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Chaotic dynamical systems such as turbulent flows are characterized by an exponential divergence of infinitesimal perturbations to initial conditions. Therefore, conventional adjoint/tangent sensitivity analysis methods that are successful…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Nisha Chandramoorthy , Zhong-Nan Wang , Qiqi Wang , Paul Tucker

We propose a new variational approximation of the joint posterior distribution of the log-volatility in the context of large Bayesian VARs. In contrast to existing approaches that are based on local approximations, the new proposal provides…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-20 Joshua C. C. Chan , Xuewen Yu

Complex computer codes are widely used in science and engineering to model physical phenomena. Furthermore, it is common that they have a large number of input parameters. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify those which have the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela , Bertrand Iooss

We propose a novel variational Bayes approach to estimate high-dimensional vector autoregression (VAR) models with hierarchical shrinkage priors. Our approach does not rely on a conventional structural VAR representation of the parameter…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-03 Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi , Nicolas Bianco

A generalization of Passing-Bablok regression is proposed for comparing multiple measurement methods simultaneously. Possible applications include assay migration studies or interlaboratory trials. When comparing only two methods, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Florian Dufey

While seasonality inherent to raw macroeconomic data is commonly removed by seasonal adjustment techniques before it is used for structural inference, this may distort valuable information in the data. As an alternative method to commonly…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-12 Daniel Dzikowski , Carsten Jentsch

Large-scale time series visualization often suffers from excessive visual clutter and redundant patterns, making it difficult for users to understand the main temporal trends. To address this challenge, we present VARTS, an interactive…

Graphics · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Duosi Jin , Jianqiu Xu , Guidong Zhang

Global sensitivity analysis aims at measuring the relative importance of different variables or groups of variables for the variability of a quantity of interest. Among several sensitivity indices, so-called Shapley effects have recently…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 Takashi Goda

We present an HSIC-based approach for global sensitivity analysis of broad classes of models with correlated and possibly function-valued inputs and outputs. To this end, we define the total HSIC sensitivity index: a bounded, interpretable,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Troy Larsen , Alen Alexanderian

A variety of indices aim to quantify the impact of input variables on a response, typically the output from a complex computer code or black-box model. Most commonly used, the Sobol' index typically measures the influence of some inputs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Paul Rochet , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

Spatial frequency estimation from a mixture of noisy sinusoids finds applications in various fields. While subspace-based methods offer cost-effective super-resolution parameter estimation, they demand precise array calibration, posing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-23 Tianyi Liu , Sai Pavan Deram , Khaled Ardah , Martin Haardt , Marc E. Pfetsch , Marius Pesavento

Global sensitivity analysis aims at quantifying the impact of input variability onto the variation of the response of a computational model. It has been widely applied to deterministic simulators, for which a set of input parameters has a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-01 X. Zhu , B. Sudret

The large size and complex decision mechanisms of state-of-the-art text classifiers make it difficult for humans to understand their predictions, leading to a potential lack of trust by the users. These issues have led to the adoption of…

Causal inference is the process of using assumptions, study designs, and estimation strategies to draw conclusions about the causal relationships between variables based on data. This allows researchers to better understand the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Anpeng Wu , Kun Kuang , Ruoxuan Xiong , Fei Wu

Multimodal learning is an essential paradigm for addressing complex real-world problems, where individual data modalities are typically insufficient to accurately solve a given modelling task. While various deep learning approaches have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Gabriele Dominici , Pietro Barbiero , Lucie Charlotte Magister , Pietro Liò , Nikola Simidjievski

Visual Autoregressive Models (VAR) offer efficient and high-quality image generation but suffer from computational redundancy due to repeated Transformer calls at increasing resolutions. We introduce a dynamic Mixture-of-Experts router…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jort Vincenti , Metod Jazbec , Guoxuan Xia

We propose a new statistical estimation framework for a large family of global sensitivity analysis indices. Our approach is based on rank statistics and uses an empirical correlation coefficient recently introduced by Chatterjee [9]. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Fabrice Gamboa , Pierre Gremaud , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux

Understanding sensor data can be difficult for non-experts because of the complexity and different semantic meanings of sensor modalities. This leads to a need for intuitive and effective methods to present sensor information. However,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Yunqi Guo , Kaiyuan Hou , Heming Fu , Hongkai Chen , Zhenyu Yan , Guoliang Xing , Xiaofan Jiang

The problem of data uncertainty has motivated the incorporation of robust optimization in various arenas, beyond the Markowitz portfolio optimization. This work presents the extension of the robust optimization framework for the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Mohammed Bilal Girach , Shashank Oberoi , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

In this paper, we study sensitivity indices for independent groups of variables and we look at the particular case of block-additive models. We show in this case that most of the Sobol indices are equal to zero and that Shapley effects can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Baptiste Broto , François Bachoc , Marine Depecker , Jean-Marc Martinez