect in a correlated random coefficients model that allows for first stage heterogeneity and binary instruments. The model also allows for multiple endogenous variables and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-03 Matthew A. Masten , Alexander Torgovitsky

We study the price impact of storage facilities in electricity markets and analyze the long-term profitability of these facilities in prospective scenarios of energy transition. To this end, we begin by characterizing the optimal operating…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-17 Roxana Dumitrescu , Redouane Silvente , Peter Tankov

Data collection in economically constrained countries often necessitates using approximate and biased measurements due to the low-cost of the sensors used. This leads to potentially invalid predictions and poor policies or decision making.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Michael T. Smith , Joel Ssematimba , Mauricio A. Alvarez , Engineer Bainomugisha

We analyze demand settings where heterogeneous consumers maximize utility for product attributes subject to a nonlinear budget constraint. We develop nonparametric methods for welfare-analysis of interventions that change the constraint.…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-05 Debopam Bhattacharya , Ekaterina Oparina , Qianya Xu