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We introduce a new global sensitivity measure, the global activity scores. The measure is based on finite differences of the underlying function, in contrast to several sensitivity measures in the literature that are based on derivatives of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Ruilong Yue , Giray Ökten

Fully supervised salient object detection (SOD) methods have made considerable progress in performance, yet these models rely heavily on expensive pixel-wise labels. Recently, to achieve a trade-off between labeling burden and performance,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Binwei Xu , Haoran Liang , Weihua Gong , Ronghua Liang , Peng Chen

Among the many estimators of first order Sobol indices that have been proposed in the literature, the so-called rank-based estimator is arguably the simplest to implement. This estimator can be viewed as the empirical auto-correlation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-12 Thierry Klein , Paul Rochet

Local projections (LP) and vector autoregressions (VAR) are the two standard tools for impulse response analysis, but they often display a finite-sample trade-off: LP is typically less biased but more volatile, while VAR is more precise but…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-08 Chaoyi Chen , Elena Pesavento , Balazs Vonnak

Large language models are increasingly used as personal assistants, yet most lack a persistent user model, forcing users to repeatedly restate preferences across sessions. We propose Vector-Adapted Retrieval Scoring (VARS), a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yuren Hao , Shuhaib Mehri , ChengXiang Zhai , Dilek Hakkani-Tür

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest (output of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Alexandre Janon

Variance-based Sobol' sensitivity is one of the most well-known measures in global sensitivity analysis (GSA). However, uncertainties with certain distributions, such as highly skewed distributions or those with a heavy tail, cannot be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Jiannan Yang

SmoothGrad and VarGrad are techniques that enhance the empirical quality of standard saliency maps by adding noise to input. However, there were few works that provide a rigorous theoretical interpretation of those methods. We analytically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Junghoon Seo , Jeongyeol Choe , Jamyoung Koo , Seunghyeon Jeon , Beomsu Kim , Taegyun Jeon

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

This paper addresses sensitivity analysis for dynamic models, linking dependent inputs to observed outputs. The usual method to estimate Sobol indices are based on the independence of input variables. We present a method to overpass this…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mathilde Grandjacques , Alexandre Janon , Benoit Delinchant , Olivier Adrot

This paper studies multi-horizon Granger causality using high-dimensional local projections in sparse Vector Autoregressive (VAR) systems. Since local projection coefficients are nonlinear transformations of the underlying VAR parameters,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Eugene Dettaa , Endong Wang

Sensitivity analysis (SA) is a procedure for studying how sensitive are the output results of large-scale mathematical models to some uncertainties of the input data. The models are described as a system of partial differential equations.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Ivan Dimov , Rayna Georgieva

Variance-based global sensitivity analysis, in particular Sobol' analysis, is widely used for determining the importance of input variables to a computational model. Sobol' indices can be computed cheaply based on spectral methods like…

The Sobol' indices are a recognized tool in global sensitivity analysis. When the uncertain variables in a model are statistically independent, the Sobol' indices may be easily interpreted and utilized. However, their interpretation and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-17 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud

This paper proposes a new pathwise sensitivity estimator for chaotic SDEs. By introducing a spring term between the original and perturbated SDEs, we derive a new estimator by importance sampling. The variance of the new estimator increases…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Wei Fang , Mike Giles

New global sensitivity measures based on quantiles of the output are introduced. Such measures can be used for global sensitivity analysis of problems in which quantiles are explicitly the functions of interest and for identification of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-09 Sergei Kucherenko , Shufang Song

One of the fundamental challenges in drawing causal inferences from observational studies is that the assumption of no unmeasured confounding is not testable from observed data. Therefore, assessing sensitivity to this assumption's…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Md Abdul Basit , Mahbub A. H. M. Latif , Abdus S Wahed

Accurately localising object proposals is an important precondition for high detection rate for the state-of-the-art object detection frameworks. The accuracy of an object detection method has been shown highly related to the average recall…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Hsueh-Fu Lu , Xiaofei Du , Ping-Lin Chang

In a model of the form $Y=h(X_1,\ldots,X_d)$ where the goal is to estimate a parameter of the probability distribution of $Y$, we define new sensitivity indices which quantify the importance of each variable $X_i$ with respect to this…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-13 Jean-Claude Fort , Thierry Klein , Nabil Rachdi

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used for causal discovery and forecasting in multivariate time series analysis. In the high-dimensional setting, which is increasingly common in fields such as neuroscience and econometrics,…

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