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This paper has the goal of evaluating how changes in mobility has affected the infection spread of Covid-19 throughout the 2020-2021 years. However, identifying a "clean" causal relation is not an easy task due to a high number of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-05 Leonardo Martins , Marcelo C. Medeiros

To mitigate the spread of COVID-19 pandemic, decision-makers and public authorities have announced various non-pharmaceutical policies. Analyzing the causal impact of these policies in reducing the spread of COVID-19 is important for future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Jing Ma , Yushun Dong , Zheng Huang , Daniel Mietchen , Jundong Li

To contain the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, one of the non-pharmacological epidemic control measures in response to the COVID-19 outbreak is reducing the transmission rate of SARS-COV-2 in the population through (physical)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-19 Song Gao , Jinmeng Rao , Yuhao Kang , Yunlei Liang , Jake Kruse

This article explores the territorial differences in the onset and spread of COVID-19 and the excess mortality associated with the pandemic, across the European NUTS3 regions and US counties. Both in Europe and in the US, the pandemic…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-13 Fabrizio Natale , Stefano Maria Iacus , Alessandra Conte , Spyridon Spyratos , Francesco Sermi

Determinants of COVID-19 clinical severity are commonly assessed by transverse or longitudinal studies of the fatality counts. However, the fatality counts depend both on disease clinical severity and transmissibility, as more infected also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-02 Sofija Markovic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Ognjen Milicevic , Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic

The spread of COVID-19 revealed that transmission risk patterns are not homogenous across different cities and communities, and various heterogeneous features can influence the spread trajectories. Hence, for predictive pandemic monitoring,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Junwei Ma , Bo Li , Qingchun Li , Chao Fan , Ali Mostafavi

Comparing how different populations have suffered under COVID-19 is a core part of ongoing investigations into how public policy and social inequalities influence the number of and severity of COVID-19 cases. But COVID-19 incidence can vary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

We recently described a dynamic causal model of a COVID-19 outbreak within a single region. Here, we combine several of these (epidemic) models to create a (pandemic) model of viral spread among regions. Our focus is on a second wave of new…

During 2020 and 2021, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission has been increasing amongst the world's population at an alarming rate. Reducing the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and other diseases that are spread in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Patrick Urrutia , David Wren , Chrysafis Vogiatzis , Ruriko Yoshida

Previous research has shown mixed evidence on the associations between mobility data and COVID-19 case rates, analysis of which is complicated by differences between places on factors influencing both behavior and health outcomes. We aimed…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-17 Joshua R. Nugent , Laura B. Balzer

COVID-19 has been affecting every aspect of societal life including human mobility since December, 2019. In this paper, we study the impact of COVID-19 on human mobility patterns at the state level within the United States. From the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Songhe Wang , Kangda Wei , Lei Lin , Weizi Li

The COVID-19 pandemic brought unprecedented levels of disruption to the local and regional transportation networks throughout the United States, especially the Motor City: Detroit. That was mainly a result of swift restrictive measures such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-23 Yongtao Yao , Tony G. Geara , Weisong Shi

At the time of this article, COVID-19 has been transmitted to more than 42 million people and resulted in more than 673,000 deaths across the United States. Throughout this pandemic, public health authorities have monitored the results of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Zhen Zhong , Ribhu Sengupta , Kamran Paynabar , Lance A. Waller

Modeling the spatiotemporal nature of the spread of infectious diseases can provide useful intuition in understanding the time-varying aspect of the disease spread and the underlying complex spatial dependency observed in people's mobility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Padmaksha Roy , Shailik Sarkar , Subhodip Biswas , Fanglan Chen , Zhiqian Chen , Naren Ramakrishnan , Chang-Tien Lu

Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, travel restrictions have emerged as crucial interventions for mitigating the spread of the virus. In this study, we enhance the predictive capabilities of our model, Sequence-to-Sequence Epidemic Attention…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-14 Yukang Jiang , Ting Tian , Huajun Xie , Hailiang Guo , Xueqin Wang

With the severity of the COVID-19 outbreak, we characterize the nature of the growth trajectories of counties in the United States using a novel combination of spectral clustering and the correlation matrix. As the U.S. and the rest of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Francesca Tang , Yang Feng , Hamza Chiheb , Jianqing Fan

Mobility cross spatial units represents the embodiment of how people manage activities between locations along temporal sequences. Spatiotemporal pattern nevertheless interacts with the socioeconomic characteristics of respected origin…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-03 Rafiazka Millanida Hilman

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

The emergence of infectious disease COVID-19 has challenged and changed the world in an unprecedented manner. The integration of wireless networks with edge computing (namely wireless edge networks) brings opportunities to address this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Xuran Li , Shuaishuai Guo , Hong-Ning Dai , Dengwang Li

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan