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A network epidemics model based on the classical Polya urn scheme is investigated. Temporal contagion processes are generated on the network nodes using a modified Polya sampling scheme that accounts for spatial infection among neighbouring…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Mikhail Hayhoe , Fady Alajaji , Bahman Gharesifard

A classical P\'olya urn scheme is a Markov process whose evolution is encoded by a replacement matrix $(R_{i,j})_{1\leq i,j\leq d}$. At every discrete time-step, we draw a ball uniformly at random, denote its colour $c$, and replace it in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Nabil Lasmar , Cécile Mailler , Olfa Selmi

P\'{o}lya urn is a stochastic process in which balls are randomly drawn from an urn of red and blue balls, and balls of the same color as the drawn balls are added. The probability of a ball of a certain color being drawn is equal to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-10 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

We study a generalized P\'{o}lya urn model with two types of ball. If the drawn ball is red, it is replaced together with a black ball, but if the drawn ball is black it is replaced and a red ball is thrown out of the urn. When only black…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-17 Edward Crane , Nicholas Georgiou , Stanislav Volkov , Andrew R. Wade , Robert J. Waters

We investigate the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered contagion dynamics in a system of self-propelled particles with polar alignment. Using agent-based simulations, we analyze the outbreak process for different combinations of the spatial…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-16 Yinong Zhao , Cristián Huepe , Pawel Romanczuk

The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic behavior of strongly reinforced interacting urns with partial memory sharing. The reinforcement mechanism considered is as follows: draw at each step and for each urn a white or black ball…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Mickaël Launay

Waiting times between two consecutive infection and recovery events in spreading processes are often assumed to be exponentially distributed, which results in Markovian (i.e., memoryless) continuous spreading dynamics. However, this is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-27 Lucas Böttcher , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

In this paper, a stochastic dynamic control strategy is presented to prevent the spread of an infection over a homogeneous network. The infectious process is persistent, i.e., it continues to contaminate the network once it is established.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

We study binary state dynamics on a network where each node acts in response to the average state of its neighborhood. Allowing varying amounts of stochasticity in both the network and node responses, we find different outcomes in random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-09 Kameron Decker Harris , Christopher M. Danforth , Peter Sheridan Dodds

With the increasing ubiquity of safety-critical autonomous systems operating in uncertain environments, there is a need for mathematical methods for formal verification of stochastic models. Towards formally verifying properties of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-18 Adrien Banse , Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo , Raphaël M. Jungers

The stochastic models investigated in this paper describe the evolution of a set of $F_N$ identical balls scattered into $N$ urns connected by an underlying symmetrical graph with constant degree $h_N$. After some random amount of time {\em…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Wen Sun , Philippe Robert

We study a networked system of innovation processes, where each process is modeled as an urn with infinitely many colors-a classical framework for capturing the emergence of novelties. Extending this paradigm, we analyze a model of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components. At each time unit, each component can take two values, indicating if it has a spike or not at this precise moment. The system evolves as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Antonio Galves , Eva Löcherbach

Together with the universally recognized SIR model, several approaches have been employed to understand the contagious dynamics of interacting particles. Here, Active Brownian particles (ABP) are introduced to model the contagion dynamics…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-08-03 Ariel Norambuena , Felipe Valencia , Francisca Guzmán-Lastra

We study the spread of discrete-time epidemics over arbitrary networks for well-known propagation models, namely SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible), SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered), SIRS (susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-03 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Hyoung Jun Ahn , Babak Hassibi

Recent research on social contagion processes has revealed the limitations of traditional networks, which capture only pairwise relationships, to characterize complex multiparty relationships and group influences properly. Social contagion…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Lidan Liang , Shaoxuan Cui , Fangzhou Liu

We present a simple Markov model of spiking neural dynamics that can be analytically solved to characterize the stochastic dynamics of a finite-size spiking neural network. We give closed-form estimates for the equilibrium distribution,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 H. Soula , C. C. Chow

We consider interacting urns on a finite directed network, where both sampling and reinforcement processes depend on the nodes of the network. This extends previous research by incorporating node-dependent sampling and reinforcement. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Gursharn Kaur , Neeraja Sahasrabudhe

We introduce an interacting particle system that models the spread of an epidemic in terms of heterogeneous diffusive dynamics, rather than exogenous contact and transmission rates at the population level as in classical compartmental…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Eliana Fausti , Andreas Sojmark

P\'olya urns are urns where at each unit of time a ball is drawn and replaced with some other balls according to its colour. We introduce a more general model: the replacement rule depends on the colour of the drawn ball and the value of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-04 Cyril Banderier , Philippe Marchal , Michael Wallner
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