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The main focus of this chapter is on public health control strategies which are currently the main way to mitigate COVID-19 pandemic. We introduce and compare compartmental models of increasing complexity for COVID-19 transmission to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-14 Redouane Qesmi , Aayah Hammoumi

The concept of the mutual influence that awareness and disease may exert on each other has recently presented significant challenges. The actions individuals take to prevent contracting a disease and their level of awareness can profoundly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Sara Shabani , Sahar Jafarbegloo , Sadegh Raeisi , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad

A novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is sweeping the world and has taken away thousands of lives. As the current epicenter, the United States has the largest number of confirmed and death cases of COVID-19. Meteorological factors have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-04 Meijian Yang

As of December 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 75 million people, making it the deadliest pandemic in modern history. This study develops a novel compartmental epidemiological model specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-19 Caden Lin

Controlling the spread of COVID-19 - even after a licensed vaccine is available - requires the effective use of non-pharmaceutical interventions: physical distancing, limits on group sizes, mask wearing, etc. To date, such interventions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-30 Benjamin M. Althouse , Brendan Wallace , Brendan Case , Samuel V. Scarpino , Andrew M. Berdahl , Easton R. White , Laurent Hebert-Dufresne

Early in the pandemic, counties and states implemented a variety of non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs) focused on mobility, such as national lockdowns or work-from-home strategies, as it became clear that restricting movement was…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Saad Mohammad Abrar , Kazi Tasnim Zinat , Naman Awasthi , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

We propose a multi-layer network model for the spread of COVID-19 that accounts for interactions within the family, between schoolmates, and casual contacts in the population. We utilize the proposed model-calibrated on epidemiological and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-24 Christian Bongiorno , Lorenzo Zino

In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a rapid response from governments and researchers worldwide. As of late 2023, over millions have died as a result of COVID-19, with many COVID-19 survivors going on to experience long-term effects…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Yo Yehudi , Lukas Hughes-Noehrer , Carole Goble , Caroline Jay

Social distancing remains an important strategy to combat the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. However, the impacts of specific state-level policies on mobility and subsequent COVID-19 case trajectories have not been completely…

This study focuses on an important transport-related long-term effect of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States: an increase in telecommuting. Analyzing a nationally representative panel survey of adults, we find that 40-50% of workers…

Currently, the global situation of COVID-19 is aggravating, pressingly calling for efficient control and prevention measures. Understanding spreading pattern of COVID-19 has been widely recognized as a vital step for implementing…

Timely prediction of the COVID-19 progression is not possible without a comprehensive understanding of environmental factors that may affect the infection transmissibility. Studies addressing parameters that may influence COVID-19…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-30 Igor Salom , Andjela Rodic , Ognjen Milicevic , Dusan Zigic , Magdalena Djordjevic , Marko Djordjevic

During outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases, internationally connected cities often experience large and early outbreaks, while rural regions follow after some delay. This hierarchical structure of disease spread is influenced…

To accurately predict the regional spread of Covid-19 infection, this study proposes a novel hybrid model which combines a Long short-term memory (LSTM) artificial recurrent neural network with dynamic behavioral models. Several factors and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-08 Seid Miad Zandavi , Taha Hossein Rashidi , Fatemeh Vafaee

During the 2020 pandemic caused by the COVID-19 virus, many countries implemented stay-at-home measures, which led to many businesses and schools moving from in-person to online mode of operation. We analyze sampled Netflow records at a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Jelena Mirkovic , Yebo Feng , Jun Li

A system to model the spread of COVID-19 cases after lockdown has been proposed, to define new preventive measures based on hotspots, using the graph clustering algorithm. This method allows for more lenient measures in areas less prone to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Varun Nagesh Jolly Behera , Ashish Ranjan , Motahar Reza

For the past couple years, the Coronavirus, commonly known as COVID-19, has significantly affected the daily lives of all citizens residing in the United States by imposing several, fatal health risks that cannot go unnoticed. In response…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Mostafa Rezapour , Colin A. Varady

This work aims to assess the risks of Covid-19 disease spread in diverse daily-life situations (referred to as scenarios) involving crowds of maskless pedestrians, mostly outdoors. More concretely, we develop a method to infer the global…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-04 Willy Garcia , Simon Mendez , Baptiste Fray , Alexandre Nicolas

Human mobility and activity patterns mediate contagion on many levels, including the spatial spread of infectious diseases, diffusion of rumors, and emergence of consensus. These patterns however are often dominated by specific locations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-05 Duygu Balcan , Alessandro Vespignani

The statistical dynamics of a pathogen within a population depend on a range of factors: population density, the effectiveness and investment into social distancing, public policy measures and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-04 Chris von Csefalvay
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