Related papers: A Finite Memory Interacting P\'{o}lya Contagion Ne…
We study a family of binary state, socially-inspired contagion models which incorporate imitation limited by an aversion to complete conformity. We uncover rich behavior in our models whether operating with either probabilistic or…
The individual-based model of simple contagion processes is considered on regular graphs. This model explicitly incorporates the adjacency matrix of the network enabling us to study the effect of network structure on the dynamic of the…
Many epidemic processes in networks spread by stochastic contacts among their connected vertices. There are two limiting cases widely analyzed in the physics literature, the so-called contact process (CP) where the contagion is expanded at…
We study systemic default contagion in sparse financial networks and develop a framework for deciding when aggregate exposure matrices are reliable and when node-level network information changes tail risk and control design. The first…
Consider a generalized time-dependent P\'olya urn process defined as follows. Let $d\in \mathbb{N}$ be the number of urns/colors. At each time $n$, we distribute $\sigma_n$ balls randomly to the $d$ urns, proportionally to $f$, where $f$ is…
This paper introduces a theoretical framework for the analysis and control of the stochastic susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) spreading process over a network of heterogeneous agents. In our analysis, we analyze the exact networked Markov…
Memoryless (Markovian) system-bath interactions are of fundamental interest in physics. While typically, the absence of memory originates from the characteristics of the bath, here we demonstrate that it can result from the system becoming…
Consider a finite undirected graph and place an urn with balls of two colours at each vertex. At every discrete time step, for each urn, a fixed number of balls are drawn from that same urn with probability $p$, and from a randomly chosen…
We consider a Spatial Markov Chain model for the spread of viruses. The model is based on the principle to represent a graph connecting nodes, which represent humans. The vertices between the nodes represent relations between humans. In…
We study individual-based dynamics in finite populations, subject to randomly switching environmental conditions. These are inspired by models in which genes transition between on and off states, regulating underlying protein dynamics.…
We consider a rate control problem for an $N$-particle weakly interacting finite state Markov process. The process models the state evolution of a large collection of particles and allows for multiple particles to change state…
We study a system of perfect integrate-and-fire inhibitory neurons. It is a system of stochastic processes which interact through receiving an instantaneous increase at the moments they reach certain thresholds. In the absence of…
The spread of infectious diseases, rumors, fashions, innovations are complex contagion processes, embedded both in networked and spatial contexts. Here we investigate the pattern dynamics of a complex contagion, where two agents, say $A$…
We study the curing of epidemics of a network contagion, which is modelled using a variation of the classical Polya urn process that takes into account spatial infection among neighbouring nodes. We introduce several quantities for…
Our main result is to prove almost-sure convergence of a stochastic-approximation algorithm defined on the space of measures on a non-compact space. Our motivation is to apply this result to measure-valued P\'olya processes (MVPPs, also…
The contact process is an emblematic model of a non-equilibrium system, containing a phase transition between inactive and active dynamical regimes. In the epidemiological context, the model is known as the susceptible-infected-susceptible…
Most epidemic processes on networks can be modelled by a compartmental model, that specifies the spread of a disease in a population. The corresponding compartmental graph describes how the viral state of the nodes (individuals) changes…
The P\'olya urn scheme is a discrete-time process concerning the addition and removal of colored balls. There is a known embedding of it in continuous-time, called the P\'olya process. We deal with a generalization of this stochastic model,…
The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and…
We consider a coupled Polya's urn scheme for social dynamics on networks. Agents hold continuum-valued opinions on a two-state issue and randomly converse with their neighbors on a graph, agreeing on one of the two states. The probability…